Revolving-Lipid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-22 02:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$12

Other

41% 80% -$61

Crypto

17% 83% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No		+32	$31	98¢	$31	+$1	09-29 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?	1	$204	210	0	+210	No	+$6	01-26 03:19
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$2	01-26 03:15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	2	$99	53	53	+0	open	—	10-22 01:59
will khamenei leave iran by friday	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	01-06 06:48
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	1	$73	0	76	-76	No	-$3	05-06 02:49
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	1	$72	75	0	+75	No	+$3	05-06 02:50
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in July?	1	$66	68	0	+68	No	+$2	07-29 07:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$63	64	0	+64	No	+$1	03-29 09:48
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	2	$61	121	121	+0	No	-$61	03-24 09:41
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	1	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$1	03-13 10:12
will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$1	06-19 10:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-05 12:58
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-03 13:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	09-29 13:09
will mu dip to 690 by august 10 2026	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	08-10 08:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$1	10-22 02:00
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-31 02:52
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	09-11 03:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	10-22 02:01
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	06-19 10:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-11 03:18
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-29 07:11
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-31 02:52
dogecoin above 0pt15 on january 6	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	01-06 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:01:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x73a142…
10-22 02:00:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x105056…
10-22 01:59:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x077566…
09-29 13:09:05	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xc64e12…
09-11 03:18:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x92f93a…
09-11 03:17:25	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef57bf…
08-31 02:52:28	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x677009…
08-31 02:52:06	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4c804…
08-10 09:04:42	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xe2bdee…
08-10 08:58:57	will mu dip to 690 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xaa0b6f…
07-29 07:16:20	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in July?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0xe57f39…
07-29 07:11:27	Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x68dd96…
06-19 10:41:37	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd0aa8e…
06-19 10:41:01	will ethereum dip to 1100 in june 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x25f4d7…
05-06 02:50:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$72	0xc84156…
05-06 02:49:14	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xe181b6…
03-29 09:48:18	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x3ef1ae…
03-24 09:41:07	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0x863051…
03-21 02:39:15	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	121	50¢	$61	0x2da447…
03-13 10:12:57	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x274d34…
03-05 12:58:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe811e6…
02-03 13:43:38	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe0d594…
01-26 03:19:10	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?	No	BUY	210	97¢	$204	0x22bd45…
01-26 03:15:58	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd2450b…
01-06 17:01:05	dogecoin above 0pt15 on january 6	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5fa9df…
01-06 07:03:13	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe1f319…
01-06 06:48:53	will khamenei leave iran by friday	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfcc3c0…