Far-Flung-Dogsled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$217

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

391

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-01 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

73% 50% $-1

Other

27% 100% +$219

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	8	$1.7K	950	950	+0	open	—	06-21 13:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.5K	959	959	+0	open	—	07-11 18:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$1.4K	912	912	+0	open	—	06-09 14:52
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	3	$1.2K	711	711	+0	open	—	07-26 00:49
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	13	$1.0K	755	755	+0	Yes	+$219	05-12 10:25
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	7	$1.0K	693	731	-38	open	—	06-07 20:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$859	645	645	+0	open	—	05-28 16:32
israel closes its airspace by august 31	9	$825	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	07-12 17:32
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	8	$779	556	556	+0	open	—	06-26 18:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	7	$709	486	486	+0	open	—	06-11 21:17
israel closes its airspace by june 14	4	$617	337	337	+0	open	—	06-14 20:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$605	313	313	+0	open	—	05-22 19:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$580	374	374	+0	open	—	05-31 02:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$553	300	300	+0	open	—	06-01 04:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	4	$519	477	477	+0	open	—	08-01 05:02
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$511	371	371	+0	open	—	05-19 07:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$487	287	287	+0	open	—	06-01 07:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$421	358	358	+0	open	—	05-19 07:49
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$330	334	334	+0	open	—	06-07 20:28
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	5	$329	217	217	+0	open	—	04-28 13:52
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	6	$321	243	243	+0	open	—	04-20 20:15
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$303	157	157	+0	open	—	04-10 16:28
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	1	$300	441	0	+441	open	—	06-24 19:07
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	3	$277	200	200	+0	open	—	06-18 04:58
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	4	$276	178	178	+0	open	—	03-26 23:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	2	$269	174	174	+0	open	—	06-19 07:26
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$265	158	158	+0	open	—	07-26 00:51
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	3	$264	190	190	+0	open	—	05-19 07:51
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$255	200	300	-100	open	—	06-07 20:21
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?	2	$253	130	130	+0	open	—	04-10 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 05:02:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	357	39¢	$139	0x0ecaa4…
07-30 17:28:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0xb3791f…
07-30 16:27:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0xa49046…
07-30 16:27:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x985205…
07-30 08:21:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	477	63¢	$300	0xe64b74…
07-29 11:52:45	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	233	63¢	$147	0x372a95…
07-29 09:21:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xddcc3f…
07-28 09:52:29	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x6688fb…
07-26 14:11:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	120	77¢	$92	0xd5aab7…
07-26 00:51:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	158	92¢	$145	0x9dcfe0…
07-26 00:49:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	711	89¢	$632	0xf04b2e…
07-24 20:01:24	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	195	65¢	$127	0x69a7de…
07-19 07:25:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x3a5a8b…
07-17 11:15:55	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	SELL	147	54¢	$79	0xd8ce63…
07-16 17:44:56	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xb55fc9…
07-13 12:28:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	119	66¢	$79	0x8fdd65…
07-12 17:32:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xb5da58…
07-12 17:32:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	276	69¢	$191	0x4635b5…
07-12 17:32:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	79	69¢	$55	0x508ce0…
07-12 13:44:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x46c61a…
07-11 22:53:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0xcb4012…
07-11 18:20:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	76	91¢	$69	0xd44ab2…
07-11 18:19:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	133	99¢	$133	0x19d8af…
07-11 18:19:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	148	86¢	$127	0xf7673d…
07-10 13:10:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	324	80¢	$259	0xd05e83…
07-10 13:06:08	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0x304005…
07-10 12:21:40	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6da379…
07-10 12:07:25	btc updown 5m 1783685100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6ab136…
07-10 12:06:56	btc updown 5m 1783685100	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f3730…
07-10 12:02:37	btc updown 5m 1783684800	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x35d806…
07-10 12:00:38	btc updown 5m 1783684800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf7ed32…
07-10 11:57:20	btc updown 5m 1783684500	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4f5b14…
