Wicked-Geography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

394

Trades

1,134

lifetime

Volume

$115.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-26 22:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

61% 66% +$3,805

Sports

30% 57% -$360

Crypto

9% 61% -$331

Politics

0% 0% -$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+217	$50	22¢	$49	-$1	09-24 04:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Canadiens vs. Sabres	8	$6.4K	3,772	3,772	+0	Sabres	+$138	05-07 00:34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	23	$4.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$585	05-10 21:48
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	9	$3.9K	2,745	2,745	+0	Yes	-$189	05-08 20:39
Canadiens vs. Sabres	7	$3.2K	2,095	2,095	+0	Canadiens	+$48	05-09 01:31
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	19	$3.1K	2,833	2,833	+0	Yes	+$190	05-30 19:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$2.5K	2,707	2,707	+0	Yes	+$523	07-19 22:15
epl che mun 2026 04 18 draw	5	$2.5K	1,361	1,356	+5	No	+$118	04-18 21:12
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	5	$2.5K	1,910	1,375	+534	Yes	+$388	04-12 17:00
fif che ger 2026 03 27 ger	8	$2.2K	1,151	1,151	+0	Yes	+$35	03-27 21:42
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	4	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	Yes	+$56	05-04 02:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	31	$2.0K	2,337	1,687	+650	No	+$18	05-06 20:50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$1.9K	4,017	4,017	+0	No	+$110	07-14 20:32
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	3	$1.8K	1,254	1,254	+0	Yes	+$248	06-14 02:46
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$1.7K	1,628	1,628	+0	No	+$307	05-30 18:46
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$1.7K	1,156	1,156	+0	Spain	+$653	07-14 21:00
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$1.4K	826	826	+0	Yes	+$225	07-19 22:16
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	5	$1.4K	1,096	1,080	+16	Yes	+$297	04-19 17:25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	6	$1.3K	828	828	+0	Yes	+$178	05-09 18:20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	5	$1.3K	979	979	+0	Yes	-$134	05-10 17:32
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	3	$1.2K	834	834	+0	Yes	+$239	05-09 13:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$1.1K	822	822	+0	Yes	-$172	04-15 20:22
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	5	$1.1K	711	711	+0	Canadiens	+$43	05-22 02:50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	4	$1.0K	689	689	+0	Yes	+$85	09-20 20:20
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	3	$1.0K	558	556	+2	Yes	+$78	04-22 20:53
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$1.0K	1,067	1,067	+0	Yes	+$30	06-07 02:53
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	2	$1.0K	641	641	+0	Golden Knights	+$19	05-23 01:54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	3	$1.0K	628	590	+38	Yes	+$46	05-13 19:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$1000	1,042	781	+260	Yes	+$260	05-13 19:32
fif col fra 2026 03 29 fra	5	$982	702	702	+0	Yes	+$82	03-29 20:37
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 draw	3	$924	533	529	+4	No	+$128	04-07 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:52:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x20eb24…
10-26 22:26:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xf29fa0…
10-26 22:20:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	561	30¢	$169	0x806fe3…
10-25 20:44:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x1a2b59…
10-25 19:20:51	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x2bc2a3…
10-25 17:51:45	Olympique de Marseille vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x1df41a…
10-25 17:34:39	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	448	100¢	$447	0xec17b9…
10-25 17:20:14	Olympique de Marseille vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbe3901…
10-25 15:33:57	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xb2b025…
10-25 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xc79bb1…
10-25 10:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x10a4e7…
10-25 10:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	146	5¢	$7	0x79d3ce…
10-25 10:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x8046e8…
10-25 07:58:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	561	18¢	$100	0xaa04bb…
10-24 22:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	121	96¢	$116	0xc89088…
10-24 22:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x6d066f…
10-24 18:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	425	99¢	$421	0x32c62d…
10-24 18:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	276	90¢	$249	0x72f600…
10-24 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xeee905…
10-24 18:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	132	88¢	$116	0x6c52b1…
10-24 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x2b9c97…
10-24 13:10:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	476	71¢	$338	0x01387d…
10-24 13:04:21	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0x664742…
10-24 13:04:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	423	9¢	$38	0x46c80b…
10-24 12:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	212	19¢	$40	0x30a165…
10-24 12:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x7dcae0…
10-24 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	188	2¢	$4	0x7aeb96…
10-24 12:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x9f739c…
10-24 11:39:06	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x3cb077…
10-24 10:51:23	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xdb44b9…
10-24 08:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	114	99¢	$112	0x1e6d5f…
10-24 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xef6812…
10-24 08:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x371aa1…
10-24 08:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0b7758…
10-24 08:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	130	79¢	$103	0x059dd6…
10-24 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x1d0013…
10-24 06:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0xbad7dd…
10-24 06:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xffe1bd…
10-23 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0xaeaba6…
10-23 23:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x2ce0e2…
10-23 23:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xe6ad67…
10-23 23:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	122	88¢	$107	0x5daca4…
10-23 23:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x529f03…
10-23 23:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	145	99¢	$143	0x952b0b…
10-23 23:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x06f81e…
10-23 23:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0xd49537…
10-23 23:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xcc3703…
10-23 23:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0xa71e81…
10-23 23:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xb91571…
10-23 23:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	122	96¢	$117	0x948b66…
10-23 23:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x0388d1…
10-23 23:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	132	95¢	$125	0x27ac17…
10-23 23:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x5df23c…
10-23 22:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	264	76¢	$200	0x4b97b2…
10-23 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x130ea1…
10-23 22:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x9a23e3…
10-23 22:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	215	18¢	$39	0xebf45b…
10-23 22:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x07b98c…
10-23 22:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	185	99¢	$183	0x31c2e6…
10-23 22:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa00647…
10-23 22:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	152	40¢	$61	0xc7f524…
10-23 22:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xe26480…
10-23 22:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0xd1331f…
10-23 22:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x89ebff…
10-23 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xe36db4…
10-23 15:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x558362…
10-23 15:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x835ed0…
10-23 15:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	184	63¢	$116	0x091a0a…
10-23 15:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x069dcb…
10-22 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	191	99¢	$189	0x2e57a2…
10-22 22:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x635b31…
10-22 22:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	123	70¢	$86	0x88502a…
10-22 22:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x265997…
10-22 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x19ff87…
10-22 22:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd3123b…
10-22 21:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x049943…
10-22 21:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc33e60…
10-22 17:02:50	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0xc7012e…
10-22 16:24:23	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x9509ee…
10-21 20:47:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xa3c8a3…
10-21 20:21:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	68	72¢	$49	0xdaab92…
10-21 19:46:09	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	270	41¢	$111	0x5c2f6e…
10-21 19:27:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x559f02…
10-21 18:38:21	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x2e7c5b…
10-20 19:49:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x36b6f8…
10-20 17:03:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	317	41¢	$130	0xe81692…
10-19 20:55:36	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x66706f…
10-19 20:19:41	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	48	81¢	$39	0x30ce0d…
10-19 19:03:00	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x68f731…
10-18 19:28:50	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	60	72¢	$43	0x994b9d…
10-18 19:26:47	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x5ee3d9…
10-18 17:24:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x069707…
10-18 17:10:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	115	84¢	$97	0x47da70…
10-18 15:33:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x90f288…
10-18 14:53:21	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x359c83…
10-18 14:47:11	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0xf6f7f6…
10-18 14:38:00	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x5ec1a7…
10-17 17:31:15	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x8dec51…
10-17 17:29:38	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	80	67¢	$54	0x91ad64…
10-17 17:18:44	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x573ceb…