Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

636

lifetime

Volume

$337.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$530

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-09 15:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

87% 75% -$38,475

Other

13% 49% -$9,063

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	30	$47.3K	24,626	24,626	+0	No	+$638	03-21 17:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	18	$40.6K	20,348	21,812	-1,464	No	+$780	02-12 13:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	34	$35.4K	18,393	18,393	+0	Yes	+$1,309	03-02 09:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	11	$30.7K	28,302	8,238	+20,064	Yes	-$15,988	05-04 10:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	3	$30.0K	20,590	10,000	+10,590	No	+$455	01-25 16:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	72	$21.5K	32,500	0	+32,500	Yes	-$21,521	05-05 16:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$11.8K	8,486	8,486	+0	No	+$398	05-09 15:06
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	16	$11.1K	12,867	0	+12,867	No	+$1,796	04-21 07:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$9.9K	5,404	5,404	+0	No	+$295	03-15 12:17
will uae strike iran by march 31	11	$8.9K	8,830	3,102	+5,728	No	-$1,995	03-28 06:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$7.0K	3,728	3,728	+0	No	+$188	03-28 06:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	27	$6.7K	3,546	3,546	+0	No	+$229	04-01 07:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	14	$5.9K	6,329	0	+6,329	Yes	-$5,934	05-04 14:41
us forces enter iran by march 7	10	$5.3K	3,000	2,997	+3	No	-$300	03-05 08:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	9	$4.5K	2,625	2,625	+0	Yes	-$105	02-27 11:44
lol dk bro2 2026 01 14 total games 2pt5	13	$3.5K	1,861	1,861	+0	Under	+$207	01-14 14:04
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$3.5K	2,261	2,261	+0	Yes	+$62	02-27 16:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$3.2K	3,293	0	+3,293	No	+$119	03-03 14:06
cbb cencon lemyn 2026 01 10	2	$3.1K	2,110	2,110	+0	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	+$1,101	01-10 20:18
dota2 vp z10 2026 01 09 game2	51	$3.0K	3,290	0	+3,290	Zero Tenacity	-$2,988	01-09 17:22
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	11	$2.7K	3,378	0	+3,378	No	+$655	04-01 08:09
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$2.3K	2,421	0	+2,421	No	+$131	02-27 16:01
lol dk bro2 2026 01 14	3	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	+0	Dplus KIA	+$39	01-14 14:05
cs2 algo1 mana 2026 01 08	14	$1.8K	1,972	579	+1,393	MANA eSports	-$334	01-08 11:37
dota2 pr re 2026 01 09	25	$1.7K	967	967	+0	Rune Eaters	+$196	01-09 17:33
dota2 vp z10 2026 01 09	13	$1.5K	952	952	+0	Zero Tenacity	-$176	01-09 17:44
cbb wisc mich 2026 01 10 total 168pt5	1	$1.5K	2,890	0	+2,890	Over	-$1,500	01-10 17:25
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$1.5K	1,667	0	+1,667	No	+$167	03-28 06:34
itsb ent mon 2026 01 10 mon	2	$1.4K	943	943	+0	No	+$442	01-10 17:23
cbb fordm stbon 2026 01 10 total 140pt5	5	$1.4K	2,858	0	+2,858	Over	-$1,427	01-10 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:07:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	300	87¢	$260	0x2548fa…
05-09 15:06:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0x23cb47…
05-07 12:03:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	295	79¢	$232	0x0f9ae0…
05-07 11:52:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	61¢	$244	0x3f5fc3…
05-07 11:48:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xef41e0…
05-06 18:24:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,886	72¢	$2,078	0x3af086…
05-06 18:21:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,200	72¢	$3,744	0xcb0bef…
05-05 16:37:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4,887	69¢	$3,372	0x8db83b…
05-04 14:41:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xdad572…
05-04 14:40:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xece23f…
05-04 14:25:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xce8bef…
05-04 14:13:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x165b10…
05-04 14:12:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x1795a0…
05-04 14:12:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x9cd49d…
05-04 10:26:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x231b24…
05-04 10:22:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0x6f9d80…
05-04 10:22:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	179	95¢	$170	0xf0f74a…
05-04 10:18:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$19	0xa35250…
05-04 10:17:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	265	95¢	$251	0x05f89d…
05-04 10:17:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	648	95¢	$614	0x43d700…
05-01 19:08:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	94¢	$123	0x7f6c47…
05-01 19:07:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,841	94¢	$4,527	0x68b1a8…
05-01 17:42:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	69¢	$3,450	0xe1aa11…
05-01 17:41:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa86cc6…
04-30 05:31:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	618	77¢	$476	0x16b002…
04-25 12:46:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,468	67¢	$5,003	0x36d205…
04-21 07:25:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4,877	93¢	$4,536	0x4668c1…
04-21 07:24:42	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x5f0880…
04-21 07:21:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6,000	92¢	$5,520	0x6c238f…
04-12 09:44:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6,985	72¢	$5,015	0xf5e6c6…
04-07 10:55:07	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0xea0733…
04-04 13:30:39	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0xdca80a…
