Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$106

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

40 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.22K

$1.22K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$260

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 10-29 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$2

Crypto

40% 40% -$113

Other

16% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+87	$80	94¢	$82	+$2	10-27 15:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+70	$65	94¢	$66	+$1	10-27 15:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+105	$48	40¢	$42	-$5	10-27 16:33
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+80	$34	48¢	$39	+$4	10-28 22:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+60	$13	26¢	$15	+$2	10-28 23:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+60	$12	26¢	$15	+$3	10-28 19:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	3	$152	78	78	+0	No	+$2	10-29 15:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	3	$142	72	72	+0	Yes	+$2	10-28 23:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$140	80	80	+0	open	—	10-29 22:02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	4	$131	67	67	+0	No	+$1	10-29 07:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	3	$83	260	260	+0	Yes	-$47	10-29 14:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$80	85	0	+85	Yes	+$5	10-27 15:55
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	10-27 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	2	$66	96	96	+0	No	-$34	10-29 09:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$65	70	0	+70	open	—	10-27 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	2	$55	321	321	+0	No	-$35	10-29 02:00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	6	$52	205	205	+0	open	—	10-29 17:41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$48	105	0	+105	open	—	10-27 16:33
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	4	$45	55	55	+0	open	—	10-29 12:01
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	1	$34	80	0	+80	open	—	10-28 22:22
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	2	$23	80	80	+0	open	—	10-29 19:15
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	1	$13	60	0	+60	open	—	10-28 23:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$12	60	0	+60	open	—	10-28 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:02:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0xd730b6…
10-29 19:15:43	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0x71d0ac…
10-29 17:41:29	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe7172b…
10-29 15:10:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0x9f4689…
10-29 14:47:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	103	5¢	$5	0x6bdeeb…
10-29 14:33:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	157	8¢	$13	0xb507b0…
10-29 12:01:11	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	55	36¢	$20	0xe9f8ef…
10-29 11:17:25	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x2c5db7…
10-29 11:17:20	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xde618b…
10-29 11:17:14	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x53dae0…
10-29 09:19:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	96	17¢	$16	0x3342db…
10-29 07:09:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x04b2e9…
10-29 07:09:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5b78ef…
10-29 02:00:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	321	3¢	$10	0xa54480…
10-28 23:39:50	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xe4ca6a…
10-28 23:16:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x80fe5e…
10-28 22:22:41	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	43¢	$34	0xef1d22…
10-28 19:38:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x9f365b…
10-28 00:25:27	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	19¢	$15	0x70715a…
10-27 23:57:11	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x9318dd…
10-27 23:47:39	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xb35816…
10-27 22:37:57	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	75	16¢	$12	0xcbad40…
10-27 20:53:00	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x64a35d…
10-27 18:58:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x044190…
10-27 17:15:24	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0x665800…
10-27 16:33:27	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	105	45¢	$48	0x993c20…
10-27 15:57:33	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x8109b5…
10-27 15:55:56	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	321	14¢	$45	0xbef02b…
10-27 15:55:56	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x2ef300…
10-27 15:55:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	260	25¢	$65	0xaeee2e…
10-27 15:55:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x49c05f…
10-27 15:55:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2bfc13…
10-27 15:55:53	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x4c0060…
10-27 15:55:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x363a28…
10-27 15:55:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x0c0db4…
10-27 15:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	94¢	$55	0x596028…
10-27 14:59:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x905b72…
10-26 20:18:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf6be0e…
10-26 20:18:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x89301b…
10-26 20:18:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3c788e…