07-10 11:56:20	btc updown 5m 1783684500	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f1b71…
07-10 10:25:20	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd5a9e6…
07-10 10:23:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2044df…
07-10 09:59:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	169	80¢	$135	0x77f5b6…
07-09 19:32:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x5216f2…
07-09 17:31:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0x6bed5e…
07-09 17:14:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	743	87¢	$646	0x7659a0…
07-08 20:03:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0x615b43…
07-01 19:52:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	323	63¢	$205	0x081008…
06-30 20:48:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0x3af375…
06-28 18:33:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0xcbaae4…
06-28 18:16:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	667	75¢	$500	0x379353…
06-28 18:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x917589…
06-28 18:11:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	205	34¢	$70	0x084752…
06-27 18:45:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xba17f3…
06-26 18:48:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	442	85¢	$376	0x3eb410…
06-25 13:15:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0xc9d959…
06-25 13:15:28	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	114	38¢	$43	0x641cbb…
06-25 13:15:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	114	39¢	$44	0x84463e…
06-25 05:49:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	162	73¢	$118	0x7f187b…
06-24 19:13:25	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	105	73¢	$77	0x3e741d…
06-24 19:12:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x6b8a3f…
06-24 19:09:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0xe1073b…
06-24 19:07:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x0bf114…
06-24 05:31:23	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdff7f9…
06-23 20:02:04	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	45	30¢	$14	0x9713c1…
06-21 16:03:19	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x30a2af…
06-21 14:32:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xa8993a…
06-21 14:24:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xa4fe9c…
06-21 14:09:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x71ac60…
06-21 13:59:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0x500905…
06-21 13:50:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$22	0x1f4184…
06-21 13:45:43	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	753	98¢	$740	0x9344f9…
06-21 13:25:01	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	SELL	197	99¢	$194	0x94bc35…
06-20 19:54:31	will scott mctominay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xfcf973…
06-19 20:22:07	will scott mctominay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x04fc4a…
06-19 11:37:47	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfbcfb4…
06-19 07:26:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	174	97¢	$169	0xd92d84…
06-18 21:10:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0xcbf976…
06-18 04:58:19	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$121	0x775c1a…
06-17 20:17:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	352	71¢	$250	0x9b734a…
06-17 09:58:46	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	195	78¢	$152	0xbf5abe…
06-17 06:08:20	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xca1329…
06-15 11:42:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	140	55¢	$77	0xf338db…
06-15 08:16:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	113	65¢	$73	0x50dcd9…
06-15 08:16:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x2420fb…
06-15 05:45:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0x1fca90…
06-14 20:38:13	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	124	94¢	$116	0x331229…
06-14 20:37:42	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0xa28bd6…
06-14 20:37:42	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	SELL	144	94¢	$135	0x6a7fd8…
06-14 19:26:07	israel closes its airspace by june 14	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x76bd3e…
06-12 20:34:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x3b3b10…
06-11 21:17:04	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	486	81¢	$394	0xdfb170…
06-11 18:41:42	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	No	SELL	197	57¢	$112	0x6d847e…
06-11 17:42:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	218	36¢	$77	0xd2d9af…
06-11 17:42:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	103	28¢	$29	0x1d59f4…
06-10 11:53:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x768600…
06-09 16:08:42	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x7d4f11…
06-09 14:53:03	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	476	84¢	$400	0x2662e7…
06-09 14:52:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	684	77¢	$527	0xc0b5c2…
06-09 12:56:57	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0xacb8ca…
06-09 12:30:40	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	370	86¢	$316	0x733934…
06-09 12:30:33	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x5054c4…
06-09 12:29:13	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x2528b7…
06-08 07:52:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	228	82¢	$187	0xde31bf…
06-07 20:42:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0x223254…
06-07 20:28:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	334	24¢	$80	0xb32b50…
06-07 20:22:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	489	75¢	$367	0x2cbfd7…