Orderly-Conflict — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$66

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

117

177 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.64K

$2.03K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$61

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	+24	$20	99¢	$23	+$4	05-06 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	-25	$-23	70¢	$-18	+$6	05-06 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	-16	$-15	95¢	$-15	$-0	05-06 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	+6	$4	94¢	$5	+$1	05-06 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$41	24	23	+1	Down	+$3	05-06 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$41	24	23	+1	Up	+$2	05-06 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-06 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$41	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$40	24	23	+1	Down	+$2	05-06 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$40	27	21	+6	open	—	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$40	22	21	+1	Down	+$1	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$40	22	21	+1	Down	+$1	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$39	26	20	+6	Up	+$5	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$37	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$37	24	19	+5	Down	+$3	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$37	24	24	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$37	24	19	+5	open	—	05-06 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$37	24	19	+5	open	—	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$36	23	22	+1	Up	$-3	05-06 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$36	24	18	+6	Up	+$2	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$36	24	19	+5	Up	$-4	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$36	24	18	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$36	24	18	+6	Down	+$2	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$36	22	17	+6	open	—	05-06 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$35	22	17	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$31	22	11	+11	Down	+$2	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$30	23	11	+12	Down	$-9	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$30	22	11	+11	Up	+$2	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$30	23	11	+12	Down	+$3	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$25	24	5	+19	Down	+$4	05-06 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$25	23	5	+18	Up	+$3	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$23	0	25	-25	open	—	05-06 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$22	0	24	-24	open	—	05-06 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3b2750…
05-06 08:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x33fd62…
05-06 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x92ef50…
05-06 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdb2115…
05-06 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xf6445b…
05-06 07:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xce4b9b…
05-06 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x618c0e…
05-06 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xa3097f…
05-06 07:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$20	0x4a0480…
05-06 07:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x1c3558…
05-06 07:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x936d3d…
05-06 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x133082…
05-06 07:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x88911a…
05-06 06:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x1c9a56…
05-06 06:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xf93c0a…
05-06 06:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x316b6f…
05-06 06:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe2a08e…
05-06 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x3ddd39…
05-06 06:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x80f58a…
05-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x6b3fa8…
05-06 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x80e0e2…
05-06 06:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0x23682b…
05-06 06:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc83db1…
05-06 05:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x343c7f…
05-06 05:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	19	66¢	$13	0xbfdb5b…
05-06 05:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xe96c18…
05-06 05:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xada961…
05-06 05:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x715269…
05-06 05:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x56b410…
05-06 05:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xc91989…
05-06 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xa17c78…
05-06 05:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x200f44…
05-06 05:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x1febef…
05-06 05:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xea0abc…
05-06 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeb4097…
05-06 05:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0xa91d6f…
05-06 05:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xd29110…
05-06 05:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8c4a2d…
05-06 05:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xa49113…
05-06 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc77855…
05-06 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x725dba…
05-06 04:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x3609e6…
05-06 04:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x9eebfa…
05-06 04:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcbfc9e…
05-06 04:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x6ff008…
05-06 04:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfec88b…
05-06 04:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x6ee3cb…
05-06 04:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xfea0e6…
05-06 04:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc36285…
05-06 03:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x1f2628…
05-06 03:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x06760f…
05-06 03:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0b23b2…
05-06 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0x9f4307…
05-06 03:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf51d8…
05-06 03:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xc795d4…
05-06 03:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x347877…
05-06 03:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5864e6…
05-06 03:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x84d76d…
05-06 03:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4bfb7a…
05-06 03:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xe04f8b…
05-06 02:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xdfed4a…
05-06 02:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	88¢	$20	0x31e8fd…
05-06 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9cf45c…
05-06 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x7c41eb…
05-06 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8fd5cd…
05-06 02:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3ac5fd…
05-06 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbe23f0…
05-06 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x183855…
05-06 01:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x97eb50…
05-06 01:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd5f8aa…
05-06 01:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x71bade…
05-06 01:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x68a221…
05-06 01:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xbd3543…
05-06 01:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf271a9…
05-06 01:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xc6be7b…
05-06 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0xbc8cec…
05-06 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x874ea0…
05-06 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4e7875…
05-06 00:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xc0316f…
05-06 00:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0xd1c48f…
05-06 00:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9b4ab3…
05-06 00:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xfa1cca…
05-06 00:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbfcd21…
05-05 22:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x092774…
05-05 21:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9d0496…
05-05 21:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77f34e…
05-05 21:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x212532…
05-05 20:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5bd548…
05-05 20:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd7e390…
05-05 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0xb1644b…
05-05 20:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xceb1a0…
05-05 19:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa0e2f1…
05-05 19:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x0cd54e…
05-05 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0xd60eee…
05-05 18:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc0ddaf…
05-05 18:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x916aaa…
05-05 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xad7117…
05-05 17:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe8ce89…
05-05 17:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x47e349…
05-05 17:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x54e225…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	113	$23.8K	765	05-06 08:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	101	$11.2K	953	05-06 08:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	100	$36.3K	518	05-06 08:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	97	$8.26K	680	05-06 08:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	91	$15.3K	250	05-06 08:19
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	86	$3.98K	261	05-06 08:15
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	85	$1.88K	374	05-06 08:19
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	84	$2.29K	233	05-06 08:19