Hurtful-Hide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$943

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

740

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 44% -$210

Politics

26% 36% -$528

Other

15% 36% -$208

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$363	427	427	+0	Yes	-$337	02-28 06:57
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$358	667	665	+2	No	+$38	01-15 01:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$178	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$2	01-31 18:26
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$120	508	508	+0	No	-$64	01-08 15:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$120	13,190	0	+13,190	Yes	-$120	01-27 16:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$94	364	0	+364	No	-$94	03-24 18:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$70	1,513	0	+1,513	No	-$70	02-03 08:21
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	1	$60	65	0	+65	Yes	+$5	10-11 19:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$58	1,859	2,859	-1,000	No	-$52	01-31 18:33
highest temperature in toronto on january 28 neg 8c	2	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	01-29 05:06
Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	2	$48	52	0	+52	open	—	10-14 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:50 UTC	2	$47	31	31	+0	Up	+$15	03-18 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$32	80	0	+80	Down	-$32	05-05 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	2	$31	21	20	+0	Down	+$9	03-18 09:49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	2	$31	41	0	+41	Vitality	-$1	10-11 18:09
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	2	$31	18	18	+0	No	+$5	03-12 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 08:50 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	03-16 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 11:10 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$9	03-16 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:00 UTC	3	$25	22	22	+0	Down	+$13	03-19 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:45 UTC	2	$24	17	16	+0	Up	+$8	03-18 07:49
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?	2	$23	22	22	+0	No	+$13	05-02 15:29
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	200	200	+0	open	—	10-20 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 18:15 UTC	3	$18	14	14	+0	Down	+$6	03-19 18:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	1	$18	23	0	+23	No	+$5	03-12 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$16	40	0	+40	Down	-$16	05-05 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 18:25 UTC	3	$16	110	10	+100	Down	+$4	03-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:45 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	03-19 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 04:45 UTC	1	$16	30	0	+30	Up	-$16	03-16 04:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 18:00 UTC	3	$16	43	10	+33	Down	+$3	03-19 18:03
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	1	$15	100	0	+100	Yes	-$15	03-16 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:10:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xda96fe…
10-29 17:29:26	Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0x92c87c…
10-29 00:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0xf5bd9d…
10-28 07:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x5df7b3…
10-26 11:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x721863…
10-24 20:14:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc327dd…
10-24 20:12:08	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x570525…
10-23 17:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$2	0x975c2a…
10-23 17:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x17b929…
10-23 17:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xcae126…
10-20 15:32:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x45b5d1…
10-20 15:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0xae1bfd…
10-20 11:38:50	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0x4baeb6…
10-20 04:16:36	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xd6fadd…
10-20 04:01:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	10¢	$10	0x5d3797…
10-19 16:41:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0xe0d20c…
10-16 08:49:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x481f25…
10-15 10:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb913c6…
10-15 02:37:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	6¢	$8	0xee2c06…
10-14 14:00:29	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14	NIP	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7b744a…
10-14 13:18:32	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14	NIP	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb168c4…
10-14 03:30:59	Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x21308f…
10-14 03:30:50	Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x4ce4bf…
10-14 01:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x295fac…
10-14 00:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$2	0xfbb0dc…
10-11 19:46:40	Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?	Yes	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x69899c…
10-11 18:09:25	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcfd720…
10-11 17:06:31	cs2 vit mouz 2026 10 11 game3	Vitality	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf2f80e…
10-11 16:44:58	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	MOUZ	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb2cf20…
10-08 22:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xb140b7…
10-08 22:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x8afef4…
10-08 22:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x6f264e…
10-08 22:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x0f5cee…
10-08 22:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0a8654…
10-08 22:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x2c9e4b…
10-08 21:58:09	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xf34210…
10-08 21:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x115a6c…
10-08 21:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x7a7a7d…
10-08 21:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x3fe197…
10-08 21:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x24fe9d…
10-08 21:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0211c3…
10-08 21:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x28cba6…
10-08 16:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf4d47a…
10-08 16:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2efc33…
09-23 10:46:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xf4c5de…
09-22 01:20:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb85983…
09-21 22:44:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x9edafc…
09-21 21:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe1c668…
09-21 21:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x30cf88…
09-21 21:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x703fe3…
09-21 21:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x725619…
09-21 21:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0x90be74…
09-21 21:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xecd936…
09-21 21:13:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x5b01f6…
09-21 21:10:31	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x503621…
09-21 20:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xca00e7…
09-21 20:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xaf8e2d…
09-21 20:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x6038d2…
09-21 20:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xeebaf4…
09-21 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x86f387…
09-21 20:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x57adf8…
09-21 20:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xb74d44…
09-21 20:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc69aa3…
09-21 20:16:37	Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	7¢	$6	0xbd76d9…
09-21 20:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4dd8bc…
09-21 19:21:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xfecc7d…
09-21 19:14:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x67802b…
09-19 04:29:28	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	4¢	$5	0x07a118…
09-18 22:38:18	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xbd5efc…
09-18 22:36:10	Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x16dc6f…
09-18 22:35:31	Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8cb432…
09-18 22:35:12	Will Trump say "Pledge" or "Pledged" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe57e13…
09-18 22:34:57	Will Trump say "Terminated" or "Terminating" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x56452c…
09-18 22:34:25	Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb165a3…
09-18 22:33:48	Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa74bf3…
09-18 22:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xab77ba…
09-18 21:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2b6fc8…
09-18 21:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1352b6…
09-18 21:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xed9b14…
09-18 21:56:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x1100ed…
09-18 21:50:09	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x25c1d5…
09-18 21:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x322c87…
09-18 21:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x8c326a…
09-18 18:20:16	Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x336d71…
09-14 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe9e47f…
09-14 03:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x638e0a…
09-13 15:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5bc617…
09-13 15:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x55851d…
09-13 15:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdc1514…
09-13 15:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6af037…
09-13 14:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x45a635…
09-13 14:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xca7dd3…
09-13 14:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1c291d…
09-13 14:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x33d231…
09-13 14:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x57f21e…
09-13 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x496ab0…
09-13 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc93e80…
09-13 14:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf982bb…
09-13 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xf719fc…
09-13 14:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2bb428…