04-01 08:09:17	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	899	87¢	$782	0xfddfaf…
04-01 07:58:37	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	967	87¢	$841	0x322484…
04-01 07:57:55	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,132	86¢	$1,833	0x4e78de…
04-01 07:57:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,546	97¢	$3,455	0xac4dbe…
03-31 08:55:07	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	242	80¢	$193	0x22eb0f…
03-30 22:07:47	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	399	73¢	$291	0x865227…
03-30 19:13:17	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0x89ee7d…
03-30 19:09:15	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x066b00…
03-30 18:58:49	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xac6696…
03-30 17:17:25	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	402	79¢	$317	0x0c3277…
03-30 15:09:53	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x52835c…
03-30 14:25:17	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb1b8bd…
03-30 13:25:42	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x0dd838…
03-30 12:32:04	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x6b4d43…
03-30 12:18:48	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	490	79¢	$387	0xdc2e9e…
03-30 11:46:26	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xf6daac…
03-30 11:46:24	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x2de9ea…
03-30 11:43:04	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	552	80¢	$441	0xdfdc1e…
03-30 11:38:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,696	81¢	$1,374	0xc92597…
03-30 11:37:46	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	661	74¢	$489	0x85d6a9…
03-30 10:59:12	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x759337…
03-30 10:28:24	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	351	70¢	$246	0x1e1eef…
03-30 10:27:44	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	230	80¢	$184	0xc54088…
03-30 10:27:16	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x343254…
03-30 10:27:02	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	85	79¢	$67	0x150e73…
03-28 06:34:57	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,252	94¢	$2,117	0x313748…
03-28 06:34:47	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,667	90¢	$1,500	0xe03cbb…
03-28 06:34:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,728	97¢	$3,612	0x0efc34…
03-23 11:28:59	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	195	92¢	$179	0xf81d03…
03-22 12:24:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,600	89¢	$1,424	0x7e9056…
03-21 17:35:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,030	66¢	$2,000	0xfbb24a…
03-21 17:32:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2,128	94¢	$2,000	0x52f359…
03-21 17:29:37	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,050	95¢	$1,000	0x0344f2…
03-21 17:29:11	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	2,247	89¢	$2,000	0x054342…
03-21 17:28:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8,668	99¢	$8,599	0xfa9e07…
03-19 08:08:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	238	83¢	$198	0x54ba11…
03-15 12:23:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,934	83¢	$1,604	0x0da8cd…
03-15 12:17:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1,601	100¢	$1,598	0x0bea5d…
03-08 15:23:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,601	93¢	$1,489	0xfe4071…
03-08 12:28:45	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,068	35¢	$724	0xa51010…
03-08 12:27:59	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x98a2ff…
03-08 12:27:51	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x6af0f6…
03-08 12:27:33	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x45403a…
03-08 12:27:23	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x80b41c…
03-08 12:27:05	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0xfe6dfd…
03-08 12:26:57	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	966	37¢	$357	0x03a42d…
03-08 11:25:57	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4,137	85¢	$3,499	0x9f02dc…
03-08 11:25:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	3,803	92¢	$3,499	0xd09bef…
03-07 18:57:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,875	85¢	$3,294	0x7ee236…
03-06 14:10:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	2,803	90¢	$2,522	0xf5af99…
03-05 08:18:53	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	1,029	84¢	$864	0x0c8d69…
03-05 08:18:51	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	1,200	84¢	$1,008	0xda74eb…
03-05 08:18:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x70a88e…
03-05 08:15:21	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xbf9e88…
03-05 08:14:49	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xc4d790…
03-05 08:09:41	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x4a7770…
03-05 08:09:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	595	84¢	$500	0x820827…
03-05 08:09:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe790d5…
03-05 08:09:01	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x60b00c…
03-03 14:06:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	3,293	96¢	$3,174	0xcd0a11…
03-03 14:05:43	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0x1c624f…
03-03 14:05:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x02823d…
03-03 10:03:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x9aab0f…
03-03 06:59:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	222	91¢	$202	0x13d3da…
03-03 05:45:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdf5841…
03-03 04:38:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xfd27af…
03-03 02:50:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x61df66…
03-03 02:01:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x4888af…