Ornery-Wink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

544

Trades

1,094

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$90

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-14 19:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

70% 29% -$2,118

Sports

13% 26% -$795

Politics

13% 29% -$67

Crypto

4% 33% -$149

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes		-543	-$108	16¢	$-90	+$19	06-10 09:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	9	$2.4K	4,143	4,143	+0	No	-$233	03-27 12:05
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	11	$1.3K	1,498	1,498	+0	No	-$80	04-03 14:43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.2K	8,046	5,494	+2,551	No	-$227	05-14 14:22
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$1.1K	982	982	+0	No	+$60	04-12 02:02
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$953	3,189	632	+2,557	No	-$688	05-06 19:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	3	$899	1,764	1,764	+0	No	+$879	03-06 05:53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$850	1,547	1,547	+0	No	-$48	07-14 19:26
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	4	$790	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$780	03-03 06:11
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	8	$730	4,169	4,169	+0	No	+$30	04-03 06:19
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	4	$700	1,842	1,842	+0	Yes	+$80	04-02 14:18
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	3	$664	1,577	1,577	+0	Yes	+$645	03-06 05:36
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	5	$482	1,540	1,540	+0	No	-$118	04-03 08:57
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	3	$473	1,550	751	+799	No	-$247	04-12 08:51
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	2	$461	1,909	0	+1,909	No	-$461	07-14 19:27
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	2	$429	342	330	+12	Yes	+$241	04-13 16:09
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	6	$412	1,680	1,680	+0	No	-$37	03-26 12:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$351	541	541	+0	No	-$49	03-23 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	3	$349	1,708	1,638	+70	No	-$251	04-07 05:56
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$345	9,325	9,325	+0	No	-$155	04-06 13:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$332	596	596	+0	No	+$132	04-27 03:56
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	3	$330	868	868	+0	Yes	+$250	03-31 09:11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$323	333	333	+0	No	-$77	05-03 17:45
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	6	$322	251	245	+6	No	+$45	04-13 16:09
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$319	6,250	12,192	-5,942	No	+$119	07-05 03:59
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	2	$302	721	721	+0	No	-$98	04-12 02:02
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	1	$300	2,390	0	+2,390	No	-$300	03-21 18:10
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$294	3,065	3,065	+0	No	-$6	04-11 13:51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	2	$271	173	171	+2	Yes	+$73	04-25 17:47
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	5	$263	1,770	1,770	+0	No	+$13	03-10 15:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	6	$258	263	263	+0	No	+$58	04-26 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:27:32	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	1,659	22¢	$369	0x23fb2a…
07-14 19:26:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,547	26¢	$401	0x6576c0…
07-14 18:54:40	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	251	36¢	$91	0xde1241…
07-14 18:52:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	424	23¢	$98	0x22c3ec…
07-08 04:50:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xeabd54…
07-06 10:57:53	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,159	33¢	$379	0x3aff58…
07-05 03:59:44	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,500	3¢	$187	0x861312…
07-05 03:59:10	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,500	2¢	$104	0x6d4af9…
07-05 03:58:29	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,500	3¢	$108	0x38e0d6…
07-03 13:33:31	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	BUY	154	5¢	$8	0x2ea299…
07-03 13:29:01	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	773	3¢	$20	0x0d212d…
07-03 13:24:41	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	490	6¢	$28	0x8aeb26…
06-28 02:42:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	12¢	$11	0xea806c…
06-28 02:41:34	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1ad978…
06-21 09:14:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xb49559…
06-21 09:13:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1b4670…
06-21 09:10:59	Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0x74ad67…
06-20 09:40:05	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xba1799…
06-20 09:37:20	Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7f4302…
06-20 09:36:47	Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb45b0c…
06-20 04:45:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x41ae0b…
06-20 04:44:41	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd57655…
06-17 16:52:04	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x795ccf…
06-17 10:00:49	will 4 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949023	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xebbca6…
06-17 10:00:43	will 3 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949022	No	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0xfd2922…
06-17 09:57:35	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x5545c4…
06-17 09:46:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf148cd…
06-17 09:45:26	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x318b61…
