Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$141

Open exposure

$297

1 position

First seen

2026-07-01

last 10-29 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

93% 96% +$78

Sports

6% 75% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+298	$297	100¢	$297	+$0	10-29 10:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 11?	1	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	No	+$1	07-11 07:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	3	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	No	+$1	08-18 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 1?	1	$966	967	0	+967	No	+$1	07-01 01:13
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 5?	16	$920	921	0	+921	Yes	+$1	07-05 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$843	844	0	+844	No	+$1	08-20 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 6?	5	$839	840	0	+840	No	+$1	07-06 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	5	$802	803	0	+803	No	+$1	08-01 07:11
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	1	$752	753	0	+753	No	+$1	07-24 15:41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	6	$745	746	0	+746	No	+$1	08-07 08:02
Rockets vs. Mavericks	17	$670	493	215	+278	Rockets	+$20	10-09 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on July 3?	1	$657	658	0	+658	No	+$1	07-03 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 2?	1	$640	641	0	+641	No	+$1	07-02 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on July 4?	2	$628	629	0	+629	No	+$1	07-04 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 2?	2	$585	586	0	+586	No	+$1	07-02 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7?	3	$522	523	0	+523	No	+$1	07-07 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	10	$494	501	0	+501	Yes	+$7	07-08 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 8?	2	$417	418	0	+418	No	+$1	07-08 09:15
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	2	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	07-16 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 12?	2	$398	200	200	+0	No	-$2	07-12 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 3?	2	$307	307	0	+307	No	+$0	07-03 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on July 4?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-04 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-28 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 4?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-04 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 6?	2	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-06 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?	6	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-05 10:08
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$297	298	0	+298	open	—	10-29 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	3	$289	289	0	+289	No	+$0	08-08 14:03
Suns vs. Trail Blazers	4	$278	288	0	+288	Trail Blazers	+$10	10-22 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10?	1	$278	278	0	+278	No	+$0	10-10 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?	1	$262	263	0	+263	Yes	+$1	07-03 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:31:14	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xa031a3…
10-28 08:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x56cf74…
10-28 07:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb8eccc…
10-28 07:57:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x0da125…
10-28 01:16:44	Kings vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb0f22d…
10-28 00:46:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0xdaa896…
10-26 09:17:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x9d5f94…
10-26 09:16:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0xc049aa…
10-23 01:21:06	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	75	62¢	$46	0xee0bd8…
10-23 01:08:39	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	55	60¢	$33	0xc8a47d…
10-23 01:08:38	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xd76020…
10-23 01:08:38	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x7ee03c…
10-23 00:40:44	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xf40167…
10-23 00:37:36	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	Cavaliers	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x6bb046…
10-23 00:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x666e21…
10-22 04:46:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xeb8bc5…
10-22 03:35:41	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x7c7af4…
10-22 02:54:57	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x7cdde9…
10-22 02:53:32	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x44c47e…
10-22 02:53:24	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x4f59aa…
10-10 07:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$278	0x7836da…
10-09 14:22:34	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4d6583…
10-09 14:09:15	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x175e30…
10-09 14:06:57	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x76802c…
10-09 13:57:33	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x45719b…
10-09 13:52:48	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x275d65…
10-09 13:52:25	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xf5428d…
10-09 13:52:18	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0xcda288…
10-09 13:51:21	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x274769…
10-09 13:50:09	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x831cc4…
10-09 13:48:58	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1bad8b…
10-09 13:48:42	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	56	95¢	$54	0x5d3e06…
10-09 13:48:22	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x4ab9e9…
10-09 13:41:27	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x488c55…
10-09 13:40:37	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xaf9c10…
10-09 13:36:49	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x9c468f…
10-09 13:36:33	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xe2800b…
09-17 06:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x11132c…
09-15 03:37:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xb597a8…
08-21 05:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 22?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x96c43d…
08-21 05:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on August 22?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x1b1ecf…
08-20 12:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x35971d…
08-20 12:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x94c5af…
08-20 12:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	544	100¢	$543	0x23a1f4…
08-18 15:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 19?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xad98d0…
08-18 15:09:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc19ed2…
08-18 15:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x15c415…
08-18 15:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x081474…
08-08 14:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x4a53f5…
08-08 13:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x055454…
08-08 06:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1a8a93…
08-07 11:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xf1d06a…
08-07 08:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xcdc694…
08-07 08:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe4cf99…
08-07 08:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x570ca1…
08-07 08:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x62824f…
08-07 08:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x42269e…
08-07 08:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7aab27…
08-07 08:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb0a17a…
08-07 07:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa85058…
08-07 07:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2b8b7d…
08-07 07:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0xc22d6d…
08-07 07:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xe5dbd8…
08-07 07:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x89070d…
08-07 07:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	347	100¢	$347	0x9759e4…
08-01 15:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff096b…
08-01 07:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa3d4a0…
08-01 07:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6fe8d2…
08-01 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x8fcfca…
08-01 07:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x767ac9…
08-01 07:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x2de8d5…
07-28 15:56:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x08fd22…
07-24 15:41:01	Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	753	100¢	$752	0xdba2e3…
07-21 07:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 21?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x792f14…
07-21 07:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0xcc2e1e…
07-21 07:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xbdc1b2…
07-21 02:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x70e2b5…
07-16 15:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x11a5a6…
07-16 15:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x27fd0a…
07-16 10:11:55	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcb21ee…
07-16 09:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x007876…
07-16 09:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdbead1…
07-16 09:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0b5c3…
07-16 09:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xefd09e…
07-16 09:08:46	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xa57bff…
07-12 08:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x79dea9…
07-12 05:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 12?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf96af0…
07-11 07:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1,150	100¢	$1,149	0x44ef19…
07-08 12:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	259	0¢	$0	0xa8234d…
07-08 09:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0e1c43…
07-08 09:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 8?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0xf8fd4a…
07-08 09:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7f81b0…
07-08 09:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62594d…
07-08 09:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x2f119f…
07-08 09:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6b2234…
07-08 09:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcd8764…
07-08 09:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x03cb62…
07-08 09:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	259	0¢	$0	0xbce295…
07-08 09:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf12272…
07-08 09:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x432335…