Hoarse-Airman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,612

lifetime

Volume

$169.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 08-10 18:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% +$3

Other

31% 0% $-23

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	84	$7.2K	6,604	6,604	+0	open	—	03-30 22:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	77	$5.7K	5,805	5,805	+0	open	—	03-18 12:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	88	$5.0K	5,800	5,800	+0	open	—	04-03 15:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	71	$3.8K	3,238	3,238	+0	open	—	04-07 19:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	24	$3.6K	3,064	3,064	+0	open	—	02-28 07:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	31	$3.4K	2,030	2,030	+0	open	—	04-08 09:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	107	$3.4K	6,474	6,474	+0	open	—	03-18 12:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	34	$3.2K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	04-07 23:12
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$2.9K	1,499	1,499	+0	open	—	02-24 23:31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	46	$2.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-08 01:43
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	13	$2.8K	2,192	2,192	+0	open	—	02-28 16:19
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	50	$2.8K	2,215	2,215	+0	open	—	03-09 20:21
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	35	$2.7K	2,893	2,893	+0	open	—	04-02 14:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	52	$2.5K	2,557	2,557	+0	open	—	04-07 22:55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	35	$2.3K	2,662	2,662	+0	open	—	04-20 14:37
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	33	$2.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	04-06 07:20
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	37	$2.1K	2,133	2,133	+0	open	—	03-08 12:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	20	$2.1K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-07 18:03
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	24	$2.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	04-07 19:47
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	5	$2.0K	1,381	1,381	+0	open	—	02-27 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	65	$1.8K	2,140	2,140	+0	open	—	04-19 15:19
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-20 11:59
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$1.7K	1,815	1,815	+0	open	—	02-26 10:51
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	19	$1.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-09 10:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	27	$1.7K	1,836	1,836	+0	open	—	03-18 01:20
Iran leadership change by April 30?	32	$1.6K	1,650	1,650	+0	open	—	04-06 00:35
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	8	$1.6K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	02-27 21:53
will the us invade iran by march 31	18	$1.5K	1,249	1,249	+0	open	—	03-29 18:42
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	57	$1.5K	1,295	1,295	+0	open	—	04-07 10:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	23	$1.5K	1,882	1,882	+0	open	—	04-14 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:51:25	sol updown 4h 1786392000	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1da6be…
08-10 18:13:49	btc updown 15m 1786384800	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x09a8cc…
08-10 15:39:30	eth updown 5m 1786376100	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x5abf92…
08-10 15:39:28	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe12e89…
08-10 13:28:28	eth updown 15m 1786367700	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xe7a38f…
08-10 10:58:27	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30e71a…
08-10 05:14:27	eth updown 15m 1786338000	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x847dbf…
08-10 02:56:16	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6e43ca…
08-10 00:56:25	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x76283c…
08-09 21:14:36	sol updown 5m 1786309800	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd13f2a…
08-09 20:28:12	btc updown 15m 1786306500	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7d2184…
08-09 20:28:07	eth updown 15m 1786306500	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1890e1…
08-09 19:28:24	btc updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb02ff2…
08-09 19:28:21	sol updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76c134…
08-09 19:28:13	eth updown 15m 1786302900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x52a574…
08-09 18:28:22	eth updown 15m 1786299300	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x92acd2…
08-09 15:47:12	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xb4d8bc…
08-09 15:39:04	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xd93c85…
08-09 14:55:06	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xf36fe6…
08-09 06:14:01	eth updown 15m 1786255200	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x58a38d…
08-08 22:56:15	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xc4bb9e…
08-08 22:56:01	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66e23a…
08-08 21:58:49	eth updown 15m 1786225500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb945ff…
08-08 21:58:40	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x12cf00…
08-08 19:51:45	btc updown 4h 1786204800	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xc45739…
08-08 15:35:58	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x0dcdbe…
08-08 06:57:09	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x94afe5…
08-08 03:29:19	eth updown 5m 1786159500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaecbc5…
08-08 03:29:15	eth updown 15m 1786158900	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb0e3ae…
08-08 03:13:55	eth updown 15m 1786158000	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb3aa09…
08-06 20:59:30	eth updown 15m 1786049100	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xfbb346…
08-06 20:59:27	btc updown 15m 1786049100	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2789c7…
08-06 12:19:11	btc updown 5m 1786018500	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xa14895…
08-06 11:59:41	btc updown 5m 1786017300	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8c06ee…
