Hot-Thrift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

3,001

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 04-08 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-0

Sports

13% 0% $-0

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	33	$448	395	395	+0	open	—	02-17 19:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$396	236	236	+0	open	—	02-24 20:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	8	$287	162	162	+0	open	—	03-20 06:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	24	$275	174	174	+0	open	—	02-14 04:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$251	243	243	+0	open	—	03-29 15:43
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$227	136	136	+0	open	—	03-24 16:38
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	10	$220	125	124	+0	open	—	03-24 14:37
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	7	$215	123	123	+0	open	—	03-20 23:30
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 280 299	6	$213	120	120	+0	open	—	03-19 10:36
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	9	$208	121	121	+0	open	—	03-26 23:14
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	6	$206	117	117	+0	open	—	03-19 07:40
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	3	$190	169	94	+75	open	—	03-19 19:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	11	$181	198	198	+0	open	—	03-30 20:47
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	5	$176	120	120	+0	open	—	03-28 19:19
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	11	$175	110	110	+0	open	—	03-18 13:45
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	10	$173	188	188	+0	open	—	03-29 22:16
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	11	$173	98	98	+0	open	—	03-24 20:53
will trump say heritage or culture during taoiseach events	2	$173	127	127	+0	open	—	03-17 17:55
nba dal phx 2026 02 10	6	$170	305	305	+0	open	—	02-10 06:28
nba okc lal 2026 02 09	6	$168	184	184	+0	open	—	02-09 11:06
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	8	$161	91	91	+0	open	—	03-24 03:06
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	6	$159	91	91	+0	open	—	03-24 11:29
cs2 prv nip 2026 03 19	4	$148	147	147	+0	open	—	03-19 12:21
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	2	$145	82	82	+0	open	—	02-24 20:31
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	2	$143	84	84	+0	open	—	03-17 04:12
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	4	$142	114	114	+0	open	—	03-20 13:42
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	2	$140	77	77	+0	open	—	03-20 16:25
col spp az 2026 03 19 spp	2	$138	73	73	+0	open	—	03-19 21:15
nba sac nop 2026 02 09	4	$138	220	220	+0	open	—	02-09 00:22
nba lac hou 2026 02 10	7	$138	291	197	+94	open	—	02-10 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 22:13:31	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0xd48d8f…
04-07 08:21:43	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xf74c41…
04-07 07:31:07	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xad723e…
04-07 07:30:47	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb1e2d5…
04-07 05:22:33	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xaf7d5d…
04-07 03:17:59	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf2f062…
04-05 22:45:05	highest temperature in atlanta on april 7 2026 76forhigher	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6bc03b…
04-05 10:38:27	highest temperature in san francisco on april 5 2026 78forhigher	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x81d82f…
04-02 23:30:27	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xad1066…
04-02 23:11:17	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x883bef…
04-02 23:08:09	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26fc03…
04-02 23:08:05	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x438a35…
04-02 23:00:09	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa218eb…
04-02 22:39:21	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1ebbbb…
04-02 22:25:59	highest temperature in atlanta on april 3 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6c00b6…
03-30 20:47:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	64	20¢	$13	0x155842…
03-30 20:47:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	61	32¢	$19	0xb6a9e7…
03-30 20:47:13	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	Yes	SELL	97	37¢	$35	0xe3cf8f…
03-30 19:59:31	highest temperature in atlanta on march 30 2026 76forhigher	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xa0f549…
03-30 19:35:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 30 2026 76forhigher	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x067756…
03-30 19:26:39	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x92b721…
03-30 18:11:59	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0xc189a9…
03-30 17:37:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0x6b1a32…
03-30 17:34:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0x6b05bb…
03-30 17:08:59	lol navi sk 2026 03 30	Natus Vincere	SELL	36	68¢	$25	0x8009fc…
03-30 17:07:55	lol navi sk 2026 03 30	Natus Vincere	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x377631…
03-30 17:05:45	lol navi sk 2026 03 30	Natus Vincere	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0x4ce1c4…
03-30 12:55:20	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x0229c9…
03-30 11:58:02	lol al tes 2026 03 30 game2	Anyone's Legend	SELL	30	78¢	$24	0xea8641…
03-30 11:55:38	lol al tes 2026 03 30 game2	Anyone's Legend	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x05669a…
03-30 10:50:06	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	13	12¢	$1	0xdd04fe…
03-30 10:29:46	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game2	Nongshim Esports Academy	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xdeb932…
03-30 10:29:18	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x37520a…
03-30 10:27:54	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xb1a18d…
03-30 10:23:58	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x6f9d91…
03-30 09:37:36	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30	HANJIN BRION Challengers	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xa70655…
03-30 09:36:26	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game1	Nongshim Esports Academy	SELL	31	64¢	$20	0x3094e9…
03-30 09:35:42	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xd31d73…
