Stimulating-Gum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$95.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$238

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-08 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

62% — —

Sports

21% — —

Crypto

12% 100% +$0

Other

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	172	$39.8K	21,123	20,143	+980	open	—	02-11 10:39
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	42	$19.8K	10,400	10,400	+0	open	—	02-09 02:57
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	20	$18.5K	10,640	7,871	+2,769	open	—	02-10 04:58
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	25	$5.2K	2,620	2,620	+0	open	—	02-11 06:34
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	33	$3.0K	1,600	1,457	+143	open	—	02-08 15:02
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	2	$2.4K	0	4,822	-4,822	open	—	02-08 09:15
lol tes we 2026 02 10	3	$800	500	500	+0	open	—	02-09 09:44
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	4	$402	205	203	+2	open	—	02-21 05:43
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	6	$398	202	202	+0	open	—	02-25 13:08
lol tes we 2026 02 10 game3	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 08:47
bitcoin up or down february 9 2am et	24	$357	400	400	+0	open	—	02-09 07:54
lol ig1 nip 2026 02 10 game1	7	$305	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 11:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$210	211	0	+211	open	—	03-17 09:47
ethereum above 2400 on march 9	1	$202	202	0	+202	open	—	03-09 04:18
bitcoin above 62k on february 25	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-25 15:08
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 07:25
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 11:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	04-30 08:33
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$121	128	0	+128	open	—	03-12 09:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-23 05:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	3	$120	120	0	+120	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-13 05:26
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	1	$120	120	0	+120	Hanwha Life Esports	+$0	05-10 11:42
wmb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt57	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-10 13:29
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	1	$116	121	0	+121	open	—	03-21 07:20
Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	04-16 05:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	04-22 11:09
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	01-30 10:21
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-24 15:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	04-04 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 10:12:13	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf5e2e4…
06-07 09:16:46	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x83eb8d…
05-23 05:04:09	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbb93db…
05-23 05:02:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x11c5ea…
05-13 05:26:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa7357f…
05-13 05:15:19	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0a8d63…
05-10 11:42:26	LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9be80d…
05-07 15:31:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x51de6a…
05-07 15:31:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xce8a05…
05-07 15:31:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x54fe41…
04-30 08:33:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x5ae8a9…
04-22 11:09:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0xced41a…
04-22 11:09:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xc14913…
04-22 11:08:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xabb432…
04-22 11:07:24	lol hle1 ns 2026 04 22 game2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x87d49c…
04-16 05:37:38	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x88515a…
04-04 12:03:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x91607e…
03-29 14:07:20	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x988b9d…
03-24 15:31:03	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x469bfd…
03-21 07:20:49	lol gen g2 2026 03 21	Gen.G	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0xc17bcf…
03-17 09:47:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x38b05d…
03-12 09:03:13	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	128	95¢	$121	0xff2ee9…
03-09 04:18:21	ethereum above 2400 on march 9	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xdb0fd1…
03-04 10:47:25	bitcoin above 58k on march 4	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0dfc91…
03-04 05:24:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	106	97¢	$103	0x29d11a…
02-28 07:25:15	Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd55a48…
02-25 15:08:14	bitcoin above 62k on february 25	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfbd86b…
02-25 13:11:14	lol jdg al 2026 02 26	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x781079…
02-25 13:08:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0xab005a…
02-21 05:54:54	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc525e6…
02-21 05:48:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x753048…
02-21 05:47:54	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x655159…
02-21 05:47:40	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xb32bfd…
02-21 05:46:30	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa122de…
02-21 05:43:52	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb647fd…
02-17 10:46:17	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf77682…
02-17 10:46:09	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0fed9b…
02-17 07:31:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0x66516f…
02-16 23:46:13	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x72b96a…
02-11 11:19:27	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3dfc59…
02-11 11:17:55	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x1bf30a…
02-11 10:39:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1,045	96¢	$1,007	0xb90cea…
02-11 10:36:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x1ef367…
02-11 10:35:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0xa84e3b…
02-11 09:57:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x2c48fa…
02-11 09:56:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$385	0x379be0…
02-11 09:56:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$385	0x811770…
02-11 09:56:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$385	0xa76bb0…
02-11 09:55:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	210	96¢	$203	0xd1a8df…
02-11 09:38:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	354	96¢	$341	0xa75fde…
02-11 09:38:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x24b438…
02-11 09:37:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xf01c9c…
02-11 09:36:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	692	96¢	$666	0x16424d…
02-11 09:15:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x996668…
02-11 09:14:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xfde7a6…
02-11 09:13:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$56	0x3c84e4…
02-11 09:11:27	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xed56a4…
02-11 09:11:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xee4344…
02-11 09:11:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe7be88…
02-11 09:11:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1d96bf…
02-11 09:11:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7561f1…
02-11 09:10:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x80ff4e…
02-11 09:10:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1d9f09…
02-11 09:09:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xf7bbbe…
02-11 09:08:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x60106d…
02-11 08:40:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	428	96¢	$412	0xd1e698…
02-11 08:39:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	395	96¢	$380	0xe51c95…
02-11 08:38:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0x0155c4…
02-11 08:37:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0xe0309e…
02-11 08:37:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6d1532…
02-11 08:36:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x050d9a…
02-11 08:36:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0xf262c3…
02-11 08:35:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xde7162…
02-11 08:35:09	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6c4762…
02-11 08:34:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x618549…
02-11 08:34:31	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x2c5e31…
02-11 08:33:51	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0xb19b23…
02-11 08:33:23	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe04bd9…
02-11 08:32:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xdb1bde…
02-11 08:32:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x866ba2…
02-11 08:32:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x44e013…
02-11 08:32:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x154b95…
02-11 08:32:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x24749b…
02-11 08:31:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xeaa183…
02-11 08:31:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8e5511…
02-11 08:31:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x46a5d6…
02-11 08:31:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xb83961…
02-11 08:29:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb0c28f…
02-11 08:29:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x491102…
02-11 08:29:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe99712…
02-11 08:29:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3c1877…
02-11 08:29:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x82d9ef…
02-11 08:29:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x0d75bb…
02-11 08:25:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	113	96¢	$109	0xe5ff99…
02-11 08:25:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xd8659c…
02-11 08:25:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x11bf87…
02-11 08:25:15	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xde4b77…
02-11 08:25:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x5e2dc0…
02-11 08:22:55	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xa3054b…
02-11 08:22:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdaa296…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	46	$8.35K	1,815	05-21 21:38
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	41	$2.93K	1,571	06-08 10:04
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	36	$36.4K	14,115	04-16 06:42
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	33	$45.9K	8,178	04-18 09:07
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	32	$309.6K	4,365	06-07 07:53
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	31	$1.00K	345	03-27 09:14
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	30	$28.4K	2,445	03-27 12:03
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	29	$4.11K	3,457	04-17 12:51