08-05 18:29:33	btc updown 15m 1785953700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x238a1c…
08-05 03:58:11	eth updown 15m 1785901500	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x715550…
08-05 03:28:08	eth updown 15m 1785899700	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4414f1…
08-04 20:31:38	wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6ea0f4…
08-04 19:53:03	sol updown 4h 1785859200	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x20e8df…
08-04 15:55:56	sol updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xcc1dc5…
08-04 15:55:53	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcd07f4…
08-04 15:55:51	bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x07ba7d…
08-04 15:49:15	ethereum up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfb287d…
08-04 15:31:26	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6be8bd…
08-04 15:31:21	ethereum above 1900 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x65183f…
08-04 10:55:38	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x57c0f1…
08-04 09:13:24	sol updown 15m 1785834000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x88a9c1…
08-04 07:56:21	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x4862bb…
08-04 05:55:54	solana up or down august 4 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa8b037…
08-04 05:04:38	btc updown 5m 1785819600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc6ecd7…
08-04 01:13:18	sol updown 15m 1785805200	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf888cd…
08-03 20:55:50	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xda0308…
08-03 20:33:41	xagusd up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa866c9…
08-03 15:34:15	solana up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xce3239…
08-03 07:24:35	sol updown 5m 1785741600	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa275fa…
08-03 03:49:30	sol updown 5m 1785728700	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x89edca…
08-03 03:49:26	btc updown 5m 1785728700	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd145ed…
08-03 03:49:23	eth updown 5m 1785728700	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x49baab…
08-03 02:58:12	eth updown 15m 1785725100	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x903c64…
08-03 00:13:11	sol updown 15m 1785715200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9a45c6…
08-03 00:13:06	xrp updown 15m 1785715200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9a2659…
08-02 23:55:33	solana up or down august 2 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x35e103…
08-02 23:55:26	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa2e1d3…
08-02 20:58:32	sol updown 15m 1785703500	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe84930…
08-02 20:58:29	btc updown 15m 1785703500	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2cad8a…
08-02 20:58:17	eth updown 15m 1785703500	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x364606…
08-02 18:43:26	btc updown 15m 1785695400	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf592e0…
08-02 15:53:30	xrp updown 4h 1785672000	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xe172d5…
08-02 15:44:41	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x04cdc0…
08-02 15:33:26	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd48af9…
08-02 14:58:36	sol updown 15m 1785681900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0591f7…
08-02 14:58:32	btc updown 15m 1785681900	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd6fc1b…
08-02 14:58:29	xrp up or down august 2 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x8838af…
08-02 09:44:26	btc updown 15m 1785663000	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x373ccd…
08-02 08:14:06	eth updown 15m 1785657600	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0d0520…
08-02 07:52:08	btc updown 4h 1785643200	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x96ff1f…
08-02 03:09:35	xrp updown 5m 1785639900	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x473a62…
08-02 03:09:32	doge updown 5m 1785639900	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xe6e450…
08-01 20:44:39	btc updown 15m 1785616200	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf999ea…
08-01 19:24:14	bnb updown 5m 1785612000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xda67fe…
08-01 15:09:30	btc updown 5m 1785596700	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf5bcb1…
08-01 15:09:21	eth updown 5m 1785596700	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf41303…
08-01 14:43:44	btc updown 15m 1785594600	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x827dbc…
08-01 10:29:27	btc updown 15m 1785579300	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x64dabf…
08-01 10:13:41	eth updown 15m 1785578400	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f7b80…
08-01 10:13:32	sol updown 15m 1785578400	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdafdf2…
08-01 02:56:59	xrp up or down july 31 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2a2dad…
08-01 02:56:54	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x71bfa2…
07-31 23:56:06	eth updown 4h 1785528000	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x94a33a…
07-31 22:39:53	btc updown 5m 1785537300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa2bf3c…
07-31 20:59:17	eth updown 5m 1785531300	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbcbbe5…
07-31 20:59:12	btc updown 15m 1785530700	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3122ee…
07-31 20:54:06	wti closes above 86 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1f1171…
07-31 20:39:54	wti closes above 84 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x7e82d3…
07-31 20:39:51	wti closes above 85 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3b6936…
07-31 19:28:50	btc updown 15m 1785525300	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x514cbc…
07-31 19:28:47	eth updown 15m 1785525300	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9b9a79…
07-31 16:14:23	sol updown 15m 1785513600	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4f59d9…
07-31 15:30:50	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf56033…
07-31 09:44:35	sol updown 15m 1785490200	Up	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x934248…