Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

131

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$224.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$666

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 02-13 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 45% -$21,223

Other

18% 81% -$4,958

Politics

14% 62% -$917

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$17.9K	9,468	9,468	+0	No	-$151	02-13 00:40
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$9.0K	5,473	5,473	+0	No	+$42	02-13 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 01:15 UTC	7	$8.4K	9,707	9,575	+132	Down	-$380	02-06 01:28
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	4	$6.9K	5,588	5,588	+0	Yes	-$182	02-13 00:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:00 UTC	2	$6.7K	4,905	4,831	+74	Up	+$1,276	02-04 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	5	$6.5K	8,889	8,760	+128	Up	-$3,939	02-12 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 23:45 UTC	4	$5.9K	5,204	5,124	+81	Down	+$1,112	01-21 23:52
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	3	$5.7K	7,966	7,966	+0	No	-$1,084	01-17 13:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:15 UTC	6	$5.6K	9,915	0	+9,915	Up	-$5,615	02-04 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:15 UTC	2	$5.4K	4,059	3,996	+63	Down	+$1,453	02-06 02:21
epl not ars 2026 01 17 ars	3	$5.0K	9,976	9,976	+0	No	-$3,176	01-17 19:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:30 UTC	1	$4.7K	7,794	0	+7,794	Down	+$3,123	01-05 12:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 11:45 UTC	3	$4.4K	5,504	5,418	+86	Down	-$987	02-04 11:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$4.0K	2,184	2,184	+0	No	+$16	02-13 00:40
epl mun ful 2026 02 01 mun	2	$3.7K	1,904	1,904	+0	Yes	+$100	02-01 18:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 13:15 UTC	1	$3.6K	4,564	0	+4,564	Down	+$955	02-04 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 02:00 UTC	6	$3.6K	4,440	4,380	+60	Down	-$15	02-06 02:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 15:00 UTC	1	$3.3K	5,762	0	+5,762	Up	-$3,328	01-05 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:45 UTC	3	$3.2K	5,700	5,612	+89	Down	-$2,108	02-06 09:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:45 UTC	4	$3.2K	4,002	3,941	+62	Down	-$1,099	01-22 00:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	11	$3.2K	3,945	2,784	+1,161	Down	+$433	02-10 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:15 UTC	3	$3.1K	4,828	4,764	+64	Up	-$2,117	02-06 09:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:00 UTC	2	$3.1K	3,407	0	+3,407	Down	+$307	02-04 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 09:30 UTC	4	$3.0K	4,981	4,905	+76	Up	-$1,551	02-06 09:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:45 UTC	4	$3.0K	5,562	5,562	+0	Up	-$2,577	01-05 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 12:45 UTC	2	$2.9K	4,823	0	+4,823	Down	+$1,890	02-04 12:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 13:30 UTC	4	$2.9K	4,492	1,468	+3,024	Down	-$396	02-04 13:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:00 UTC	3	$2.8K	6,849	0	+6,849	Up	-$2,800	02-12 23:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$2.7K	2,743	0	+2,743	Yes	+$3	02-01 18:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 11:00 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,771	1,771	+0	Down	+$741	01-05 11:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-13 00:41:07	us strike on somalia by february 14	No	SELL	714	44¢	$317	0xa17aaf…
02-13 00:40:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	833	23¢	$192	0xb6bb80…
02-13 00:40:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	2,184	92¢	$2,016	0xfdcc12…
02-13 00:40:41	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	SELL	1,253	38¢	$481	0x18622b…
02-13 00:40:27	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	No	SELL	9,468	94¢	$8,893	0x9d2971…
02-13 00:40:11	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	SELL	2,794	60¢	$1,683	0x6cbfb1…
02-13 00:39:59	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,627	95¢	$1,542	0x3f569a…
02-13 00:39:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	558	85¢	$474	0x48e7fe…
02-13 00:39:05	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	SELL	471	84¢	$396	0x2ffa4d…
02-13 00:39:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	421	95¢	$400	0xfdbb38…
02-13 00:38:57	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	Yes	SELL	403	71¢	$288	0xfc3b9b…
02-13 00:38:53	us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	No	SELL	359	98¢	$352	0x012cc8…
02-13 00:38:43	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	No	SELL	316	95¢	$300	0x2fc5ed…
02-13 00:38:23	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	84¢	$105	0x80cb5a…
02-13 00:08:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	24¢	$200	0x307199…
02-13 00:07:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	558	90¢	$500	0xdbe4bf…
02-13 00:04:43	will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	Yes	BUY	403	74¢	$300	0xc050cc…
02-12 23:30:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2,116	59¢	$1,256	0x5e4ac8…
02-12 23:25:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5,969	15¢	$896	0x93614f…
02-12 23:24:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2,791	13¢	$366	0x8f161c…
02-12 23:19:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,512	69¢	$1,049	0xace0bf…
02-12 23:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2,923	59¢	$1,716	0xe89481…
02-12 23:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4,453	55¢	$2,437	0x60a7e8…
02-12 23:02:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,464	55¢	$800	0x9acd6b…
02-12 23:02:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3,684	36¢	$1,315	0x1f5318…
02-12 23:02:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,701	40¢	$685	0x10918a…
02-12 22:46:47	bitcoin up or down february 12 5pm et	Down	SELL	4,742	1¢	$53	0x08311e…
02-12 21:56:53	bitcoin up or down february 12 5pm et	Down	BUY	4,742	53¢	$2,535	0xa0f929…
02-12 21:48:57	bitcoin up or down february 12 4pm et	Down	SELL	5,127	1¢	$35	0x59bf60…
02-12 21:21:47	bitcoin up or down february 12 4pm et	Down	BUY	982	19¢	$187	0xc94f90…
02-12 21:19:03	bitcoin up or down february 12 4pm et	Down	BUY	1,271	16¢	$200	0x4b2aca…
02-12 21:18:31	bitcoin up or down february 12 4pm et	Down	BUY	1,198	23¢	$272	0x1542e1…
