Vicious-Sunset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

149

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$71.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$427

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-31 04:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

96% 97% +$63,982

Politics

2% 100% +$437

Crypto

1% 99% +$294

Sports

1% 100% +$440

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?	2	$16.8K	18,442	18,442	+0	No	+$16,044	09-27 02:08
amzn close above 205 on march 2 2026	2	$13.1K	13,108	13,108	+0	Yes	+$12,584	02-27 13:37
open above 4 on march 6 2026	2	$11.1K	11,100	11,100	+0	Yes	+$10,212	03-01 13:05
will xinyu wang win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$8.3K	8,402	8,402	+0	No	+$8,150	03-21 16:43
nflx above 90 on january 16 2026	2	$6.9K	6,777	6,777	+0	No	+$6,235	01-10 14:27
amzn above 235 on february 6 2026	2	$6.6K	6,696	6,696	+0	No	+$5,826	02-01 12:21
will hyperliquid reach 36 in march	2	$3.2K	3,130	3,130	+0	Yes	+$2,348	03-01 13:02
will iran be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	2	$1.4K	1,450	1,450	+0	No	+$435	02-27 13:35
nflx above 100 on january 16 2026	2	$1.0K	1,034	1,034	+0	No	+$941	01-10 14:28
will the denver broncos be eliminated in the super bowl	2	$540	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$440	01-10 14:35
val sts frag 2026 03 01 game1	2	$533	523	523	+0	Stallions Esports	+$460	02-27 13:34
val ucam otakar 2026 01 11	2	$516	527	527	+0	UCAM Esports Club	+$453	01-10 14:26
val ega ag2 2026 02 03 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$422	422	422	+0	Evil Geniuses Academy	+$380	02-01 12:18
will chainlink reach 10 in march	2	$350	350	350	+0	Yes	+$294	03-01 11:48
will the denver broncos be eliminated in the conference championship round	2	$153	170	170	+0	Yes	+$126	01-10 14:35
will logan webb strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 world baseball classic	2	$132	103	103	+0	No	+$68	03-01 12:00
will brandon nakashima win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	2	$105	108	108	+0	No	+$100	03-21 16:30
nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 140 159	2	$90	115	115	+0	No	+$83	03-24 11:41
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-13 14:18
will japans february 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt4	2	$39	31	31	+0	No	+$23	03-24 11:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 18	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	02-18 07:12
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$34	56	0	+56	Spain	-$34	07-12 12:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$31	33	0	+33	Yes	+$2	10-31 04:22
Seeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	01-21 13:47
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	1	$22	23	0	+23	Over	+$0	06-14 14:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-20 14:51
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$17	55	0	+55	No	-$17	03-29 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-10 10:25
will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 1	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-01 12:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 14	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-14 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:22:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xd34c72…
09-27 02:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on September 28?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0674a8…
09-27 02:11:06	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2ec3f5…
09-27 02:11:02	will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x186f4b…
09-27 02:10:59	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d92a2…
09-27 02:10:56	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x95c062…
09-27 02:10:51	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xab305f…
09-27 02:10:48	Will XRP reach $2.60 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x978117…
09-27 02:10:44	Will XRP reach $2.80 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8ae9b7…
09-27 02:10:41	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa55ef2…
09-27 02:10:36	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c15f3…
09-27 02:10:35	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x91c81f…
09-27 02:10:30	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa24f0e…
09-27 02:10:29	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8980fe…
09-27 02:08:36	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	18,442	89¢	$16,413	0x1db9c0…
09-27 02:08:00	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	18,442	2¢	$369	0x4e864a…
07-12 12:57:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0x9d33e6…
06-14 14:20:16	Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x9c92f7…
05-20 14:51:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6ee8ca…
05-10 10:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x222491…
05-10 10:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x55f129…
05-10 10:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa37d0c…
05-10 10:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe04b52…
05-10 10:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x368181…
05-10 10:25:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x98471f…
05-10 10:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe995ca…
04-28 14:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfbbb37…
04-21 13:05:14	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb67db8…
04-17 11:29:38	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x697941…
04-09 13:27:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8ba8d9…
03-29 15:45:28	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x01d229…
03-24 12:10:59	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7b1b21…
03-24 11:44:53	will japans february 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt4	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xb08510…
03-24 11:43:11	will japans february 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt4	No	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x7b35bb…
03-24 11:41:07	nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 140 159	Yes	SELL	115	75¢	$86	0xcc1d5f…
