Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$661

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

274

Trades

4,005

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 03-09 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

61% 83% $-782

Other

36% 80% +$342

Sports

1% 10% $-223

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	151	$1.2K	1,179	0	+1,179	Yes	+$25	02-05 17:28
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	117	$934	951	0	+951	No	+$17	02-05 13:51
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	22	$810	408	408	+0	No	+$1	01-27 02:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	42	$759	786	0	+786	Yes	+$28	03-09 16:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	138	$745	855	0	+855	No	+$110	03-09 15:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	153	$657	733	0	+733	Yes	$-657	02-28 13:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	72	$651	345	347	-2	No	+$27	03-08 14:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	138	$596	736	0	+736	No	+$140	01-31 23:52
trump out as president by march 31	90	$583	595	0	+595	No	+$12	03-09 16:30
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	22	$469	477	0	+477	No	+$8	01-26 23:54
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	53	$457	460	0	+460	No	+$3	03-01 06:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	38	$400	404	0	+404	No	+$4	03-04 23:47
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	52	$387	401	0	+401	No	+$14	02-27 19:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	45	$384	391	0	+391	No	+$7	01-24 14:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	96	$366	386	0	+386	No	+$20	01-30 12:43
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	27	$363	369	0	+369	No	+$5	02-26 17:32
will gta 6 cost 100	32	$320	320	0	+320	No	+$0	02-27 19:15
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	27	$299	303	0	+303	No	+$4	01-25 00:13
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	32	$291	295	0	+295	No	+$4	03-09 11:38
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	15	$279	140	140	+0	No	$-0	02-20 19:42
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	14	$279	140	140	+0	No	$-0	02-19 17:01
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	26	$264	268	0	+268	No	+$4	02-05 09:38
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	53	$262	278	0	+278	No	+$16	01-26 20:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	26	$241	245	0	+245	No	+$4	03-09 11:46
will manchild sabrina carpenter win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	21	$210	211	0	+211	No	+$1	02-02 02:50
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	34	$206	214	0	+214	No	+$8	01-22 01:43
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	31	$199	102	102	+0	No	+$5	01-25 19:32
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	122	$192	204	0	+204	No	+$12	03-07 15:28
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	47	$190	217	0	+217	No	+$27	01-31 16:58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	92	$189	336	0	+336	Yes	$-189	02-12 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-09 16:35:43	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca47b3…
03-09 16:30:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76febb…
03-09 16:18:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee52fa…
03-09 16:15:05	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x350ac2…
03-09 16:06:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x271bc9…
03-09 16:05:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa49241…
03-09 16:02:43	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc8869c…
03-09 15:56:57	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca4a73…
03-09 15:56:55	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc75245…
03-09 15:27:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeb8681…
03-09 15:13:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x346a0e…
03-09 15:01:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0a3e62…
03-09 14:55:45	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8a5357…
03-09 14:37:51	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x389b64…
03-09 14:14:47	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x035a6b…
03-09 14:06:33	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d7c1a…
03-09 13:57:17	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x499582…
03-09 13:55:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8037db…
03-09 13:53:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x143971…
03-09 13:53:23	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa6719…
03-09 13:46:15	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cf8b8…
03-09 13:40:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4096c5…
03-09 13:21:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xdf3915…
03-09 13:15:03	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb980ae…
03-09 13:14:29	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36a645…
03-09 13:07:41	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x01dc51…
03-09 12:41:19	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xcea65f…
03-09 12:19:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x612938…
03-09 12:17:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd41f23…
03-09 12:15:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24379e…
03-09 12:14:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbfa4d0…
03-09 12:08:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x06efaf…
03-09 11:54:09	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa01888…
03-09 11:46:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x043cd0…
03-09 11:39:43	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x618c5c…
03-09 11:38:13	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36d042…
03-08 22:29:41	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xfc9449…
03-08 22:15:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf16626…
03-08 21:53:59	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x50ac48…
03-08 21:43:27	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01b174…
03-08 21:34:45	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x226600…
03-08 21:23:49	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x3f7bc1…
03-08 21:06:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xded141…
03-08 18:21:33	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b6a83…
03-08 18:08:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1d4653…
03-08 17:37:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa80991…
03-08 17:01:07	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc8e90e…
03-08 16:55:13	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3a543c…
03-08 16:53:57	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc0fc89…
03-08 16:50:29	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdaa510…
03-08 16:17:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf79393…
03-08 16:07:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xad17bf…
03-08 16:03:59	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x185629…
03-08 15:59:15	Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe02bc9…
03-08 15:49:19	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c7863…
03-08 15:43:17	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x082a19…
03-08 15:40:31	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccfe5b…
03-08 15:37:29	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x87cb91…
03-08 15:34:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9b2d99…
03-08 15:14:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa13176…
03-08 15:07:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xbd7062…
03-08 15:06:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf4b62a…
03-08 15:02:03	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5c605…
03-08 14:38:13	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2766c4…
03-08 14:37:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x667497…
03-08 14:36:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ec6a9…
03-08 14:34:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	347	98¢	$340	0x5b7f0a…
03-07 16:26:35	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xac2f19…
03-07 15:42:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb076ec…
03-07 15:28:09	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc497f0…
03-07 15:24:45	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x063095…
03-07 15:24:35	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xddf5e3…
03-07 15:22:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xe7c52c…
03-07 15:20:41	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x27c08d…
03-07 15:18:53	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcc4ce0…
03-06 19:24:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9b845a…
03-06 19:19:55	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x310d68…
03-06 19:06:57	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5fd3b…
03-06 19:00:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ed7e4…
03-06 18:52:55	Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcbbc7a…
03-06 18:51:39	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8b5827…
03-06 18:49:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4b24ea…
03-06 18:46:49	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x47e8fe…
03-06 18:46:15	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x242a2d…
03-06 18:45:11	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x48a19b…
03-06 18:43:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x88cf15…
03-06 18:43:55	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x473719…
03-06 18:38:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfff888…
03-06 18:38:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c7580…
03-06 18:29:25	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe58bd3…
03-06 18:27:59	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x67150a…
03-06 18:24:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6078a7…
03-06 18:24:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xde4a3d…
03-06 18:21:25	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xcfbb7e…
03-06 18:20:03	Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe94ff8…
03-06 18:19:19	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31c8fa…
03-06 18:18:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6326ff…
03-06 18:17:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a55c6…
03-06 18:15:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x110e6b…
03-06 18:14:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x557676…