Ignorant-Plan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,098

lifetime

Volume

$41.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

28% 67% +$7

Sports

22% 67% +$34

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 348	96	$3.6K	7,711	7,124	+587	open	—	01-14 17:41
will trump say olympic during panthers visit	39	$2.5K	1,022	2,050	-1,028	open	—	01-15 22:40
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1	49	$1.7K	1,705	1,467	+238	open	—	03-13 17:29
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	36	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-28 02:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	23	$1.0K	688	688	+0	open	—	03-27 14:10
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	52	$1.0K	1,566	705	+861	open	—	03-13 23:59
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	16	$776	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	01-13 19:49
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	35	$772	950	950	+0	open	—	03-25 00:06
will mrbeasts next video get 90 million or more views on week 1 212	20	$708	456	456	+0	open	—	03-25 15:36
nba was det 2026 02 05	3	$601	700	0	+700	open	—	02-06 00:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$535	480	460	+20	open	—	06-02 21:20
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	24	$526	305	305	+0	open	—	02-12 22:02
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	12	$506	626	600	+26	open	—	01-30 13:08
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1 724	13	$469	300	300	+0	open	—	01-08 19:37
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	30	$453	991	500	+491	open	—	01-29 23:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	14	$429	1,100	630	+470	open	—	01-14 01:04
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	20	$421	960	1,173	-213	open	—	01-19 01:34
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 287	35	$412	1,765	1,352	+413	open	—	03-28 10:43
will powell say inflation 50 times during march press conference	26	$405	544	544	+0	open	—	03-18 19:27
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	15	$306	651	271	+380	open	—	05-17 23:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 948	3	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	01-08 13:33
nba cle det 2026 02 27	8	$280	250	250	+0	open	—	02-28 03:29
chatgpt full outage by march 31	10	$256	700	600	+100	open	—	03-17 02:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$250	207	141	+67	open	—	03-08 18:46
lal mad rso 2026 03 07 mad	9	$233	180	150	+30	open	—	03-07 19:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	6	$232	200	200	-0	open	—	01-08 13:32
Will Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	4	$226	115	115	+0	open	—	03-29 21:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	6	$212	133	130	+3	open	—	01-25 13:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 122	16	$209	391	441	-50	open	—	03-13 03:50
chatgpt outage by april 3	4	$205	147	147	+0	open	—	04-02 22:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 21:11:10	atp ruud fonseca 2026 08 07	Joao Fonseca	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x912613…
08-06 03:04:32	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x6995ec…
08-06 01:00:35	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x273b7e…
08-05 22:34:17	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x337a12…
08-05 22:33:00	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x39eac6…
08-05 22:29:54	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	SELL	41	85¢	$35	0x0dc830…
08-05 22:02:54	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x48480e…
08-05 21:40:21	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x5bd3fd…
08-05 21:40:18	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd9d7ef…
08-05 20:56:09	will trump say refund during remarks in las vegas 20260804184741453	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x8233fb…
08-05 20:54:53	will trump say through the roof during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421455	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x2989c3…
08-05 19:27:23	will anyone say evict during big brother e14 20260803205833792	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x30ec4c…
08-05 18:29:41	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x4aaad4…
08-05 15:25:17	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4201be…
08-05 15:23:20	will trump say covid or warp speed during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421452	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x4a6da5…
08-05 15:19:00	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	BUY	120	43¢	$52	0x0847fe…
08-05 04:48:17	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x8422d7…
08-05 04:48:15	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x07b24e…
08-05 03:27:20	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa6ee80…
08-05 03:26:17	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x30bea1…
08-05 03:25:14	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdc6ea5…
08-05 03:24:15	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xc42791…
08-05 03:24:14	will trump say waitress during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421458	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x33a7bf…
08-05 01:39:15	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xb8fe3f…
08-05 01:10:35	will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x5bd8cc…
08-05 00:45:41	will trump say tax 30 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421446	Yes	BUY	22	53¢	$11	0x267feb…
08-03 03:17:06	will anyone say evict during big brother e13 20260727163407074	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x344fdb…
08-03 02:13:56	will anyone say evict during big brother e13 20260727163407074	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x545c50…
08-02 18:44:14	will anyone say diary room during big brother e13 20260727163407087	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6f878c…
08-01 13:04:45	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xa0d143…
08-01 12:45:11	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa41269…
08-01 12:44:59	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbc8432…
08-01 12:36:11	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x435d60…
08-01 02:22:08	will anyone say evict during big brother e13 20260727163407074	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa1fad8…
08-01 02:11:39	will anyone say evict during big brother e13 20260727163407074	Yes	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0xf7f34a…
08-01 00:07:57	will anyone say evict during big brother e13 20260727163407074	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb6520c…
08-01 00:07:03	will anyone say loyal or loyalty during big brother e13 20260727163407085	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x254568…
