Dapper-Leopard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

102

Trades

347

lifetime

Volume

$713

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 07-31 02:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 29% -$75

Politics

16% 31% -$15

Other

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	16	$51	52	52	+0	cancelled	$0	05-15 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	12	$38	36	31	+5	Up	+$8	05-15 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	7	$35	35	25	+10	Up	-$8	05-15 07:09
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	3	$27	8,333	3,333	+5,000	No	-$13	05-15 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	6	$25	50	37	+13	Up	+$19	05-15 06:59
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$21	57	57	+0	No	+$7	05-15 09:05
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$20	177	177	+0	No	+$4	05-15 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	7	$20	35	10	+25	Up	+$7	05-15 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	10	$20	32	15	+17	Down	-$2	05-15 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	11	$20	120	18	+102	Up	+$6	05-14 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	7	$19	36	36	+0	Up	-$9	05-15 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	9	$16	167	17	+150	Down	+$2	05-14 18:54
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$16	83	83	+0	No	+$0	05-15 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$16	75	9	+66	Up	-$2	05-15 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$16	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-15 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$14	22	9	+13	Up	+$8	05-15 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	10	$13	18	9	+9	Down	+$2	05-16 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	9	$12	42	5	+38	Down	-$6	05-14 19:13
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$11	252	242	+10	No	-$6	05-15 06:47
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$10	96	96	+0	No	+$0	05-15 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	6	$10	89	6	+83	Up	+$0	05-14 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	278	0	+278	Down	-$10	05-14 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	7	$10	33	6	+26	Up	$0	05-14 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$9	139	5	+134	Up	-$7	05-16 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$8	5	5	+0	Up	$0	05-15 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$8	126	0	+126	Up	-$8	05-15 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	-$1	05-15 17:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 14:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	5	$8	16	6	+10	Down	$0	07-31 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$7	14	5	+9	Down	-$3	05-15 20:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 02:05:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x326cf3…
07-31 02:03:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb77b85…
07-31 02:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3241af…
07-31 02:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x6693e7…
07-31 02:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xccd13b…
07-31 02:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x67190a…
07-31 01:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7b2ada…
07-31 01:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0x7f92c5…
07-31 01:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x74c237…
05-17 09:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xcde6da…
05-17 09:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc1499d…
05-17 08:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xe5d541…
05-17 08:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0f74d8…
05-17 08:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xbefd1d…
05-17 08:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x600986…
05-17 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x39ed6d…
05-17 08:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x401ffb…
05-17 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcf1668…
05-17 07:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x08bfc1…
05-17 07:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x830a20…
05-17 07:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x37a95a…
05-17 07:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x03d7d6…
05-17 07:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfbd978…
05-17 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb8cd9c…
05-16 18:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xd14c71…
05-16 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2c43c9…
05-16 18:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcd86a4…
05-16 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x403e7a…
05-16 18:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x03a03b…
05-16 18:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x046396…
05-16 18:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x02eaf8…
05-16 18:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x67b1cc…
05-16 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7cdf57…
05-16 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x109ce5…
05-16 18:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x306eb5…
05-16 18:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1c892a…
05-16 18:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe50923…
05-16 18:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x040875…
05-16 18:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2e5e05…
05-16 17:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b675a…
05-16 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x16e810…
05-16 17:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x1771c2…
05-16 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcb470e…
05-16 17:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x87a0d4…
05-16 17:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf59655…
05-16 17:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x742021…
05-16 17:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1c961a…
05-16 17:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa71a6d…
05-16 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc91ded…
05-16 17:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xce1da4…
05-16 17:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xce3f15…
05-16 17:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa7de07…
05-16 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x146e52…
05-16 17:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9ace7b…
05-16 17:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4f40cc…
05-16 17:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc6342e…
05-16 17:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xbb4439…
05-16 17:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaf8e41…
05-16 17:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xf8d6f8…
05-16 17:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x226e60…
05-16 14:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa1556a…
05-16 14:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3a15d3…
05-16 14:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x4528f9…
05-16 14:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0744c8…
05-16 14:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x125ed3…
05-16 14:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xe696f2…
05-16 14:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xb70b5e…
05-16 14:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa3f759…
05-16 14:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc48dab…
05-16 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x928fad…
05-16 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x380b0b…
05-16 13:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xad7b32…
05-16 12:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x77a425…
05-16 12:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x74b539…
05-16 12:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0x138045…
05-16 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x45a997…
05-16 12:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb76c6d…
05-16 12:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x263ac1…
05-16 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc39dab…
05-16 12:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3c9a33…
05-16 12:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x042f9a…
05-16 10:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5bf9f6…
05-16 10:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b5888…
05-16 10:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb7afe4…
05-16 10:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb1aebe…
05-16 03:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbae55b…
05-16 02:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1855a9…
05-16 02:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xd49683…
05-16 02:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe375da…
05-16 02:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x7b73df…
05-16 02:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd6cc01…
05-16 02:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xfa529f…
05-16 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1798ed…
05-16 02:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe8e0e8…
05-15 20:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x502d51…
05-15 20:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd5e190…
05-15 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbc7a7b…
05-15 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x915e26…
05-15 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1ea6f3…
05-15 19:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x7b8a09…