Hurtful-Hide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

771

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-20 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 43% $-82

Politics

28% — —

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$363	427	427	+0	open	—	02-28 06:57
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$358	667	665	+2	open	—	01-15 01:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$178	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	01-31 18:26
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$120	508	508	+0	open	—	01-08 15:46
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$120	13,190	0	+13,190	open	—	01-27 16:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$94	364	0	+364	open	—	03-24 18:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$70	1,513	0	+1,513	open	—	02-03 08:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$58	1,859	2,859	-1,000	open	—	01-31 18:33
highest temperature in toronto on january 28 neg 8c	2	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	01-29 05:06
btc updown 5m 1773820200	2	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	03-18 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$32	80	0	+80	Down	$-32	05-05 07:55
btc updown 5m 1773827100	2	$31	21	20	+0	open	—	03-18 09:49
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	2	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	03-12 10:40
btc updown 5m 1773651000	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-16 08:54
btc updown 5m 1773659400	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-16 11:14
btc updown 5m 1773936000	3	$25	22	22	+0	open	—	03-19 16:04
btc updown 5m 1773819900	2	$24	17	16	+0	open	—	03-18 07:49
btc updown 5m 1773944100	3	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	03-19 18:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	1	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	5	$16	40	0	+40	Down	$-16	05-05 07:50
btc updown 5m 1773944700	3	$16	110	10	+100	open	—	03-19 18:29
btc updown 5m 1773938700	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	03-19 16:49
btc updown 5m 1773636300	1	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	03-16 04:40
btc updown 5m 1773943200	3	$16	43	10	+33	open	—	03-19 18:03
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	1	$15	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 10:25
btc updown 5m 1773817500	2	$15	18	18	+0	open	—	03-18 07:08
btc updown 5m 1773944400	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 01:14
btc updown 5m 1773942900	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-19 17:59
btc updown 5m 1774036200	1	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 19:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 07:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfc48a7…
05-19 14:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xef3da2…
05-19 14:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x496904…
05-15 19:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa68439…
05-15 18:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x63282d…
05-15 18:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x016bdf…
05-15 18:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6ee78b…
05-15 18:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x93424f…
05-15 18:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7698c…
05-15 18:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9c3caa…
05-09 06:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x28068e…
05-09 06:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5bd21b…
05-09 06:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x8c9612…
05-09 06:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x71b955…
05-09 06:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd55535…
05-09 06:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x84bfa6…
05-09 06:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbfecb5…
05-05 13:56:50	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	492	1¢	$5	0x446a02…
05-05 12:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2c2111…
05-05 12:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf9d657…
05-05 12:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb850e8…
05-05 11:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa75d82…
05-05 11:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x4be212…
05-05 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2e436e…
05-05 11:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xeaf6c8…
05-05 11:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb15fb9…
05-05 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8a7cb1…
05-05 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x447e75…
05-05 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf4d68f…
05-05 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x76b54c…
05-05 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x96365e…
05-05 11:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x2e6ca7…
05-05 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb516ae…
05-05 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe76981…
05-05 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7178c2…
05-05 11:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd046c3…
05-05 11:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7501cc…
05-05 11:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x627de9…
05-05 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x20284b…
05-05 10:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5ce15d…
05-05 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x79f443…
05-05 10:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9264eb…
05-05 10:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb9e48c…
05-05 10:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfdf12d…
05-05 10:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x02a661…
05-05 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe40417…
05-05 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x74af39…
05-05 10:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x228838…
05-05 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcfb4bf…
05-05 10:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x47f5ec…
05-05 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcaa4b0…
05-05 10:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfc5838…
05-05 10:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5c6968…
05-05 10:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x33d007…
05-05 10:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xad6bc9…
05-05 10:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdcdee3…
05-05 09:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x94e021…
05-05 09:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa3975f…
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x930990…
05-05 08:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa4c18a…
05-05 08:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb6dcc4…
05-05 08:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xa3c96b…
05-05 08:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x5772df…
05-05 08:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c8005…
05-05 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4701ae…
05-05 08:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbbf1b7…
05-05 08:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x28c2ca…
05-05 08:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x61ab21…
05-05 08:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x58f2a8…
05-05 08:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9e1b17…
05-05 08:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x5fb95c…
05-05 08:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcb39b6…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfed8d0…
05-05 08:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x77073a…
05-05 08:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42c99d…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe41568…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x400ec7…
05-05 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf4efaa…
05-05 08:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f9927…
05-05 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x56f641…
05-05 08:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd62bd6…
05-05 08:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x87e463…
05-05 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe837a8…
05-05 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc323c…
05-05 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7adfa6…
05-05 07:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x3d7d25…
05-05 07:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x2c8c73…
05-05 07:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x044049…
05-05 07:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x25674e…
05-05 07:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x23a8f0…
05-05 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa1245d…
05-05 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x8c390e…
05-05 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x503c36…
05-05 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3174d8…
05-05 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2cad91…
05-05 07:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xdd28e5…
05-05 07:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x6690f4…
05-05 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xf06d65…
05-05 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x9812e6…
05-05 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb90559…