03-30 09:30:56	lol bro1 nsea 2026 03 30 game1	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x7ae567…
03-30 02:20:44	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x1bae02…
03-30 02:19:58	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x488a35…
03-30 01:44:20	nba nyk okc 2026 03 29 total 224pt5	Over	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xf5f308…
03-30 01:39:58	nba nyk okc 2026 03 29 total 224pt5	Over	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x170ae4…
03-30 01:00:46	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x147acd…
03-30 00:43:18	nba hou nop 2026 03 29 total 225pt5	Over	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xfb1c13…
03-30 00:03:30	nba hou nop 2026 03 29 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	26	67¢	$18	0xe868e0…
03-29 22:44:20	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x6b5dac…
03-29 22:16:08	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	108	54¢	$58	0x7ba515…
03-29 21:56:14	highest temperature in austin on march 29 2026 82 83f	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3df4d0…
03-29 21:55:26	highest temperature in austin on march 29 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xd4efa5…
03-29 20:40:42	nba lac mil 2026 03 29 total 220pt5	Over	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0xa04448…
03-29 20:38:12	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	Yes	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x49c7e3…
03-29 20:32:16	nba lac mil 2026 03 29 total 220pt5	Over	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0xa3964a…
03-29 20:08:00	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 66 67f	Yes	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x642ca8…
03-29 18:10:24	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0x63bc33…
03-29 17:50:42	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29	Team Yandex	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xb5ccb6…
03-29 17:47:12	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29	Team Yandex	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xc9ef7a…
03-29 17:37:10	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0xab2d3e…
03-29 17:32:52	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	108	55¢	$59	0x9f696b…
03-29 17:09:42	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x5d265a…
03-29 17:01:20	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game2	Team Yandex	SELL	56	47¢	$26	0x9294cc…
03-29 17:00:38	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	56	42¢	$24	0x7bd9c7…
03-29 16:57:30	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game2	Tundra Esports	SELL	47	55¢	$26	0x6171f5…
03-29 16:55:56	dota2 tundra ty 2026 03 29 game2	Tundra Esports	BUY	47	58¢	$27	0x1527a5…
03-29 16:36:38	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x107345…
03-29 16:04:14	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xe5e390…
03-29 15:43:58	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	46	19¢	$9	0x5d87e1…
03-29 15:42:58	lol sk th 2026 03 29 game1	Team Heretics	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xb83dc0…
03-29 15:42:26	lol sk th 2026 03 29 game1	Team Heretics	SELL	17	32¢	$6	0xfa7d44…
03-29 15:42:16	lol sk th 2026 03 29 game1	Team Heretics	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xcf12e6…
03-29 15:41:58	lol sk th 2026 03 29 game1	Team Heretics	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0xb2f56e…
03-29 15:24:00	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0xe12ff4…
03-29 14:00:04	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 68 69f	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x4048e2…
03-29 13:11:38	dota2 ty xtreme 2026 03 29	Team Yandex	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0x5bdbcd…
03-29 13:08:56	dota2 ty xtreme 2026 03 29	Team Yandex	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x9b75b8…
03-29 12:45:00	cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xa7d98b…
03-29 10:32:18	lol nip omg 2026 03 29	Ninjas in Pyjamas	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x86da3b…
03-29 10:30:54	lol nip omg 2026 03 29	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x234b36…
03-29 10:22:46	cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x97db20…
03-29 09:54:40	highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 50 51f	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x553259…
03-29 09:54:26	highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 50 51f	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x94acdf…
03-29 08:40:42	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x97cb73…
03-29 06:21:26	crint nzl zaf 2026 03 28	South Africa	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0x9fcad9…
03-29 06:19:10	crint nzl zaf 2026 03 28	South Africa	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xac07a8…
03-29 05:48:02	highest temperature in atlanta on march 29 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x9a9045…
03-29 03:42:04	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xf17972…
03-29 03:31:26	nba uta phx 2026 03 28 total 230pt5	Under	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x38846f…
03-29 03:30:56	nba uta phx 2026 03 28 total 230pt5	Under	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x89f3db…
03-29 01:43:04	nba sac atl 2026 03 28 total 236pt5	Under	SELL	83	32¢	$27	0x0e4a8a…
03-29 01:17:48	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x418fdd…
03-29 00:42:36	nba sac atl 2026 03 28 total 236pt5	Under	BUY	83	72¢	$59	0x83a4eb…
03-29 00:04:24	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x5bed44…
03-29 00:03:50	highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x19df6c…
03-28 23:25:58	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x464182…
03-28 23:01:36	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x1e20e9…
03-28 22:40:40	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xf2b145…
03-28 22:33:16	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe85249…
03-28 22:09:20	highest temperature in seattle on march 28 2026 56 57f	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x0dee32…
03-28 21:36:48	dota2 xtreme pari 2026 03 28	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0xf52ffd…
03-28 21:31:42	dota2 xtreme pari 2026 03 28	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x3f8090…