02-12 21:15:03	bitcoin up or down february 12 4pm et	Down	BUY	1,676	24¢	$400	0xdfbdad…
02-12 01:27:13	will trump say venezuela during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd21e57…
02-12 01:26:59	will trump say gaza 5 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x79c5b4…
02-12 01:26:29	will trump say middle east during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe8e009…
02-12 01:26:21	will trumps meeting with netanyahu not air 536 717 855	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8a08fe…
02-12 01:26:07	will trump say nato during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd3aa2a…
02-12 01:26:03	will trump say think about during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77d2bf…
02-12 01:25:59	will trump say nothing 2 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x319048…
02-12 01:25:53	will trump say nuclear 5 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb4623c…
02-12 01:25:49	will trump say gaza 5 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb685f2…
02-12 01:25:45	will trump say iran 7 times during meeting with netanyahu 165	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77010d…
02-12 01:25:41	will trump say thousand or million or billion 8 timesduring meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7ea4cb…
02-12 01:25:35	will trump say israel 13 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8d5776…
02-12 01:25:31	will trump say israel 13 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8321fb…
02-12 01:09:09	us strike on somalia by february 14	No	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x2c33eb…
02-12 01:08:45	us strike on somalia by february 14	No	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x9db4b7…
02-12 01:03:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x81ab9e…
02-12 01:02:47	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0xf065cf…
02-12 00:59:41	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	SELL	2,794	59¢	$1,655	0xbb78ec…
02-12 00:34:37	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	BUY	1,587	63¢	$1,000	0x083270…
02-12 00:32:31	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	No	BUY	4,000	63¢	$2,520	0x2c162e…
02-11 20:06:05	epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	Yes	SELL	704	94¢	$663	0xfcbd1f…
02-11 19:34:55	epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	Yes	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x566f4a…
02-11 19:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,039	88¢	$919	0x51f768…
02-11 19:16:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xb61662…
02-11 19:15:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	75	54¢	$41	0x06c50d…
02-11 17:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,132	52¢	$1,099	0x9d585d…
02-11 16:57:03	bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	Up	SELL	1,386	0¢	$1	0xdb4aa4…
02-11 16:36:21	bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	Up	BUY	458	44¢	$200	0x1f0b35…
02-11 16:03:27	bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf16351…
02-11 16:02:09	bitcoin up or down february 11 11am et	Up	BUY	743	54¢	$398	0x43b3c8…
02-11 15:59:57	bitcoin up or down february 11 10am et	Up	SELL	1,261	2¢	$24	0xe3e250…
02-11 15:39:27	bitcoin up or down february 11 10am et	Up	BUY	863	35¢	$300	0xdae850…
02-11 15:09:45	bitcoin up or down february 11 10am et	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x5287c1…
02-11 15:07:09	bitcoin up or down february 11 10am et	Up	BUY	311	39¢	$121	0x2f14b1…
02-11 13:09:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	604	87¢	$526	0xa1fd80…
02-11 13:07:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa805a2…
02-11 13:02:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x0ae83b…
02-11 13:01:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x9faa06…
02-11 12:57:37	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	660	91¢	$600	0xa6d17c…
02-11 09:18:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0x8cd4d7…
02-11 09:16:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x88417d…
02-11 09:13:27	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x43c17d…
02-11 09:11:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x855e7d…
02-11 00:26:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	769	52¢	$400	0xd6a113…
02-11 00:26:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,411	1¢	$14	0x918bda…
02-11 00:20:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	988	10¢	$100	0x4dabef…
02-11 00:09:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	431	51¢	$220	0x50df01…
02-10 23:59:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	235	51¢	$120	0x2b7d8c…
02-10 23:59:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	164	5¢	$8	0x1babf3…
02-10 23:53:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x615195…
02-10 23:52:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc16ba9…
02-10 23:45:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x395bed…
02-10 23:44:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0x84d78b…
02-10 23:38:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x1eac55…
02-10 23:23:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	352	85¢	$300	0xea2298…
02-10 23:23:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	710	84¢	$600	0xeb6031…
02-10 22:34:37	will trump say make america great again this week february 15	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf41b05…
02-10 22:10:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	42	68¢	$28	0x759e9b…
02-10 22:08:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xbd6199…
02-10 22:05:31	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x0ecdd0…
02-10 22:05:19	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0x18e0f6…
02-10 21:42:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	545	92¢	$500	0x6f75cb…
02-10 21:34:47	us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	No	BUY	359	84¢	$300	0x705a46…
02-10 21:30:37	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	544	92¢	$500	0xccd15a…
02-10 21:23:07	will leavitt say go ahead 5 times during the next press briefing	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6f37d4…
02-10 21:22:47	will leavitt say police during the next press briefing 394	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc2949f…
02-10 21:22:39	will leavitt say national guard during the next press briefing 147	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0ec9c6…