Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$364,779

Trades

23,293

Unique wallets

2,526

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-04

First seen

2026-02-03

last 02-04 14:16

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +30,000 (anon) +20,800 (anon) +17,637 (anon) +13,082 (anon) +8,629 (anon) +5,647 (anon) +5,015 (anon) +4,251

NO holders

(anon) +30,000 (anon) +28,885 (anon) +14,728 (anon) +8,448 (anon) +8,000 Blind-Suburb +6,963 (anon) +6,094 (anon) +5,496

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +2.1¢ (top1%: 82% YES on $146.4K vs crowd: 80% YES on $312.9K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	189	$148.6K	$39.4K	+$109.2K
🐬 Dolphin	523	$72.9K	$12.1K	+$60.8K
🐟 Fish	997	$22.3K	$7.9K	+$14.4K
🦐 Shrimp	817	$5.7K	$4.0K	+$1.7K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	157	$119.9K	$26.5K	+$93.4K
🏆 Top 5%	309	$26.6K	$3.7K	+$22.9K
✅ Top 10%	185	$3.5K	$774	+$2.7K
Median	205	$1.9K	$340	+$1.5K
Below median	854	$11.8K	$3.1K	+$8.7K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	350	$30.9K	$3.2K	+$27.7K
🔻 Bottom 5%	310	$22.1K	$6.5K	+$15.6K
💀 Bottom 1%	156	$32.8K	$19.3K	+$13.5K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x66fe…e123	Up	+30,000	$29,970	$29,970	14	02-04 14:15
(anonymous) 0x3684…0472	Down	+30,000	$30	$30	1	02-04 14:15
(anonymous) 0x183d…1270	Down	+28,885	$13,256	$13,256	1	02-04 13:59
(anonymous) 0x8446…1a47	Up	+20,800	$20,041	$20,041	23	02-04 14:16
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Up	+17,637	$14,252	$14,252	338	02-04 14:12
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Down	+14,728	$4,236	$4,236	286	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x9871…36eb	Up	+13,082	$7,800	$7,800	47	02-04 13:59
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Up	+8,629	$6,932	$6,932	293	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Down	+8,448	$1,779	$1,779	326	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x7b64…707b	Down	+8,000	$8	$8	1	02-04 14:15
Blind-Suburb 0x69d2…22fb	Down	+6,963	$500	$500	2	02-04 14:08
(anonymous) 0xeb5d…ad5f	Down	+6,094	$35	$35	5	02-04 14:16
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Up	+5,647	$4,598	$4,598	131	02-04 14:13
(anonymous) 0x1d00…0313	Down	+5,496	$1,000	$1,000	139	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	Down	+5,325	$2,160	$2,160	23	02-04 14:00
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+5,015	$3,937	$3,937	117	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0xa3ae…b2e0	Down	+5,000	$5	$5	2	02-04 14:16
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+4,946	$1,266	$1,266	145	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x1198…825c	Up	+4,251	$4,247	$4,247	2	02-04 14:15
Monumental-Congressperson 0x27d8…d41f	Up	+4,250	$4,244	$4,244	16	02-04 14:14
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	Down	+3,861	$855	$855	48	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Down	+3,700	$647	$647	139	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+3,586	$2,829	$2,829	251	02-04 14:12
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+3,578	$754	$754	278	02-04 14:12
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Up	+3,415	$2,800	$2,800	77	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x5d33…256e	Down	+3,393	$936	$936	147	02-04 14:14
(anonymous) 0x7e27…178d	Up	+3,331	$2,625	$2,625	480	02-04 14:13
(anonymous) 0x5d33…256e	Up	+3,216	$2,245	$2,245	153	02-04 14:10
(anonymous) 0x7e27…178d	Down	+3,178	$565	$565	441	02-04 14:14
(anonymous) 0x1979…7c9d	Up	+3,176	$2,786	$2,786	22	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x39dc…4792	Down	+3,128	$100	$100	1	02-04 14:11
Fond-Struggle 0x82a9…c9a1	Down	+2,681	$634	$634	80	02-04 14:10
Intelligent-Scheme 0xd19f…c21f	Down	+2,500	$2	$2	10	02-04 14:14
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+2,276	$642	$642	171	02-04 14:11
Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd	Up	+2,182	$1,924	$1,924	40	02-04 14:07
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+2,140	$1,735	$1,735	76	02-04 14:12
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Up	+2,110	$1,975	$1,975	17	02-04 14:08
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Down	+2,056	$384	$384	86	02-04 14:12
Descriptive-Eicosanoid 0xdc09…f009	Up	+2,038	$1,942	$1,942	1	02-04 14:08
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+2,034	$565	$565	39	02-04 14:10
(anonymous) 0x6952…f603	Up	+2,015	$2,013	$2,013	1	02-04 14:14
(anonymous) 0x3cfb…7cad	Down	+1,993	$383	$383	280	02-04 14:11
Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303	Up	+1,984	$1,951	$1,951	46	02-04 14:13
Bony-Vivo 0x18b3…6193	Up	+1,981	$1,961	$1,961	1	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x3cfb…7cad	Up	+1,959	$1,586	$1,586	261	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x8c90…6e09	Up	+1,957	$1,036	$1,036	5	02-04 13:59
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+1,905	$1,344	$1,344	153	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0xe819…5fe3	Up	+1,875	$1,232	$1,232	7	02-04 14:03
(anonymous) 0xfb1c…963e	Down	+1,692	$755	$755	38	02-04 14:01
(anonymous) 0x88b0…4398	Down	+1,664	$319	$319	4	02-04 14:12
(anonymous) 0x661a…f690	Down	+1,614	$589	$589	1	02-04 14:02
Fond-Struggle 0x82a9…c9a1	Up	+1,575	$1,190	$1,190	45	02-04 14:09
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+1,560	$386	$471	171	02-04 14:11
(anonymous) 0x6f01…8ecc	Up	+1,541	$1,014	$1,014	17	02-04 14:09
(anonymous) 0x6f01…8ecc	Down	+1,521	$439	$439	44	02-04 14:10
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+1,516	$1,188	$1,371	170	02-04 14:12
Brisk-Journey 0x049c…4634	Up	+1,510	$1,495	$1,495	23	02-04 14:13
(anonymous) 0x9ef1…a807	Down	+1,502	$697	$697	54	02-04 13:53
(anonymous) 0x6f24…c264	Up	+1,490	-$1,603	$9,887	119	02-04 14:08
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	Down	+1,400	$18	$18	18	02-04 14:11