Rigid-Camel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$0

Politics

31% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	5	$113	2,192	2,100	+92	open	—	02-13 03:50
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	17	$103	698	601	+97	open	—	02-16 23:41
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$46	500	500	+0	open	—	02-12 15:32
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	04-12 12:07
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-11 11:36
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-10 13:28
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-07 12:49
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-05 23:08
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-09 09:16
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-03 13:29
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-01 13:01
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	3	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-31 13:50
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-29 09:34
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-28 07:30
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-26 01:46
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-24 12:11
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-23 12:28
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-22 11:53
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-21 14:40
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-20 14:17
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-19 14:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-13 09:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 09:42
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	03-03 08:49
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-23 04:07
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-21 03:37
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-17 10:14
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-01 16:03
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	02-22 03:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd40fa5…
05-22 13:53:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x563622…
05-21 10:37:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf10f96…
05-20 14:35:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x40f477…
05-15 13:09:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb32672…
05-14 10:25:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xefac46…
05-13 11:50:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x567904…
05-11 13:19:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d5caf…
05-10 13:56:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x893c21…
05-07 15:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa4beb2…
05-05 14:32:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x26268d…
05-04 12:52:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x921a5c…
05-03 12:01:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x420181…
04-27 13:16:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x444825…
04-23 11:46:56	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1f39b6…
04-22 13:48:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9e66b0…
04-20 14:15:00	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x14fe5c…
04-19 13:21:32	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e57f5…
04-16 13:08:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd455ea…
04-15 08:42:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdc1648…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xcee92e…
04-13 13:12:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc3faf5…
04-12 12:07:43	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xbae7d1…
04-11 11:36:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc1d20d…
04-10 13:28:33	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd8314f…
04-09 09:16:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xcc719a…
04-07 12:49:51	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf8913b…
04-05 23:08:39	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa24c04…
04-05 23:08:35	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0341bd…
04-03 13:29:47	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x16c676…
04-01 13:01:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x35398b…
03-31 13:50:39	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfd1a8c…
03-31 13:47:41	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7297c1…
03-31 13:46:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0e8a2c…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xff7116…
03-29 09:34:36	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xacb2fb…
03-28 07:30:05	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x43a289…
03-26 01:46:41	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1d5fe7…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 12:28:47	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x72e878…
03-22 11:53:53	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x907c66…
03-21 14:40:39	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x686641…
03-20 14:17:19	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x560fc0…
03-19 14:26:45	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0176b2…
03-18 02:48:47	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x994dc4…
03-17 10:14:27	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x16e506…
03-16 09:42:51	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa372d2…
03-13 09:38:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x662a40…
03-11 09:54:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9e3930…
03-03 08:49:29	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x860eee…
03-01 16:03:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x41018b…
02-28 17:28:17	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3a3e81…
02-23 04:07:18	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf3780c…
02-22 03:24:16	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x83e0ac…
02-21 03:37:20	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x599b93…
02-16 23:41:59	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xdcc025…
02-16 17:04:23	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x348f55…
02-16 16:23:11	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x1fe0f5…
02-16 16:20:45	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x780fa9…
02-16 16:20:23	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x02c74d…
02-16 16:19:19	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x91520b…
02-16 16:15:11	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	380	1¢	$2	0xf87da1…
02-16 16:14:21	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5f83ab…
02-16 16:02:31	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	59	0¢	$0	0xbac663…
02-16 16:02:07	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x037ac3…
02-16 15:57:15	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3c77da…
02-16 15:56:35	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x38e88a…
02-16 15:52:17	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xda86db…
02-16 15:51:37	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x60d9a2…
02-16 15:31:17	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	SELL	178	1¢	$1	0x4eb97b…
02-16 15:30:53	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x96d159…
02-16 15:28:17	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	Yes	BUY	178	0¢	$1	0x52e4ae…
02-13 05:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,006	0¢	$6	0xe79bfd…
02-13 03:50:57	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd63d39…
02-12 18:53:27	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	SELL	1,300	0¢	$6	0xdb0880…
02-12 16:08:31	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$6	0x681cf6…
02-12 16:00:33	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	SELL	800	0¢	$4	0x31bba0…
02-12 15:37:15	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x78d9fc…
02-12 15:32:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$23	0x83e224…
02-12 15:08:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$22	0x9d2e7d…
02-12 13:12:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,006	0¢	$6	0x2204d9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Wry-Codepage 0x6cc0…ebd5	53	$1.20K	71	06-07 08:33
Afraid-Linguistics 0x98a1…5c8d	53	$993	60	06-07 08:33
Cooked-Hallway 0x16d9…1d4e	52	$1.25K	62	06-07 08:33
Sour-Birdbath 0x6cc7…371b	52	$1.08K	75	05-22 13:41
Complex-Lyre 0x7643…d12f	51	$1.41K	73	06-07 08:33
Idealistic-Arrangement 0xcc9d…40ec	51	$881	55	06-07 08:33
Colossal-Extremist 0x0d0f…8aea	50	$1.05K	58	06-07 08:33
Well-Groomed-Forecast 0x224e…1431	50	$1.02K	81	05-22 13:51