08-01 00:05:23	will anyone say time capsule during big brother e13 20260727163407086	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x30231e…
08-01 00:04:06	will anyone say veto during big brother e13 20260727163407082	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x949a3b…
07-31 21:16:38	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0xd51043…
07-31 16:19:47	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xdd7334…
07-31 15:12:38	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x295439…
07-31 13:59:14	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd43380…
07-31 13:58:06	will trump say venezuela during cabinet meeting 20260727172357451	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe60fe6…
07-31 13:57:44	will trump say russia during cabinet meeting 20260727172357450	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x23063c…
07-31 13:56:41	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8018e5…
07-31 13:56:11	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8be813…
07-31 13:55:47	will trump say socialist during cabinet meeting 20260727172357443	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xce859b…
07-31 13:50:27	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd16a93…
07-31 13:49:03	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x807ff5…
07-31 13:48:26	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xe09d05…
07-31 02:27:23	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	Yes	SELL	101	36¢	$37	0x0565cd…
07-31 00:22:08	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	Yes	SELL	49	36¢	$18	0x9ca7b7…
07-31 00:19:15	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	Yes	BUY	150	41¢	$61	0xc8ad3d…
07-27 20:19:13	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x944bf3…
07-27 20:17:46	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd5b9ed…
07-27 20:11:00	will trump say job 20 times during michigan remarks 20260725221549593	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x8346d4…
07-27 20:10:30	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xeec4dc…
07-25 00:20:49	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x506ae9…
07-24 23:59:54	will trump say drone during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255813	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x5a56ff…
07-24 23:56:51	will trumps remarks not air 20260715212255825	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdebd6e…
07-24 23:55:36	will trump say hell 5 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255809	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x55d093…
07-24 23:41:36	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x9587b7…
07-24 23:39:57	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x2cd332…
07-24 23:39:22	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0x58ab24…
07-24 23:32:45	will trump say nasty during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255817	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd76e68…
07-24 23:30:18	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc7b582…
07-24 23:21:54	will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x841431…
07-24 21:08:37	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1cadb1…
07-24 21:07:42	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x42d6f2…
07-23 20:59:49	will trump say joe or biden 5 times during announcement on the ratepayer protection pledge 20260723141417604	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x6cafb0…
07-23 17:35:24	will trump say stock market during announcement on the ratepayer protection pledge 20260723141417619	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xca759b…
07-23 17:34:06	will trump say green new scam during announcement on the ratepayer protection pledge 20260723141417611	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x74b8c6…
07-23 17:26:21	will trump say joe or biden 5 times during announcement on the ratepayer protection pledge 20260723141417604	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x47d783…
07-23 17:24:45	will trump say joe or biden 5 times during announcement on the ratepayer protection pledge 20260723141417604	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xd9bbd8…
07-22 19:46:55	will trump say ceasefire during remarks in georgia 20260720190340722	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xedd9f1…
07-22 18:11:03	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x0a111b…
07-22 18:10:12	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	No	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x9d506a…
07-22 18:09:46	chatgpt full outage by august 31 20260715010037673	No	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xf44991…
07-22 18:03:25	will trump say booming during remarks in georgia 20260720190340711	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa24e7c…
07-22 17:56:49	will trump say family 5 times during remarks in georgia 20260720190340705	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x69cda7…
07-19 15:45:54	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xe48d20…
07-19 15:31:48	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd5bf32…
07-19 15:26:51	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956886	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x313ef3…
07-19 05:03:27	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x235761…
07-19 03:06:06	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x247aaf…
07-18 21:29:09	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x031414…
07-18 21:28:57	will the announcers say foul 12 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740620	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x94c491…
07-18 13:54:34	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x34bcf6…
07-18 12:52:24	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6782d9…
07-18 12:52:21	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xc3bb0b…
07-18 11:59:58	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x8a5542…
07-17 01:08:02	will trump say fake news during speech to the nation 20260713200621427	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xc7e19b…
07-16 22:54:23	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x65cfe9…
07-16 22:54:16	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xabd1c5…
07-16 21:44:43	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xb67f25…
07-16 21:44:40	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc0fda8…
07-16 21:44:40	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xb6c6a3…
07-16 21:44:40	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x85be37…
07-16 21:22:52	will the announcers say soccer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757336	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x19d515…