Small-Protocol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$73

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-21 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

43% 50% -$3

Crypto

42% 83% +$2

Other

14% 91% $0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+66	$65	98¢	$65	+$0	10-21 03:07
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+50	$11	14¢	$7	-$4	07-27 03:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+136	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	09-28 02:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	14	$552	400	400	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:28
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$281	282	0	+282	No	+$1	04-16 07:24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	04-16 07:24
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	3	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$1	03-17 02:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	2	$158	200	200	+0	No	-$6	05-25 03:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$92	300	300	+0	No	+$3	05-25 02:53
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$83	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	03-17 02:41
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	$0	03-17 01:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$65	66	0	+66	open	—	10-21 03:07
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	01-26 08:50
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	01-26 08:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 02:13
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$23	30	30	+0	open	—	07-27 03:16
si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-26 08:49
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-26 08:49
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-26 08:50
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$11	50	0	+50	open	—	07-27 03:16
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	02-07 08:20
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-26 08:49
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	02-07 08:20
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-07 08:21
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-16 07:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-16 07:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-16 07:22
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-16 07:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$8	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-25 03:08
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-25 01:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	1	$2	136	0	+136	open	—	09-28 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 03:07:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x8f32f7…
09-28 02:34:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$2	0x5af2e8…
07-27 03:16:21	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc5b444…
07-27 03:16:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xa34438…
06-30 10:18:32	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x62bd49…
05-25 03:19:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x549191…
05-25 03:12:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xa63ffa…
05-25 03:08:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x154de0…
05-25 03:07:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xff13b6…
05-25 02:53:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x72cc11…
05-25 02:37:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x6721dd…
05-25 02:28:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	48	69¢	$33	0x6eeb67…
05-25 02:22:51	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0xb34f01…
05-25 02:21:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x012c27…
05-25 02:19:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x0b36af…
05-25 02:19:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xead30c…
05-25 02:18:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x99ed2e…
05-25 02:18:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x390315…
05-25 02:18:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xdd19af…
05-25 02:18:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x958e1e…
05-25 02:18:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x17f7be…
05-25 02:17:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x49a86f…
05-25 02:17:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0x846e57…
05-25 02:15:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x547631…
05-25 02:15:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x128fd0…
05-25 02:13:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x3492c2…
05-25 02:10:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	400	69¢	$276	0xa2557c…
05-25 02:10:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa6a389…
05-25 02:10:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x567e3a…
05-25 02:10:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5debb8…
05-25 02:10:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x502585…
05-25 02:07:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x1ebbaa…
05-25 02:05:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	15¢	$17	0x3b1758…
05-25 01:40:01	Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xabdc32…
04-16 07:24:20	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x09874a…
04-16 07:24:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb64dd6…
04-16 07:23:16	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82bc07…
04-16 07:23:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46cc86…
04-16 07:22:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7c864…
04-16 07:22:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d5896…
03-17 02:41:51	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x24f578…
03-17 02:41:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	200	20¢	$41	0x3f61fa…
03-17 02:28:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	185	21¢	$39	0x4b9e97…
03-17 02:24:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x6ea577…
03-17 01:37:57	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xc07a4e…
03-17 01:37:49	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$89	0xe1656c…
02-07 08:21:43	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xfb485e…
02-07 08:21:31	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x334500…
02-07 08:21:05	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0e4d37…
02-07 08:20:49	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x46daf1…
02-07 08:20:37	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3cef61…
01-26 08:50:33	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xe473cf…
01-26 08:50:13	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2ba765…
01-26 08:50:03	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x640444…
01-26 08:49:53	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc158fd…
01-26 08:49:41	si hit 55 low jan 2026 373 679 385	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc6f4c…
01-26 08:49:29	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe6191b…