Adept-Lion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$307

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

36.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 09-28 05:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

65% 59% -$306

Politics

35% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	09-28 05:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	2	$1.0K	560	560	+0	open	—	05-26 11:23
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	560	560	+0	No	+$0	05-29 07:05
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	2	$998	525	525	+0	No	+$0	05-23 05:15
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$994	540	540	+0	No	+$0	05-25 08:14
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	2	$968	535	535	+0	No	-$5	05-27 07:22
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	2	$966	525	525	+0	open	—	06-11 04:33
will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	2	$874	475	475	+0	No	+$0	08-03 06:59
will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	2	$871	480	480	+0	No	+$0	08-03 07:47
will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	2	$851	460	460	+0	No	-$5	07-22 02:51
Iran Nuke before 2027?	2	$847	449	449	+0	open	—	07-22 04:33
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$826	444	444	+0	open	—	08-24 07:32
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?	2	$810	450	450	+0	No	-$9	08-24 06:20
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	3	$797	438	438	+0	open	—	07-05 08:47
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$794	434	434	+0	No	+$4	07-05 02:57
Spread: Nice (-2.5)	1	$558	580	0	+580	Saint-Etienne	+$22	05-26 11:25
Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	1	$541	565	0	+565	Tromsø IL	+$24	05-25 08:20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	1	$539	580	0	+580	BESTIA	+$41	05-27 07:49
israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	2	$524	280	280	+0	No	+$3	06-21 05:12
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	2	$521	280	280	+0	open	—	06-20 07:46
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	1	$500	550	0	+550	US Catanzaro 1929	-$500	05-29 07:13
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	3	$497	265	265	+0	No	-$1	06-16 06:13
Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5)	1	$496	545	0	+545	US Yacoub El Mansour	+$49	05-23 05:21
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half team total away 1pt5	1	$484	510	0	+510	Under	+$25	06-11 04:40
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	1	$409	435	0	+435	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	+$26	04-26 03:17
fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 spread home 2pt5	1	$389	405	0	+405	SC Bastia	+$16	04-24 08:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	8	$171	150	150	+0	Yes	+$3	05-15 07:49
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-28 05:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 05:13:29	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd9b355…
08-24 07:32:49	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	444	94¢	$417	0x4f1208…
08-24 06:46:16	Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	444	92¢	$408	0x6ca06a…
08-24 06:20:21	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	450	89¢	$400	0x2ca936…
08-24 05:31:48	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	450	91¢	$410	0x028578…
08-03 07:47:56	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	SELL	480	91¢	$435	0x1a1b0a…
08-03 07:07:30	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	No	BUY	480	91¢	$435	0xc27873…
08-03 06:59:36	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	No	SELL	475	92¢	$437	0x69dcfa…
08-03 06:26:08	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	No	BUY	475	92¢	$437	0x8076de…
07-22 04:33:48	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	449	94¢	$423	0x855eea…
07-22 03:10:51	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	449	94¢	$423	0x099379…
07-22 02:51:06	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	460	92¢	$423	0xd9f386…
07-22 01:43:27	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0x2da69b…
07-05 08:47:16	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	75	91¢	$68	0x7d930d…
07-05 08:45:34	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	363	91¢	$330	0x0d28f9…
07-05 06:00:23	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	438	91¢	$399	0xbbca24…
07-05 02:57:20	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	434	92¢	$399	0xb96439…
07-05 01:43:40	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	434	91¢	$395	0x949901…
06-21 05:12:41	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	SELL	280	94¢	$263	0x197375…
06-21 04:18:01	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 30	No	BUY	280	93¢	$260	0xb4575b…
06-20 07:46:44	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	280	93¢	$260	0x9a57b9…
06-20 06:45:01	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	280	93¢	$260	0xb1d835…
06-16 06:13:33	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0xb1ade9…
06-16 06:13:24	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	SELL	240	94¢	$224	0xe7fec7…
06-16 05:47:58	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	No	BUY	265	94¢	$249	0x7df687…
06-11 04:40:03	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	510	95¢	$484	0x94307a…
06-11 04:33:03	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	SELL	525	92¢	$483	0x57b83e…
06-11 02:49:48	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	525	92¢	$483	0x718a0a…
05-29 07:13:59	Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	550	91¢	$500	0xc14821…
05-29 07:05:18	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	560	93¢	$521	0x3dbf55…
05-29 04:25:31	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	560	93¢	$521	0x4c605c…
05-27 07:49:46	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	BESTIA	BUY	580	93¢	$539	0x67bf68…
05-27 07:22:02	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	SELL	535	90¢	$482	0xaae030…
05-27 03:32:40	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	No	BUY	535	91¢	$487	0xd0253f…
05-26 11:25:54	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	580	96¢	$558	0x102a5f…
05-26 11:23:22	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	560	93¢	$521	0xa6ffa4…
05-26 10:39:10	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	560	93¢	$522	0x1f5f79…
05-25 08:20:42	Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)	Tromsø IL	BUY	565	96¢	$541	0x4c2ee9…
05-25 08:14:43	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	540	92¢	$497	0x5c4d6a…
05-25 05:34:52	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	540	92¢	$497	0x47a2c5…
05-23 05:21:12	Spread: UnionTouargaSports (-1.5)	US Yacoub El Mansour	BUY	545	91¢	$496	0x882a86…
05-23 05:15:36	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	525	95¢	$499	0xacd815…
05-23 04:19:56	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	525	95¢	$499	0x4728af…
05-15 07:49:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xaf8673…
05-15 07:35:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	89	58¢	$52	0xe15623…
05-15 07:34:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x648d81…
05-15 07:32:02	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xaa153b…
05-15 07:26:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xfe55f6…
05-15 07:07:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x1b263d…
05-15 07:00:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x52f3cb…
05-15 06:45:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	150	56¢	$84	0x162168…
04-26 03:17:18	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	435	94¢	$409	0x9eabd1…
04-24 08:39:02	fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 spread home 2pt5	SC Bastia	BUY	405	96¢	$389	0x4ff2b7…