Hot-Thrift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

1,195

Trades

3,238

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-11 19:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

64% 34% -$489

Politics

18% 28% -$1

Sports

13% 32% -$545

Crypto

5% 24% -$99

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	33	$448	395	395	+0	No	-$8	02-17 19:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$396	236	236	+0	Yes	-$5	02-24 20:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	8	$287	162	162	+0	No	-$1	03-20 06:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	24	$275	174	174	+0	Yes	-$2	02-14 04:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$251	243	243	+0	Yes	+$20	03-29 15:43
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$227	136	136	+0	No	$0	03-24 16:38
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	10	$220	125	124	+0	No	-$2	03-24 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	7	$215	123	123	+0	No	+$1	03-20 23:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	6	$213	120	120	+0	No	$0	03-19 10:36
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	9	$208	121	121	+0	Yes	-$7	03-26 23:14
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	6	$206	117	117	+0	No	$0	03-19 07:40
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	3	$190	169	94	+75	Louisville Cardinals	+$1	03-19 19:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$181	198	198	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 20:47
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	5	$176	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	03-28 19:19
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	11	$175	110	110	+0	No	+$2	03-18 13:45
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	10	$173	188	188	+0	No	$0	03-29 22:16
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	11	$173	98	98	+0	No	-$3	03-24 20:53
will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	2	$173	127	127	+0	Yes	+$71	03-17 17:55
nba dal phx 2026 02 10	6	$170	305	305	+0	Suns	-$2	02-10 06:28
nba okc lal 2026 02 09	6	$168	184	184	+0	Thunder	-$3	02-09 11:06
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	8	$161	91	91	+0	No	-$2	03-24 03:06
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	6	$159	91	91	+0	No	-$2	03-24 11:29
cs2 prv nip 2026 03 19	4	$148	147	147	+0	PARIVISION	-$2	03-19 12:21
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	2	$145	82	82	+0	No	$0	02-24 20:31
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	2	$143	84	84	+0	Yes	+$24	03-17 04:12
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	4	$142	114	114	+0	No	-$2	03-20 13:42
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	2	$140	77	77	+0	JD Gaming	+$7	03-20 16:25
col spp az 2026 03 19 spp	2	$138	73	73	+0	No	+$1	03-19 21:15
nba sac nop 2026 02 09	4	$138	220	220	+0	Pelicans	-$5	02-09 00:22
nba lac hou 2026 02 10	7	$138	291	197	+94	Rockets	-$29	02-10 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 19:18:49	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	377	6¢	$23	0x754f85…
06-24 20:11:11	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,041	5¢	$51	0x52e09f…
05-30 17:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x07a76b…
05-30 10:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 30?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbb9d9b…
05-30 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd5b6e6…
05-30 06:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7732c4…
05-30 05:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd21599…
05-29 17:13:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc58d3a…
05-29 17:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5a4d8c…
05-29 16:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbfdcf1…
05-29 11:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x470649…
05-29 11:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd532ed…
05-29 08:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd3c3ec…
05-29 07:32:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfc0871…
05-29 04:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 29?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4673b9…
05-28 18:03:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 28?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x277858…
05-28 17:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8c3d5c…
05-28 17:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x92e14e…
05-28 11:19:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x615eee…
05-28 08:02:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa10fc0…
05-28 04:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8c3b5e…
05-28 04:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x62c5f1…
05-27 20:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xebb983…
05-27 18:03:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbb8025…
05-27 18:02:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x08da29…
05-27 13:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 27?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf36d98…
05-27 11:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 27?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5180bb…
05-27 09:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 27?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x741f90…
05-27 08:10:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcbf361…
05-27 08:10:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9204cc…
05-27 06:24:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 27?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe4efdc…
05-26 17:35:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 26?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe80df0…
05-26 16:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 26?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbd10ea…
05-26 16:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 26?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa46693…
05-26 16:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8cdcd8…
05-26 15:58:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf3b699…
05-26 15:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8ac445…
05-26 12:25:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x08b25d…
05-26 11:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 26?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfb21f3…
05-26 09:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 26?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8f9507…
05-26 06:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 26?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xddda64…
05-25 20:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 25?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0ab859…
05-25 19:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 25?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4b7fc8…
05-25 16:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 25?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6ff226…
05-25 15:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 25?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf2ab14…
05-25 14:22:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd949f7…
05-25 14:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd61384…
05-25 10:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 25?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x595363…
05-25 10:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x351756…
05-25 10:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcafea6…
05-25 08:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x71ac1b…
05-25 06:06:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 25?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x892c03…
05-25 05:20:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2ed04a…
05-25 04:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 25?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x82e6e9…
05-25 03:09:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x70b7fc…
05-24 16:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 24?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2bfde5…
05-24 15:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xdc0f1c…
05-24 15:19:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5a19a9…
05-24 12:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 24?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xaa3418…
05-24 12:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 24?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x434be7…
05-24 06:27:50	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 24?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9386a3…
05-24 05:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe2c470…
05-23 19:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 23?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc2b1cc…
05-23 17:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1fa465…
05-23 17:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x03b645…
05-23 15:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x320493…
05-23 11:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x276ec5…
05-23 09:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x23c5f7…
05-23 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xd9065b…
05-23 06:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1f834b…
05-23 05:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed00e9…
05-23 04:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x582db2…
05-23 04:04:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x036855…
05-22 20:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x8114a7…
05-22 17:33:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 22?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb90ac5…
05-22 16:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 22?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xdd8e9c…
05-22 12:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xae63fe…
05-22 12:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?	No	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x8e0167…
05-22 05:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xad5e31…
05-22 04:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 22?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcd6f54…
05-22 04:03:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4917a1…
05-21 13:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 21?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x925d2b…
05-21 06:32:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2e3556…
05-21 05:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 21?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0x377741…
05-21 04:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4da4da…
05-21 04:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x508b8c…
05-20 19:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xbe0bea…
05-20 19:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 20?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0x6a781b…
05-20 17:54:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xc861c5…
05-20 17:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xf57c6c…
05-20 17:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x05c77a…
05-20 17:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 20?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x01d2f2…
05-20 15:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x0141da…
05-20 15:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 20?	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x862d74…
05-20 14:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xf94aa1…
05-20 12:52:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0xf1a581…
05-20 12:01:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xfb8a48…
05-20 11:27:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x349025…
05-20 11:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0x087bfb…
05-20 11:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0189e6…