Ignorant-Plan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,016

lifetime

Volume

$40.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

26% 67% +$7

Sports

23% 67% +$34

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 348	96	$3.6K	7,711	7,124	+587	open	—	01-14 17:41
will trump say olympic during panthers visit	39	$2.5K	1,022	2,050	-1,028	open	—	01-15 22:40
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	49	$1.7K	1,705	1,467	+238	open	—	03-13 17:29
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	36	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-28 02:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	23	$1.0K	688	688	+0	open	—	03-27 14:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	52	$1.0K	1,566	705	+861	open	—	03-13 23:59
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$776	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	01-13 19:49
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	35	$772	950	950	+0	open	—	03-25 00:06
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	20	$708	456	456	+0	open	—	03-25 15:36
nba was det 2026 02 05	3	$601	700	0	+700	open	—	02-06 00:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$535	480	460	+20	open	—	06-02 21:20
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	24	$526	305	305	+0	open	—	02-12 22:02
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	12	$506	626	600	+26	open	—	01-30 13:08
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1 724	13	$469	300	300	+0	open	—	01-08 19:37
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	30	$453	991	500	+491	open	—	01-29 23:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	14	$429	1,100	630	+470	open	—	01-14 01:04
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	20	$421	960	1,173	-213	open	—	01-19 01:34
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	35	$412	1,765	1,352	+413	open	—	03-28 10:43
will powell say inflation 50 times during march press conference	26	$405	544	544	+0	open	—	03-18 19:27
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	15	$306	651	271	+380	open	—	05-17 23:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 948	3	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:33
nba cle det 2026 02 27	8	$280	250	250	+0	open	—	02-28 03:29
chatgpt full outage by march 31	10	$256	700	600	+100	open	—	03-17 02:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$250	207	141	+67	open	—	03-08 18:46
lal mad rso 2026 03 07 mad	9	$233	180	150	+30	open	—	03-07 19:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	6	$232	200	200	-0	open	—	01-08 13:32
Will Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	4	$226	115	115	+0	open	—	03-29 21:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	6	$212	133	130	+3	open	—	01-25 13:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	16	$209	391	441	-50	open	—	03-13 03:50
chatgpt outage by april 3	4	$205	147	147	+0	open	—	04-02 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:45:54	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe48d20…
07-19 15:31:48	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd5bf32…
07-19 15:26:51	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956886	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x313ef3…
07-19 05:03:27	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x235761…
07-19 03:06:06	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x247aaf…
07-18 21:29:09	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x031414…
07-18 21:28:57	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x94c491…
07-18 13:54:34	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x34bcf6…
07-18 12:52:24	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6782d9…
07-18 12:52:21	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xc3bb0b…
07-18 11:59:58	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x8a5542…
07-17 01:08:02	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc7e19b…
07-16 22:54:23	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x65cfe9…
07-16 22:54:16	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xabd1c5…
07-16 21:44:43	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xb67f25…
07-16 21:44:40	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc0fda8…
07-16 21:44:40	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb6c6a3…
07-16 21:44:40	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x85be37…
07-16 21:22:52	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x19d515…
07-16 21:19:17	will the announcers say maradona or pele during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403323	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x21d010…
07-16 21:16:08	will the announcers say crossbar during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956899	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xf48e0a…
07-16 21:15:16	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xb346a5…
07-16 20:06:55	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956900	Yes	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0xd49ea0…
07-16 17:49:52	will the announcers say crossbar during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740634	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x02d275…
07-16 14:11:23	will trump say venezuela during speech to the nation 20260713200621424	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x0f81e2…
07-16 14:10:40	will trump say hottest during speech to the nation 20260713200621429	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x29702a…
07-16 14:10:01	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xab8581…
07-16 14:09:14	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xbdc82d…
07-15 15:11:53	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xebc78b…
07-15 15:11:20	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905981	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x74f71a…
07-15 15:10:59	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905975	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x072ac3…
07-15 15:10:25	will the announcers say resilience during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905970	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xeb60e8…
07-15 00:01:19	will the announcers say hand of god during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905969	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc71467…
07-14 23:59:56	will the announcers say ronaldo during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905981	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe71fdf…
07-14 23:58:32	will the announcers say resilience during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905970	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfbbbab…
07-14 23:23:55	will the announcers say crossbar during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905975	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x67bb74…
07-14 23:22:44	will the announcers say turnover during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905967	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xdc92cd…
07-14 23:22:19	will the announcers say shot 15 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905965	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x38b69a…
