Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

134

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 10-16 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

83% 54% +$12

Politics

13% 47% -$10

Tech

3% 100% +$9

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$10	16	+16	No	+$6	07-22 00:53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$4	9	+9	Yes	+$2	08-02 11:18
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	1	$3	8	+8	No	-$3	07-21 12:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	07-24 13:01
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 15:07
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-12 06:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-12 01:14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-22 18:35
wti closes above 97 on september 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 16:33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-11 11:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-14 11:30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	09-19 23:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-15 22:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-17 07:08
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-24 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-20 16:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-18 13:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-08 05:48
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-21 10:19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-18 22:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-10 07:20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-08 14:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-23 02:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-19 06:59
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	09-15 14:32
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 01:31
Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-23 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-20 07:19
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 06:23
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-06 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 12:30:39	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x37cbf6…
10-15 15:38:05	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xceea1e…
10-14 07:37:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbfa081…
10-14 07:34:28	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x24cde3…
10-13 23:33:06	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1196f4…
10-11 03:07:36	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x384d4b…
10-10 17:37:10	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x747432…
10-10 07:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe9bd8c…
10-09 10:41:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7c6081…
10-09 02:41:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xde3c23…
10-08 14:23:02	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x659d35…
10-08 06:01:08	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x36fe1e…
10-07 22:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x07d365…
10-07 13:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x813f10…
10-07 04:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x21ff93…
10-06 20:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4ad546…
10-06 12:18:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x973d91…
10-06 04:18:01	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x59bc19…
10-04 19:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x95b22b…
10-04 10:16:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2bc9b3…
10-04 04:39:47	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5e0a18…
10-03 19:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x78e4cc…
10-03 09:06:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe3768…
10-03 01:02:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x76990f…
10-02 14:49:11	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x439307…
10-02 06:34:57	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0e1d9c…
10-01 20:02:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8bebf9…
10-01 12:00:36	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0caeab…
10-01 03:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d5f5b…
09-30 19:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe4c606…
09-30 11:16:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x45952b…
09-30 03:16:12	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd44bd1…
09-29 19:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x292a8c…
09-29 11:09:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb516e9…
09-29 03:07:53	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x90b970…
09-28 19:07:42	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea8199…
09-28 10:47:51	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xddd9cf…
09-28 00:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x18ab94…
09-27 16:41:50	Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3af869…
09-27 08:19:53	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9897f9…
09-26 23:12:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x043882…
09-26 14:56:50	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd14535…
09-26 06:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x883ca5…
09-24 07:05:36	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xfb50ff…
09-23 22:42:34	Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x414912…
09-23 02:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2114ac…
09-22 18:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc2da43…
09-21 10:19:12	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8fd3d7…
09-21 01:31:44	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x71d1d6…
09-20 16:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xabfeed…
09-20 07:57:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x47277e…
09-19 23:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2445bb…
09-19 15:07:36	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x032b44…
09-19 06:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x70c1e8…
09-18 22:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6569a8…
09-18 13:32:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf92134…
09-17 16:33:36	wti closes above 97 on september 17 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xa15cd7…
09-17 07:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8356af…
09-15 22:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x163943…
09-15 14:32:58	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe0592f…
09-12 01:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2b21b0…
09-11 11:29:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1fe9db…
09-10 15:20:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4ae966…
09-10 07:20:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcd508f…
09-09 23:13:18	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfbc90c…
09-08 14:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0235d9…
09-08 05:48:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa9b18f…
09-07 17:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x858bd5…
09-02 23:37:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x54a6b3…
08-22 10:38:12	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x874447…
08-21 01:54:19	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xedf1ca…
08-20 17:49:58	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1161cd…
08-20 07:19:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe20b2e…
08-19 23:10:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xeb1db5…
08-19 14:54:04	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3fd14d…
08-19 06:23:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5a7ead…
08-18 08:35:18	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x133753…
08-17 12:22:34	will amzn dip to 256 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2d513c…
08-15 08:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd3ac4f…
08-14 11:30:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4d14a6…
08-14 03:20:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x79f9f9…
08-13 19:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x38bcaa…
08-13 11:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x23e8a7…
08-13 03:01:55	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc15667…
08-12 06:39:30	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb54a67…
08-11 22:38:07	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1af8f7…
08-11 14:19:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbf59ec…
08-11 06:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x0d7c45…
08-10 22:16:06	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdafa20…
08-10 14:14:55	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x04dc83…
08-10 06:14:42	will hood dip to 87 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x56534a…
08-09 22:14:24	will pltr reach 189 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x2a8ecd…
08-09 14:12:13	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x16af24…
08-09 06:03:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x521ef6…
08-08 21:37:36	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4d45ee…
08-08 13:33:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5abfb3…
08-08 05:33:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x37286a…
08-07 21:31:13	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x04c233…
08-07 13:12:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0a9006…
08-07 05:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2cd018…