Realized P&L
+$450
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
200
Trades
670
lifetime
Volume
$48.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$1.94K
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 11-07 08:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Politics
69% 63% +$157
Other
30% 61% +$383
Sports
1% 45% -$85
Crypto
0% 50% +$4
Tech
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -700 -$569 90¢ $-627 -$58 05-22 12:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +320 $214 65¢ $208 -$6 10-17 06:46
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government? Yes +296 $81 48¢ $144 +$62 11-07 08:44
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +180 $100 65¢ $117 +$17 10-07 07:55
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +160 $86 64¢ $103 +$17 10-01 21:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +167 $100 61¢ $102 +$2 10-13 20:07
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31? No +149 $100 68¢ $101 +$1 11-05 22:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +170 $100 59¢ $100 +$0 11-07 03:19
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +117 $100 84¢ $99 -$1 11-05 22:26
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +179 $100 48¢ $87 -$13 08-12 19:39
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? Yes +111 $58 74¢ $82 +$24 10-03 18:52
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? Yes +241 $78 24¢ $58 -$21 10-21 19:21
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +152 $100 34¢ $53 -$47 10-27 20:17
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government? Yes +65 $34 55¢ $36 +$2 10-03 18:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +105 $20 22¢ $23 +$3 10-27 15:50
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +0 $42 95¢ $0 -$42 10-23 09:49