Unlined-Conversation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$465

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-12 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 37% $-284

Other

24% 0% $-185

Politics

21% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	5	$326	250	250	+0	open	—	05-01 17:06
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	10	$276	2,750	2,750	+0	open	—	05-12 04:51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	6	$262	220	220	+0	open	—	04-22 05:47
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	6	$230	768	768	+0	open	—	04-30 11:11
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$219	250	250	+0	open	—	04-30 07:23
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	9	$156	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	$-156	05-03 16:06
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	8	$113	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-01 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$104	227	227	+0	Up	+$14	05-08 02:47
Will Trump dance today?	11	$89	51,979	0	+51,979	open	—	04-28 19:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$87	250	250	+0	No	+$3	05-05 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$74	177	177	+0	Up	+$24	05-11 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$72	95	95	+0	Down	+$22	05-11 02:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	7	$65	489	458	+31	open	—	04-25 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$64	104	104	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$61	74	74	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$55	100	100	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$55	181	0	+181	Down	$-55	05-12 04:43
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$54	500	500	+0	Yes	$-50	05-05 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$52	167	167	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 02:32
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	5	$48	5,000	5,000	+0	No	$-28	05-09 08:29
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	4	$48	104	98	+6	open	—	04-24 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	5	$46	613	613	+0	Down	$-34	05-12 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$44	220	220	+0	Up	$-26	05-12 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$43	36	36	+0	open	—	04-29 11:26
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	5	$42	7,500	0	+7,500	open	—	04-29 01:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$42	12,500	0	+12,500	open	—	04-28 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$40	267	267	+0	Down	$-30	05-11 02:08
megaeth fdv above 1pt4b one day after launch	5	$36	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$35	875	0	+875	Down	$-35	05-11 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	3	$35	247	0	+247	Up	$-35	05-12 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:51:37	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x09ee36…
05-12 04:51:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x553aed…
05-12 04:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf09153…
05-12 04:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x68bab4…
05-12 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xc41448…
05-12 04:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x905781…
05-12 04:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x586616…
05-12 04:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xa3566a…
05-12 04:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xe98fa7…
05-12 04:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	159	16¢	$25	0xbdd283…
05-12 03:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	104	38¢	$39	0xa69c79…
05-12 03:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x23742e…
05-12 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	613	1¢	$6	0x060c08…
05-12 02:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xcebd38…
05-12 02:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb55f76…
05-12 02:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x60e235…
05-12 02:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x968324…
05-12 02:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	167	16¢	$27	0xa7e930…
05-12 02:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xc76ad4…
05-12 02:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xba0896…
05-12 02:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8fb89b…
05-12 02:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x0d5e51…
05-12 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	220	4¢	$9	0x79793d…
05-12 02:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfe0d3e…
05-12 02:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xef8bd5…
05-12 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xb2d874…
05-12 01:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	206	1¢	$2	0x264721…
05-12 01:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9638c7…
05-12 01:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb78a89…
05-12 01:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x71d68b…
05-12 01:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3a6cd3…
05-11 12:30:22	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x00fc6a…
05-11 03:51:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc5a27f…
05-11 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x052a53…
05-11 02:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x8188ef…
05-11 02:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x3f6709…
05-11 02:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	95	50¢	$47	0x73a7d1…
05-11 02:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x431763…
05-11 02:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	267	2¢	$5	0x5a0add…
05-11 02:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x64efe2…
05-11 02:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2f8ce3…
05-11 02:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x397f9d…
05-11 02:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	205	1¢	$2	0x60d7ef…
05-11 02:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe7ffb2…
05-11 02:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xcc15ce…
05-11 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	177	28¢	$49	0x042f68…
05-11 01:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0x5c9a23…
05-11 01:12:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	750	1¢	$8	0x3395b2…
05-09 08:29:29	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$10	0x441b7e…
05-09 04:35:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	750	8¢	$60	0x880e6f…
05-08 14:52:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x619faa…
05-08 02:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	227	26¢	$59	0xe3c0f5…
05-08 02:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x9eb595…
05-08 02:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x3c018c…
05-08 02:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6a42d7…
05-08 02:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8a3b4c…
05-08 02:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x89c3ac…
05-08 02:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	74	49¢	$36	0xdd0ba7…
05-08 02:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x788ac1…
05-06 15:15:53	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0x732f49…
05-06 11:20:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0xcbbb85…
05-06 09:23:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0x2add88…
05-05 09:38:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xb47689…
05-05 09:38:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0x914ab8…
05-05 09:00:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xc27498…
05-05 05:59:28	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x8e964e…
05-05 05:11:38	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xd146be…
05-04 12:06:54	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x6ff12e…
05-04 09:00:26	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	15¢	$37	0xc29d60…
05-04 07:31:24	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x4ac581…
05-04 07:30:36	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	250	3¢	$9	0x3637d4…
05-04 07:29:42	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x485eda…
05-04 07:13:36	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x594160…
05-04 06:36:12	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x64e1bb…
05-04 06:35:48	Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	206	3¢	$6	0x6d755f…
05-03 16:06:10	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x5014d2…
05-03 13:57:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	150	14¢	$21	0xe8c521…
05-03 05:07:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x0712ac…
05-03 05:03:56	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$17	0xc99dda…
05-03 05:03:26	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x8fa008…
05-02 14:17:36	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0xb6c403…
05-02 02:28:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,500	1¢	$13	0x984748…
05-02 00:56:16	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xf4caf6…
05-01 18:49:40	megaeth fdv above 1pt4b one day after launch	No	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x9e74bf…
05-01 17:37:24	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	376	3¢	$11	0xdf726e…
05-01 17:35:30	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	624	2¢	$15	0xcc2c3e…
05-01 17:06:14	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	SELL	250	81¢	$201	0xd67008…
05-01 15:02:10	megaeth fdv above 1pt4b one day after launch	No	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x04a944…
05-01 11:09:28	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xfd8dad…
05-01 11:08:40	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x950103…
05-01 11:08:16	megaeth fdv above 1pt6b one day after launch	No	BUY	75	56¢	$42	0xe0a1a7…
05-01 11:04:22	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,440	4¢	$56	0x038b84…
05-01 10:52:28	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x804397…
05-01 10:10:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$5	0x335be7…
05-01 09:56:22	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0x222ee2…
05-01 09:54:18	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	250	9¢	$22	0xfd292d…
05-01 09:50:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	250	7¢	$18	0x7511d9…
05-01 09:50:32	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xbb3f2c…
05-01 09:49:10	megaeth fdv above 1pt4b one day after launch	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x6eb43a…
05-01 08:57:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0xc585db…