06-17 09:42:38	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	SELL	36	85¢	$30	0xfabd75…
06-14 10:36:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33a475…
06-10 10:24:54	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	667	4¢	$30	0xd47db1…
06-10 10:20:57	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	490	10¢	$50	0x841382…
06-10 10:19:33	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe27c8b…
06-10 10:15:04	world cup goals h2h messi vspt ronaldo 20260604005506837	Messi	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9977ab…
06-10 09:45:13	Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	543	20¢	$108	0x326d61…
05-25 10:29:25	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	90	31¢	$28	0xd81567…
05-24 07:02:08	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	556	5¢	$28	0x2c7161…
05-20 09:16:02	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,091	1¢	$23	0x8f7531…
05-20 06:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xfdb3b8…
05-20 06:18:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x39e639…
05-20 05:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	3¢	$6	0x8eb307…
05-20 05:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x0fb056…
05-20 05:22:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xf7bb9d…
05-20 05:22:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x03909f…
05-20 05:22:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x817977…
05-19 15:03:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	13¢	$15	0x1addfe…
05-18 19:24:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	13¢	$16	0x220fa9…
05-18 19:23:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	7¢	$12	0xce5866…
05-18 05:15:03	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xa7e01c…
05-18 04:15:09	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7e5698…
05-17 08:09:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0xbd35b0…
05-17 08:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2f364b…
05-17 08:06:25	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xaf2595…
05-16 18:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	384	5¢	$20	0xf3f0f6…
05-16 18:06:04	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	235	7¢	$16	0x134958…
05-16 18:05:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	16¢	$20	0x733a39…
05-16 18:02:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xcf7df3…
05-16 14:26:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x6a25d0…
05-16 13:56:56	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1d2920…
05-16 13:55:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	355	12¢	$43	0xc92b0c…
05-15 07:12:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	18¢	$22	0x376287…
05-15 07:09:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	345	3¢	$12	0x0fbc98…
05-15 06:59:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	436	2¢	$11	0x777f52…
05-14 14:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x74fdb9…
05-14 14:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x735df4…
05-14 14:24:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	424	16¢	$70	0xf0243c…
05-14 14:24:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	389	18¢	$70	0xd259b1…
05-14 14:22:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,046	9¢	$700	0xc4e03b…
05-14 14:21:24	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,250	2¢	$100	0xb66724…
05-10 18:14:31	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x4479d5…
05-10 18:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x78db4f…
05-10 18:11:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	355	4¢	$15	0x8d82b8…
05-10 18:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xd057f4…
05-10 18:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	436	2¢	$10	0x0e1f0e…
05-10 18:10:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x1ce120…
05-10 18:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0xc9326b…
05-10 18:02:02	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0x05aefb…
05-10 17:51:37	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x01be7f…
05-10 15:46:30	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xe416cb…
05-10 15:46:30	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x1a31c6…
05-10 14:58:35	Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x5637bd…
05-10 14:51:24	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xed56e3…
05-10 14:50:53	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x201e8c…
05-10 14:45:34	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8aae20…
05-10 14:39:28	Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xeb6809…
05-09 18:40:49	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5616ca…
05-09 18:40:17	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8140cd…
05-09 17:02:57	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb083ff…
05-09 17:01:51	Brentford FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4669f5…
05-09 17:00:29	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x43556c…
05-09 17:00:13	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7a68fe…
05-09 16:59:12	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	441	4¢	$16	0x3372bf…
05-09 14:14:10	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x8bbc5d…
05-09 13:26:20	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36c5bf…
05-09 13:13:27	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x335075…
05-09 13:02:23	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4fb426…
05-09 13:01:59	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x103b72…
05-09 12:54:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0xa139fc…
05-09 12:36:21	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x16657f…
05-09 11:41:31	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x5b9714…