Ordinary-Deep — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved (90d)

2,285

Trades (90d)

2,457

3,177 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.5K

$18.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-17 23:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 95% -$14

Other

13% 92% -$134

Politics

1% 0% -$87

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 803 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	13	$140	100	100	+0	No	-$16	06-05 01:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$77	8,066	6,049	+2,016	No	+$12	06-02 08:10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$73	282	0	+282	No	-$73	07-06 19:09
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?	3	$72	53	53	+0	Yes	-$28	06-06 17:08
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-06-06?	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	06-06 07:58
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-06-06?	2	$41	32	32	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 10:18
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	5	$34	1,500	750	+750	No	+$22	06-14 18:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	2	$26	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 21:44
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$24	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$24	05-20 21:31
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:55 UTC	2	$21	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	09-29 11:59
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	4,000	0	+4,000	No	-$20	05-20 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:35 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 22:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:55 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:40 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 22:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 19:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:25 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 20:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 22:05 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 20:15 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 16:50 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 22:15 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:50 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	06-26 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 18:25 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	06-26 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 23:32:15	Will San Luis de Quillota win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xbbe7df…
10-16 08:20:01	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x10bcd7…
10-16 08:07:06	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x023cae…
10-11 18:17:06	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x3abca9…
10-11 08:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?	No	BUY	124	0¢	$0	0xfffd0b…
10-11 08:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x392cc1…
10-11 04:19:32	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2726bf…
10-11 04:19:17	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xebb3ab…
10-10 07:27:09	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 9?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8060c3…
10-10 05:51:58	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 9?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9fefc…
10-10 02:37:03	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe1fb7b…
10-07 02:16:48	Bitcoin above 84,400 on October 6, 10PM ET?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2605d1…
10-01 16:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36d59d…
10-01 16:24:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8eb820…
10-01 16:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e8109…
10-01 16:23:36	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb224a…
10-01 16:23:36	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdac7e6…
10-01 16:23:35	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbfc6e4…
10-01 16:13:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc1d22f…
10-01 16:13:51	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a1609…
10-01 16:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbb05af…
10-01 16:09:18	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x806170…
10-01 16:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa20f66…
10-01 16:09:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x94cd59…
10-01 16:03:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x844227…
10-01 16:03:18	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x066189…
10-01 16:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ce343…
10-01 16:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa6ca95…
10-01 12:41:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x73d6de…
10-01 12:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xaecc36…
10-01 12:41:21	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x00b821…
10-01 12:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe66ab5…
10-01 12:41:17	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0cdaae…
10-01 12:38:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x310b81…
10-01 12:23:45	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x73b283…
10-01 12:17:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d6a17…
10-01 12:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1d97cd…
10-01 12:07:50	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf6522d…
10-01 11:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf88f68…
10-01 11:48:15	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe67595…
10-01 11:47:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x399a84…
10-01 11:43:33	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7262a0…
10-01 11:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ad771…
10-01 11:37:24	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe881eb…
10-01 11:37:14	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe73d00…
10-01 11:37:14	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd1a6e8…
10-01 11:37:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83c263…
10-01 11:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x202c42…
10-01 11:37:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x475ccc…
10-01 11:34:00	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x42cc45…
10-01 11:28:03	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x624c3a…
10-01 11:18:39	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x00b1b6…
10-01 11:18:18	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf55f35…
10-01 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1020dc…
10-01 11:18:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x67b24b…
10-01 11:14:00	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf15583…
10-01 11:13:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x82eef8…
10-01 11:13:51	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb488a0…
10-01 11:01:50	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xed2839…
10-01 11:01:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f01de…
10-01 11:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xb9a632…
10-01 11:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x0bb2be…
10-01 11:01:44	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa0ba42…
10-01 10:47:41	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xadb14e…
10-01 10:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x47a27a…
10-01 10:47:30	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff0e20…
10-01 10:47:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x39e4a2…
10-01 10:47:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x29f178…
10-01 10:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x7905e4…
10-01 10:42:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0xcc2321…
10-01 10:42:42	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x71d9bf…
10-01 10:42:42	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x367592…
10-01 10:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x27ab86…
10-01 10:32:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7638fc…
10-01 10:28:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa69d07…
10-01 10:28:17	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3eed18…
10-01 10:18:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xbb3de2…
10-01 10:17:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xa07d85…
10-01 10:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x6c8651…
10-01 10:17:02	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x48d60c…
10-01 10:02:02	XRP Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9e4397…
10-01 10:01:59	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x3954eb…
10-01 10:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xc13238…
10-01 10:01:41	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xee0465…
10-01 09:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x8701b3…
10-01 09:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xe81acf…
10-01 09:32:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xb36bbc…
10-01 09:32:17	BNB Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3e1fac…
10-01 09:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x241c7b…
10-01 09:32:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x8cc5ce…
10-01 09:14:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3a329…
10-01 09:13:11	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x588ca1…
10-01 09:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xfe3420…
10-01 09:08:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x0b5ebd…
10-01 09:08:20	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x74e74a…
10-01 09:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x530632…
10-01 09:07:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x74f423…
10-01 09:03:50	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2c7ae9…
10-01 08:58:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x49c15d…
10-01 08:58:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa4ecb7…