03-24 11:40:37	nyc mayor of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 140 159	Yes	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0xde24a7…
03-21 16:44:31	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6c71db…
03-21 16:44:27	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x321dee…
03-21 16:44:25	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5f2328…
03-21 16:44:21	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x53c89d…
03-21 16:44:15	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x150066…
03-21 16:44:13	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x62386d…
03-21 16:44:09	will backpack launch a token on march 29	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd5a35a…
03-21 16:44:05	will backpack launch a token on march 24	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d6b20…
03-21 16:43:13	will xinyu wang win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	8,402	98¢	$8,234	0xafd7b5…
03-21 16:42:29	will xinyu wang win the 2026 womens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	8,402	1¢	$84	0xd32ab8…
03-21 16:30:51	will brandon nakashima win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	SELL	108	95¢	$103	0x5d569f…
03-21 16:29:31	will brandon nakashima win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x423e85…
03-14 01:48:03	bitcoin above 64k on march 14	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8e474…
03-14 01:47:59	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5426dc…
03-13 14:18:19	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x2534f0…
03-01 13:08:13	will opinion launch a token on march 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf4f7a…
03-01 13:08:07	will opinion launch a token on march 22	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x05357d…
03-01 13:08:03	will opinion launch a token on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7c53c…
03-01 13:07:59	will opinion launch a token on march 26	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3e0e6c…
03-01 13:07:53	will opinion launch a token on march 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfbc0f8…
03-01 13:07:51	will opinion launch a token on march 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7df4ab…
03-01 13:07:47	will opinion launch a token on march 29	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5b287…
03-01 13:07:45	will opinion launch a token on march 30	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7ad31b…
03-01 13:07:43	will opinion launch a token on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b876a…
03-01 13:07:39	no token launch by march 31 627	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8342a0…
03-01 13:07:01	will ethereum reach 2300 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ac05e…
03-01 13:06:57	will ethereum reach 2200 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x908997…
03-01 13:06:55	will ethereum dip to 1700 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5ecd9…
03-01 13:06:51	will ethereum dip to 1600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x090da1…
03-01 13:06:49	will ethereum dip to 1500 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x65a8e2…
03-01 13:06:45	will ethereum dip to 1400 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe3078…
03-01 13:06:37	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c420e…
03-01 13:06:33	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d3679…
03-01 13:06:31	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcd2821…
03-01 13:06:15	bitcoin above 62k on march 1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ea1b4…
03-01 13:06:13	bitcoin above 64k on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x96e209…
03-01 13:06:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 1	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4fd3d6…
03-01 13:06:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x481271…
03-01 13:05:51	open above 4 on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	11,100	96¢	$10,656	0x9afa02…
03-01 13:05:05	open above 4 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11,100	4¢	$444	0x70bcb1…
03-01 13:02:51	will hyperliquid reach 36 in march	Yes	SELL	3,130	88¢	$2,754	0x8b5a97…
03-01 13:01:15	will hyperliquid reach 36 in march	Yes	BUY	3,130	13¢	$407	0x1c56be…
03-01 12:02:05	xrp above 1pt3 on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9adb17…
03-01 12:02:03	xrp above 1pt2 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c00c4…
03-01 12:02:01	xrp above 1pt6 on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3c282b…
03-01 12:01:59	ethereum above 1800 on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d3c65…
03-01 12:01:55	ethereum above 1700 on march 1	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x39fe30…
03-01 12:01:53	ethereum above 2100 on march 1	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcdfde4…
03-01 12:01:49	ethereum above 2200 on march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x920afc…
03-01 12:01:41	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3dcf40…
03-01 12:01:39	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a5002…
03-01 12:01:37	Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e5df3…
03-01 12:01:33	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x904160…
03-01 12:00:45	will logan webb strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 world baseball classic	No	SELL	103	97¢	$100	0x3362d0…
03-01 11:54:15	will logan webb strike out the most batters while pitching at the 2026 world baseball classic	No	BUY	103	31¢	$32	0xa2bbf8…
03-01 11:48:05	will chainlink reach 10 in march	Yes	SELL	350	92¢	$322	0x287f0c…
03-01 11:47:33	will chainlink reach 10 in march	Yes	BUY	350	8¢	$28	0x5637be…
02-27 13:40:25	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x073e82…
02-27 13:40:15	will deepseek have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee91a8…
02-27 13:40:09	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41f059…
02-27 13:40:05	will zai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd8eba…
02-27 13:39:55	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89aa6f…
02-27 13:39:47	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f6d7c…
02-27 13:39:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 27	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcd6237…