07-14 23:21:58	will the announcers say corner 22 times during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905963	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1fbfff…
07-14 15:36:16	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716375	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x966c8d…
07-14 14:27:59	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716361	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x25b6eb…
07-14 13:09:29	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the france vs spain fifa world cup match 20260713142716361	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xf0ee08…
07-12 17:41:08	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x075949…
07-12 00:55:19	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xfa171c…
07-11 21:06:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 extra time	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0f09cb…
07-11 20:59:35	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543746	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x953877…
07-11 19:50:37	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543746	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa9aacb…
07-11 19:21:07	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543748	Yes	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xad8322…
07-11 18:07:17	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543746	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x78bf59…
07-11 18:06:05	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543748	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x10807e…
07-10 02:04:20	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x448bd7…
07-10 02:03:53	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	Yes	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0xff113a…
07-09 23:15:10	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9ff34d…
07-09 20:33:23	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x846481…
07-09 20:33:20	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfb88d9…
07-09 19:06:14	will the announcers say compact during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420738	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xb1fea5…
07-09 17:46:29	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x391ff6…
07-09 15:30:50	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420743	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x3c31c0…
07-09 14:50:10	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420746	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x1a344e…
07-09 14:49:22	will the announcers say golden goal during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420741	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0d8a30…
07-09 14:36:52	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3a542d…
07-09 14:36:22	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x275f08…
07-09 14:35:53	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x22eb92…
07-09 14:23:13	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe756f9…
07-09 14:21:52	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x36e800…
07-09 14:21:17	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x64fe8c…
07-09 14:21:08	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420730	Yes	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x15e0ba…
07-07 22:28:32	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x124acc…
07-07 18:31:22	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf5e4d3…
07-07 18:31:22	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x07a669…
07-07 18:30:25	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4ab41c…
07-07 18:30:08	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	No	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0x34315d…
07-07 16:50:14	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x614c3a…
07-07 16:27:41	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	Yes	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0xea9708…
07-07 16:24:41	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x525cda…
07-07 16:20:55	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x3e60aa…
07-07 15:24:35	will the announcers say var during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505716	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2f92cc…
07-07 15:23:13	will the announcers say corner 12 times during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240071	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x55da4f…
07-07 15:21:14	will colombia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134508	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x1d19da…
07-06 23:35:01	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x576b5b…
07-06 20:53:13	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	138	7¢	$10	0x6485f0…
07-06 20:53:13	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0x41a6c1…
07-06 17:40:38	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x94a657…
07-06 17:37:04	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the portugal vs spain fifa world cup match 20260706131659330	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e93c2…
07-06 17:35:43	will the announcers say nfl during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348892	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xb306c7…
07-06 15:59:01	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xa28c6b…
07-06 15:57:47	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa066a2…
07-06 15:57:40	will the announcers say var during the usa vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260706134348894	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x9e612d…
07-05 21:59:41	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x50f490…
07-05 21:55:16	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0xcc1946…
07-05 21:54:29	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc82d1b…
07-05 21:52:49	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xfa947b…
07-05 19:38:41	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x60f6b6…
07-05 01:39:58	will trumps remarks not air 20260630160620582 476 169	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7a756d…
07-04 22:03:25	will trump say never seen before during tribute to america rally 20260630160620569	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x0353e4…
07-04 21:58:43	will trump say fake news during tribute to america rally 20260630160620562	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8dc947…
07-04 21:58:19	will trump say never seen before during tribute to america rally 20260630160620569	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x568d3b…
07-04 02:01:41	will the announcers say var during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402814	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbba10e…
07-04 01:05:19	will the announcers say var during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402814	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x950d00…
07-03 23:55:07	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xc75439…