Far-Flung-Dogsled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$217

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-21 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 50% $-1

Other

28% 100% +$219

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	12	$1.8K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	08-20 10:04
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	8	$1.7K	950	950	+0	open	—	06-21 13:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.5K	959	959	+0	open	—	07-11 18:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$1.4K	912	912	+0	open	—	06-09 14:52
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	3	$1.2K	711	711	+0	open	—	07-26 00:49
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	13	$1.0K	755	755	+0	Yes	+$219	05-12 10:25
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	7	$1.0K	693	731	-38	open	—	06-07 20:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$859	645	645	+0	open	—	05-28 16:32
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	8	$779	556	556	+0	open	—	06-26 18:48
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	7	$709	486	486	+0	open	—	06-11 21:17
israel closes its airspace by june 14	4	$617	337	337	+0	open	—	06-14 20:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$605	313	313	+0	open	—	05-22 19:22
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	5	$589	597	477	+120	open	—	08-12 19:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$580	374	374	+0	open	—	05-31 02:52
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$553	300	300	+0	open	—	06-01 04:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	5	$537	451	451	+0	open	—	08-12 12:09
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$511	371	371	+0	open	—	05-19 07:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$487	287	287	+0	open	—	06-01 07:01
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	2	$459	323	323	+0	open	—	08-02 07:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$421	358	358	+0	open	—	05-19 07:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	3	$411	271	271	+0	open	—	08-20 17:32
iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	3	$352	250	250	+0	open	—	08-07 17:42
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	2	$344	256	256	+0	open	—	08-19 11:29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$330	334	334	+0	open	—	06-07 20:28
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	5	$329	217	217	+0	open	—	04-28 13:52
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	6	$321	243	243	+0	open	—	04-20 20:15
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$303	157	157	+0	open	—	04-10 16:28
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	1	$300	441	0	+441	open	—	06-24 19:07
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	3	$277	200	200	+0	open	—	06-18 04:58
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	4	$276	178	178	+0	open	—	03-26 23:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 15:10:19	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x066da7…
08-21 11:17:22	will iran target kuwait by september 30 2026	No	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0xb375c8…
08-21 11:17:13	will iran target kuwait by september 30 2026	No	BUY	107	55¢	$59	0x46958c…
08-21 06:41:51	will iran target iraq by august 31 2026	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xe1d378…
08-20 20:54:55	houthis successfully target shipping by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xde932d…
08-20 20:54:46	houthis successfully target shipping by september 30 2026	No	BUY	70	21¢	$15	0x77960b…
08-20 20:52:51	will iran target kuwait by september 15 2026	No	BUY	160	58¢	$93	0xd41b90…
08-20 20:50:21	will iran target syria by september 30 2026	No	BUY	77	76¢	$59	0x4966c8…
08-20 20:48:01	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x0ae702…
08-20 17:33:48	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x1b266a…
08-20 17:32:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	271	96¢	$261	0x281e15…
08-20 17:05:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	SELL	475	23¢	$109	0xf67542…
08-20 10:04:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	825	96¢	$792	0x0e432a…
08-20 07:18:48	houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe4b953…
08-19 19:08:58	houthis successfully target shipping by september 30 2026	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa0892e…
08-19 19:08:36	houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026	No	BUY	94	74¢	$70	0x894962…
08-19 19:01:13	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x4d84f1…
08-19 11:29:49	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	256	95¢	$244	0x34183d…
08-18 17:36:09	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	BUY	121	27¢	$33	0x66599f…
08-18 13:02:12	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	No	BUY	97	56¢	$54	0x5e3ff2…
08-18 12:48:46	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6b1210…
08-18 08:31:27	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0xa9b2df…
08-18 08:31:16	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xd90298…
08-14 20:28:36	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x0c53e6…
08-14 20:28:24	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x07a174…
08-14 20:26:45	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	116	64¢	$74	0x072443…
08-14 20:24:57	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x5cf4c1…
08-14 20:24:48	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xb96493…
08-14 19:55:51	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	No	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xb4f4ed…
08-14 10:23:12	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	No	BUY	114	64¢	$73	0xa22a4d…
08-13 06:44:55	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0x1d6b64…
08-12 19:39:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x27c3d1…
