Old-Fashioned-Tram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$46.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$179

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-10 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

81% 100% +$1

Politics

18% 100% +$4

Crypto

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No		+167	$164	99¢	$166	+$2	06-10 12:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		+188	$13	7¢	$13	$-0	06-04 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	176	$14.5K	7,489	7,402	+86	open	—	03-20 04:43
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	32	$6.9K	3,445	3,532	-87	open	—	03-23 05:59
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$3.8K	1,905	1,905	+0	open	—	03-20 13:51
cbb pvam fl 2026 03 20	2	$3.6K	1,802	1,802	+0	open	—	03-21 02:30
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	3	$2.5K	537,781	537,750	+31	open	—	03-21 03:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	28	$2.1K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	05-25 13:10
will trump visit china by march 31	7	$1.5K	751	751	+0	open	—	03-21 14:22
will trump say hiroshima or nagasaki during events with japanese pm	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	03-20 05:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$980	496	496	+0	open	—	05-17 12:17
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$790	400	400	+0	open	—	03-23 10:41
will trump say friend of mine during events with japanese pm	2	$683	346	340	+6	open	—	03-20 05:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	4	$635	320	320	+0	open	—	04-19 12:07
trump out as president by march 31	6	$580	299	299	+0	open	—	03-14 03:36
will trump post democrat shutdown on truth social this week	3	$428	214	214	+0	open	—	03-23 09:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$349	176	176	+0	open	—	05-22 08:19
highest temperature in tokyo on march 21 2026 16c	1	$336	337	0	+337	open	—	03-21 14:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$336	171	171	+0	open	—	05-30 06:56
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$319	161	161	+0	open	—	04-21 05:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$318	160	160	+0	open	—	04-25 17:39
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	3	$287	197	91	+106	open	—	01-21 00:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$278	142	142	+0	open	—	04-11 03:24
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$213	107	107	+0	open	—	01-20 13:51
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	02-24 07:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$195	101	100	+1	open	—	04-07 23:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$191	99	92	+7	open	—	03-13 13:41
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	3	$181	91	91	+0	open	—	01-09 15:56
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$168	88	80	+8	open	—	03-09 13:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$164	167	0	+167	open	—	06-10 12:42
Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	5	$145	83	80	+3	open	—	06-03 04:22
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$119	62	62	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 12:42:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x6cec03…
06-10 11:40:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x872a4b…
06-04 12:50:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	188	7¢	$13	0x42523f…
06-03 04:22:20	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	SELL	80	90¢	$72	0xd2012f…
05-30 06:56:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0xf177bd…
05-28 21:04:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	171	98¢	$168	0x2844dc…
05-28 01:53:19	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x578af1…
05-28 01:40:24	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x844d25…
05-28 01:39:49	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x12a93d…
05-28 01:39:24	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x3a55d4…
05-25 13:10:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x088e7f…
05-25 13:07:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xfd9aa5…
05-25 12:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x3caa05…
05-25 12:36:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xc70a8c…
05-25 12:24:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x4caa7f…
05-25 12:23:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xe77702…
05-25 12:04:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0xb18360…
05-25 11:55:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xf373ad…
05-25 10:05:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0xb78c88…
05-25 09:49:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	26¢	$78	0xe0b7e8…
05-25 09:38:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0x896e8e…
05-25 09:31:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	26¢	$28	0x90f0a5…
05-25 09:31:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	26¢	$24	0x761a36…
05-25 09:11:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x7095ff…
05-25 09:10:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xfb534a…
05-25 09:09:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3e0a1b…
05-25 09:03:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x744c65…
05-25 09:03:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	74¢	$94	0xed2ad5…
05-25 09:01:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xb401bc…
05-25 09:00:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	74¢	$43	0xae34b7…
05-25 08:59:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xf6e796…
05-25 08:59:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0x0cc9d2…
05-25 08:59:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x21f460…
05-25 08:58:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xa024c2…
05-25 08:57:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x57f76e…
05-25 08:54:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	26¢	$12	0x42422a…
05-25 08:54:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x13f367…
05-25 08:54:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	26¢	$37	0x900d4f…
05-22 08:19:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$175	0x1d8923…
05-21 14:44:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0x99eb47…
05-21 13:51:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x40fc0c…
05-18 05:45:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x89ab07…
05-17 12:17:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xc2ba05…
05-17 03:20:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb4b8a3…
05-15 13:29:25	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xab92c8…
05-15 02:46:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0x4c8363…
05-15 02:38:40	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x10e6c6…
05-14 05:19:52	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xac78a6…
05-14 05:08:47	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x812779…
05-14 05:06:58	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x66a3d4…
05-08 14:38:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xb7ba78…
05-07 21:16:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$163	0x0f27d0…
05-06 12:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	163	99¢	$161	0x29592a…
05-04 21:18:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	163	97¢	$159	0xe77da5…
04-25 17:39:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xbef3dd…
04-23 18:45:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x4a3b96…
04-21 05:58:46	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0xe46f8e…
04-20 05:01:50	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$159	0xe5cd61…
04-19 12:07:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x6c6651…
04-18 23:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xdada71…
04-18 12:33:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x38dfd4…
04-16 13:14:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	160	99¢	$159	0x4e9c0d…
04-11 03:24:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	142	98¢	$139	0xa60d57…
04-10 15:20:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0x15a2ea…
04-10 13:37:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7ccc0b…
04-10 13:33:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6c626a…
04-10 13:31:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x04737a…
04-10 13:31:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30f0a1…
04-09 18:05:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x60dfe8…
04-08 14:22:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8dcdf6…
04-07 23:25:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x417c01…
04-07 04:38:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d901d…
04-07 04:38:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcd6583…
04-07 04:38:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x8c18e9…
04-07 04:38:35	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8567c5…
04-07 04:38:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7167f6…
04-06 13:49:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x091ae7…
04-05 02:30:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe14d23…
04-05 02:29:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x32204c…
04-05 02:16:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x16310c…
03-29 15:33:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x1b11e6…
03-29 14:05:56	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x88a385…
03-27 13:59:05	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x7165d2…
03-27 13:19:07	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x06bfb2…
03-27 12:27:13	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xba4a3e…
03-27 12:25:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7874c7…
03-27 12:24:49	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfd3dfa…
03-27 12:24:25	hillary clinton charged by march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x16ab64…
03-27 12:23:41	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x77dab9…
03-25 05:05:27	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb65cf7…
03-25 03:27:05	will melania say star during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77f6e7…
03-25 03:26:45	will melania say husband or trump during fostering the future together event on march 24	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2192e9…
03-25 03:25:55	will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x885693…
03-25 03:25:13	will solana dip to 40 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xc75527…
03-25 03:24:27	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf835e5…
03-25 03:23:51	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xf09601…
03-25 03:23:23	will gas hit low 3pt00 by march 31	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x9c613a…
03-25 03:23:03	highest temperature in denver on march 24 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x114ba6…
03-25 03:22:31	highest temperature in los angeles on march 24 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4e0d6…
03-23 14:41:21	will trump say egghead this week march 22	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x034653…