Jumbo-Vernacular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$617

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.5%

Resolved

19,577

Trades

29,386

lifetime

Volume

$8.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-15 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 2% -$583

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Sports

1% 29% -$32

Other

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 745 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	8	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	+$6	06-07 04:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$54	9,700	0	+9,700	No	-$54	06-03 11:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:25 UTC	12	$50	100	50	+50	Down	-$1	10-14 11:28
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$31	560	560	+0	No	+$11	06-15 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$8	05-30 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$28	31	21	+10	Down	+$8	05-30 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-30 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	8	$24	40	20	+20	Down	+$4	05-22 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$16	40	0	+40	Down	-$16	05-29 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-29 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	9	$11	20	10	+10	Down	+$3	05-21 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$11	20	10	+10	Down	+$3	05-21 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-21 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 08:08
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-30 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$10	29	0	+29	Down	-$10	05-30 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$10	32	0	+32	Down	-$10	05-30 06:08
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	260	0	+260	No	-$10	05-28 04:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:25 UTC	3	$10	20	10	+10	Up	$0	08-04 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:20 UTC	3	$10	20	10	+10	Up	$0	08-05 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:25 UTC	3	$10	20	10	+10	Down	$0	08-05 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 12:55 UTC	3	$10	20	10	+10	Down	$0	08-06 12:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 20:30 UTC	4	$10	20	10	+10	Down	$0	08-14 20:34
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	1,260	0	+1,260	No	-$10	05-28 04:03
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	1,120	0	+1,120	No	-$10	05-28 04:02
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	1,120	0	+1,120	No	-$10	05-28 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-21 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	-$10	05-29 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$9	20	10	+10	Down	+$2	05-21 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 04:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb3edf6…
10-15 04:14:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xa4a136…
10-15 04:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x846b5d…
10-15 04:08:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd32857…
10-15 04:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf23ce7…
10-15 04:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x781fb4…
10-15 04:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x38272a…
10-15 04:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x12d017…
10-15 04:03:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd591d1…
10-15 03:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x903389…
10-15 03:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x748ede…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xde99ae…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb1cdc8…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa3c3f5…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8bae59…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x11692c…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0e772a…
10-15 03:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x078470…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xf06bae…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd89915…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaa9b45…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x6136e9…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4cc2ef…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x179a1e…
10-15 03:48:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x693bc1…
10-15 03:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7af5b9…
10-15 03:42:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf2712a…
10-15 03:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x84c0c9…
10-15 03:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x8fd754…
10-15 03:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xb54703…
10-15 03:28:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x02decf…
10-15 03:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x5221cd…
10-15 03:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x2a751e…
10-15 03:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7c9898…
10-15 03:13:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x3d8f96…
10-15 03:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xa0e6d5…
10-15 03:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x09e0db…
10-15 03:01:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf7f6d8…
10-15 02:57:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe8f1a3…
10-15 02:53:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x8edda5…
10-15 02:53:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x3cc874…
10-15 02:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0xe2f595…
10-15 02:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x669788…
10-15 02:48:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x65f4f3…
10-15 02:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xed3d92…
10-15 02:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7ca986…
10-15 02:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x618dba…
10-15 02:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x15f550…
10-15 02:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf13849…
10-15 02:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xda246a…
10-15 02:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xb4e4a6…
10-15 02:37:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x80383b…
10-15 02:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x14bc86…
10-15 02:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0c3791…
10-15 02:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcbd1be…
10-15 02:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xc5c8e2…
10-15 02:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xb98170…
10-15 02:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ea8b4…
10-15 02:14:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xee9f34…
10-15 02:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x894b01…
10-15 02:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x6c2712…
10-15 02:03:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9974de…
10-15 01:58:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8b54b5…
10-15 01:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x952007…
10-15 01:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x10d3c7…
10-15 01:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xb0eb06…
10-15 01:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x9abfa4…
10-15 01:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62a46c…
10-15 01:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x2252c9…
10-15 01:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd96419…
10-15 01:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x797195…
10-15 01:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x3499d5…
10-15 01:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x1f874b…
10-15 01:39:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x097e12…
10-15 01:31:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc7cbbc…
10-15 01:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x2a77f6…
10-15 01:28:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x1fee68…
10-15 01:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xce0783…
10-15 01:18:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x734af9…
10-15 01:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xa7a91e…
10-15 01:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xc1b7d7…
10-15 01:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x9c06e0…
10-15 01:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcdf172…
10-15 01:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x075f87…
10-15 00:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd76d4c…
10-15 00:59:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x71ab41…
10-15 00:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd3a11d…
10-15 00:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc7cfea…
10-15 00:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa1fef4…
10-15 00:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4c3cb6…
10-15 00:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xcd8de9…
10-15 00:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xb13a35…
10-15 00:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xadfb23…
10-15 00:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xa6cc01…
10-15 00:48:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x19b245…
10-15 00:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xdc6b8f…
10-15 00:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5d6d51…
10-15 00:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xa9e2ca…
10-15 00:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x9c9f80…
10-15 00:38:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2716c4…