Realized P&L (90d)
+$20
Unrealized P&L
-$354
Hit rate
34.2%
Resolved (90d)
8
Trades (90d)
3,452
3,452 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$129.7K
$129.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$13.4K
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-20
last 11-14 03:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
97% 20% +$24
Politics
3% 33% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 685 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,384 $5,927 97¢ $7.2K +$1,235 11-13 04:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,562 $2,913 88¢ $3.2K +$240 11-13 18:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,834 $1,645 92¢ $1.7K +$45 11-14 00:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +724 $373 79¢ $573 +$200 10-28 15:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +7,384 $1,580 3¢ $222 -$1,358 11-10 14:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,762 $450 12¢ $203 -$247 11-13 18:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +724 $437 21¢ $151 -$287 10-28 15:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $62 64¢ $127 +$65 10-28 15:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $137 36¢ $73 -$64 10-28 15:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +786 $246 8¢ $62 -$184 11-14 03:13