08-12 19:34:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x01f906…
08-12 19:05:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	No	BUY	132	45¢	$60	0xbcf9b8…
08-12 18:12:07	col kat hta 2026 08 12 btts	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x0af7f8…
08-12 12:09:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	120	91¢	$109	0x09e9b8…
08-12 10:10:37	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0x4e8aa6…
08-10 20:35:19	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	No	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x04df89…
08-10 10:05:52	col kat hta 2026 08 12 btts	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x8f5bc4…
08-09 09:38:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0x765c21…
08-08 19:04:22	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xf641ce…
08-08 09:43:39	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xf4ef26…
08-08 09:34:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xf6fe8e…
08-08 07:04:49	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	222	54¢	$120	0x185772…
08-07 17:42:48	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	SELL	217	81¢	$176	0x9f7cfd…
08-07 10:18:37	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	SELL	33	81¢	$27	0x58e5c2…
08-07 08:20:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	331	43¢	$142	0x3eb61c…
08-06 20:35:08	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	No	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x941fa4…
08-05 18:55:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	182	80¢	$145	0xb27258…
08-03 19:32:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x30e1ed…
08-03 15:52:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x2f2d44…
08-03 15:12:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	251	84¢	$211	0x19a894…
08-03 15:12:02	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x03ef95…
08-02 07:29:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	323	79¢	$254	0xac4f0c…
08-02 07:28:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	186	77¢	$143	0x6b404d…
08-02 07:28:32	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	223	45¢	$100	0x1562c3…
08-02 06:28:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xc06c9a…
08-01 05:02:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	357	39¢	$139	0x0ecaa4…
07-30 17:28:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	120	98¢	$117	0xb3791f…
07-30 16:27:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0xa49046…
07-30 16:27:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x985205…
07-30 08:21:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	477	63¢	$300	0xe64b74…
07-29 11:52:45	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	233	63¢	$147	0x372a95…
07-29 09:21:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xddcc3f…
07-28 09:52:29	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x6688fb…
07-26 14:11:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	120	77¢	$92	0xd5aab7…
07-26 00:51:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	158	92¢	$145	0x9dcfe0…
07-26 00:49:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	711	89¢	$632	0xf04b2e…
07-24 20:01:24	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	195	65¢	$127	0x69a7de…
07-19 07:25:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	158	76¢	$120	0x3a5a8b…
07-17 11:15:55	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	SELL	147	54¢	$79	0xd8ce63…
07-16 17:44:56	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xb55fc9…
07-13 12:28:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	119	66¢	$79	0x8fdd65…
07-12 17:32:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xb5da58…
07-12 17:32:13	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	276	69¢	$191	0x4635b5…
07-12 17:32:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	79	69¢	$55	0x508ce0…
07-12 13:44:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x46c61a…
07-11 22:53:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0xcb4012…
07-11 18:20:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	76	91¢	$69	0xd44ab2…
07-11 18:19:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	133	99¢	$133	0x19d8af…
07-11 18:19:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	148	86¢	$127	0xf7673d…
07-10 13:10:01	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	324	80¢	$259	0xd05e83…
07-10 13:06:08	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0x304005…
07-10 12:21:40	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6da379…
07-10 12:07:25	btc updown 5m 1783685100	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6ab136…
07-10 12:06:56	btc updown 5m 1783685100	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f3730…
07-10 12:02:37	btc updown 5m 1783684800	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x35d806…
07-10 12:00:38	btc updown 5m 1783684800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf7ed32…
07-10 11:57:20	btc updown 5m 1783684500	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4f5b14…
07-10 11:56:20	btc updown 5m 1783684500	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4f1b71…
07-10 10:25:20	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd5a9e6…
07-10 10:23:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2044df…
07-10 09:59:25	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	169	80¢	$135	0x77f5b6…
07-09 19:32:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x5216f2…
07-09 17:31:53	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	87¢	$60	0x6bed5e…
07-09 17:14:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	743	87¢	$646	0x7659a0…
07-08 20:03:08	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	86	57¢	$49	0x615b43…
07-01 19:52:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	323	63¢	$205	0x081008…
06-30 20:48:05	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0x3af375…
06-28 18:33:50	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0xcbaae4…