Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

115

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$147

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-29 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

83% 58% +$9

Politics

15% 73% +$8

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	10-21 04:03
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-18 01:06
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:37
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	08-25 11:44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-10 14:05
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	09-18 01:06
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 22:29
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-20 00:51
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-15 10:53
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-09 11:38
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-25 03:24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 18:15
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 03:10
spx up or down on september 10 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-10 04:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-16 15:49
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-14 10:20
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-15 23:48
will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-27 08:35
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-11 15:06
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-16 07:49
will xagusd dip to 64 by august 31 2026 from september 2	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-03 01:00
Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 19:40
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-14 02:17
Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-10 22:34
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 14?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 18:24
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-08 13:15
will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-28 00:35
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-21 06:50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-15 02:27
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	6	+6	No	+$4	09-16 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:57:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe77eba…
10-29 03:26:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb6b181…
10-28 16:17:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0589c7…
10-28 08:14:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x53bd16…
10-28 00:04:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf10b26…
10-27 14:45:27	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x991336…
10-27 06:43:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdbd1e1…
10-25 06:35:41	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x038bb7…
10-23 07:24:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x90060d…
10-22 23:23:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0cd126…
10-22 12:26:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x128cbb…
10-21 21:20:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3d17e7…
10-21 12:23:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x16b291…
10-21 04:03:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xde8d5c…
10-21 04:03:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3421fd…
10-20 07:58:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x59b7fa…
10-19 23:57:51	will amzn dip to 260 by october 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x59c1ee…
10-19 15:45:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x765d9e…
10-19 07:02:14	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x87f43b…
10-18 23:01:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdab89e…
10-18 12:15:05	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb91e55…
10-18 01:06:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7ab517…
10-17 16:17:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc5fd75…
10-16 12:57:46	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7786ac…
10-16 04:50:28	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x959e35…
10-15 19:06:05	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe06851…
10-15 09:49:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe3b061…
10-15 00:29:31	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ddd8a…
10-14 15:32:10	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa46a27…
10-14 07:30:52	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2b0ce6…
10-13 23:14:55	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x004bbe…
10-12 15:02:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x21dd92…
10-12 06:57:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3d29e4…
10-11 22:56:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x274108…
10-11 22:53:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x91ab8b…
10-11 14:32:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe18a0b…
10-11 05:08:56	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9e0a5c…
10-11 03:49:05	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbae2e5…
10-10 19:39:37	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd6c741…
10-10 04:40:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa55061…
10-09 20:15:52	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x818854…
10-09 09:49:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x62d4eb…
10-08 23:55:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb3c799…
10-08 15:44:44	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc796ec…
10-08 06:27:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6fd7a4…
10-07 10:26:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x211131…
10-07 02:21:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x63d60e…
10-06 18:19:03	will coin dip to 185 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfe8797…
10-06 09:54:01	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9c2b2e…
10-06 01:49:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x754b47…
10-05 16:22:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f5b55…
10-05 02:08:25	will googl reach 355 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x435abb…
10-04 18:08:01	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x698dd4…
10-02 14:36:18	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5c33c7…
10-02 06:03:47	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x046347…
10-01 15:01:57	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3b1952…
10-01 06:26:36	will msft dip to 510 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8824f1…
09-30 10:20:56	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe85cd…
09-30 02:20:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x093828…
09-30 02:14:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf0cc74…
09-29 05:06:42	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcc3c6b…
09-27 21:01:44	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8c477d…
09-27 16:46:08	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4bb4a7…
09-26 07:14:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x775f9f…
09-24 11:16:38	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt05 in september	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb9a4dc…
09-23 03:10:05	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$2	0x0f8595…
09-21 06:50:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $110 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x548520…
09-20 22:10:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x353e74…
09-20 00:51:28	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x1cf1ff…
09-19 07:37:37	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xceafd9…
09-18 15:08:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbd4a0d…
09-18 01:06:55	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x18bf06…
09-17 00:02:06	will hood reach 112 50 by september 14 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xea97cd…
09-16 15:50:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x9ae501…
09-16 15:49:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x89c922…
09-16 07:49:01	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x28ab4f…
09-15 23:48:00	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$2	0x10c363…
09-15 10:53:03	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd9442c…
09-15 02:27:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x5220f5…
09-14 18:24:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on September 14?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xffa167…
09-14 10:20:28	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1e72db…
09-14 02:17:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$2	0x804d02…
09-13 18:15:49	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xd0f109…
09-11 15:06:22	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa9872b…
09-11 06:35:01	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb33b8f…
09-10 22:34:28	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x17be63…
09-10 14:05:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xfde40b…
09-10 04:47:55	spx up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xba59b8…
09-09 19:40:39	Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa552aa…
09-09 11:38:10	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x62a96d…
09-08 22:29:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x8b8414…
09-08 13:15:54	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x2efc04…
09-08 00:31:31	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x665aef…
09-07 11:39:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x7859c9…
09-03 01:00:15	will xagusd dip to 64 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2a4862…
09-02 12:51:51	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x15c89e…
09-01 17:34:31	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xe43776…
09-01 07:01:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xffbd33…
08-31 10:59:33	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8c7e8f…
08-30 23:12:10	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xa663d7…