Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

165

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$249

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-27

last 11-02 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

88% 54% +$3

Politics

10% 67% +$1

Tech

2% 50% +$5

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$4	9	+9	Yes	+$2	09-16 00:17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	2	$4	9	+9	No	+$2	08-03 00:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	2	$4	12	+12	No	-$1	09-19 06:26
will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-27 17:31
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 15:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-23 05:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 08:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	09-27 10:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-11 10:16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 08:57
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-10 17:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-20 19:42
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-08 14:09
spy up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-05 01:33
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	09-08 22:33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-11 01:31
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-15 16:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-20 10:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-02 17:32
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-07 21:52
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-16 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-12 15:07
will mu dip to 900 by september 14 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-14 00:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-13 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-11 22:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 20:19
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-22 12:19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-22 20:19
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-14 20:10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-10 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:39:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e340c…
11-02 11:39:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x25d9ab…
11-02 03:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x071daf…
11-01 19:38:39	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xed5e88…
11-01 01:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x19003a…
10-31 16:12:07	Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth 0.5% to 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0c1ec4…
10-30 23:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf08a6e…
10-30 15:33:57	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x46a02d…
10-27 18:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x70f59e…
10-25 09:15:42	Will Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x460587…
10-25 00:06:57	Will ExxonMobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x56b59a…
10-24 15:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4b9708…
10-24 06:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8ceb40…
10-23 04:42:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5591b9…
10-22 20:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1b9a80…
10-22 12:40:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa25f90…
10-22 04:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x51a034…
10-21 20:14:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x84d2f3…
10-21 11:58:30	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2f02db…
10-21 03:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc63caa…
10-20 07:51:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x940386…
10-19 23:50:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1a872c…
10-19 15:47:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xff6f05…
10-19 06:48:27	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $58 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd8253a…
10-18 22:48:12	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x57839b…
10-18 13:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x26a6a2…
10-18 05:32:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x74cddf…
10-17 20:00:00	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfd1e82…
10-17 11:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5387cc…
10-17 01:12:09	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x832e93…
10-16 13:55:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb2944a…
10-16 05:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5b37b2…
10-15 21:53:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe579ce…
10-15 13:39:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x323d55…
10-15 05:16:28	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75c8e4…
10-14 21:15:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x721371…
10-14 12:23:32	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbd0526…
10-14 04:02:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x38ad1d…
10-13 20:02:12	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb17f7d…
10-13 11:59:02	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x42ae1e…
10-13 03:58:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x240f30…
10-12 19:58:42	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xeb9a77…
10-12 11:58:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa98d13…
10-12 11:58:24	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb516d6…
10-12 03:58:20	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x336bf2…
10-12 03:58:15	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0e031…
10-11 19:58:06	Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3493a4…
10-11 11:42:35	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3b42fc…
10-11 03:05:12	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x386213…
10-10 19:01:25	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa6a6b0…
10-10 10:58:37	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x53b088…
10-10 01:50:08	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9b9a7f…
10-09 17:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa92230…
10-09 09:35:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9366f1…
10-09 01:29:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd87f56…
10-08 17:29:20	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2035f1…
10-08 08:23:50	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x933096…
10-08 00:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff052f…
10-07 16:23:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb1f7ad…
10-07 08:05:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x05dab9…
10-07 00:05:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3d71da…
10-06 16:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3fa64e…
10-06 08:04:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5dfdb0…
10-06 00:02:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdcb18b…
10-05 15:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa56b13…
10-03 23:47:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7229bf…
10-03 13:50:32	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdc5691…
10-03 02:43:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5d31dd…
10-02 23:23:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe06a76…
10-02 15:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf5379f…
10-02 15:17:48	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdb9758…
10-02 06:40:41	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3c2b94…
09-30 22:06:38	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe018f7…
09-30 13:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd62d8a…
09-30 05:53:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6b5b71…
09-29 21:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4e01b2…
09-29 13:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa4b136…
09-29 05:02:38	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xca581e…
09-28 20:32:29	Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4edc14…
09-28 12:31:41	will meta dip to 710 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x68e62d…
09-28 04:29:45	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf38438…
09-27 19:35:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0d24e5…
09-27 10:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9afe67…
09-27 10:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcaea8f…
09-27 01:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x038de7…
09-26 14:56:12	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa6276f…
09-26 06:20:38	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd4ec9a…
09-25 10:09:32	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc8bd2f…
09-25 02:00:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa23479…
09-24 17:40:21	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x67b0a3…
09-23 05:26:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x52634e…
09-22 20:19:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x08d3fc…
09-22 20:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8830a8…
09-22 12:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x224e88…
09-22 04:05:16	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa02f87…
09-21 03:42:50	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5ed265…
09-20 19:42:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x372994…
09-20 10:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5de69b…
09-20 00:22:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc2609f…
09-19 15:15:32	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa29686…