Old-Fashioned-Tram — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$51.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

$188

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-27 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

76% 91% -$1,102

Politics

23% 90% +$73

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+188	$175	97¢	$182	+$8	05-25 06:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		+188	$13	3¢	$6	-$8	06-04 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	176	$14.5K	7,489	7,402	+86	No	-$1	03-20 04:43
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	32	$6.9K	3,445	3,532	-87	No	+$0	03-23 05:59
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$3.8K	1,905	1,905	+0	No	+$2	03-20 13:51
cbb pvam fl 2026 03 20	2	$3.6K	1,802	1,802	+0	Florida Gators	+$0	03-21 02:30
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	3	$2.5K	537,781	537,750	+31	Kansas Jayhawks	-$1,127	03-21 03:49
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	36	$2.2K	1,435	1,435	+0	No	+$2	05-29 23:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	28	$2.1K	4,200	0	+4,200	No	+$63	05-25 13:10
will trump visit china by march 31	7	$1.5K	751	751	+0	No	+$0	03-21 14:22
will trump say hiroshima or nagasaki during events with japanese pm	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$6	03-20 05:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	6	$980	496	496	+0	No	+$4	05-17 12:17
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	31	$832	1,549	1,763	-214	No	+$1	05-27 08:20
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$790	400	400	+0	No	+$1	03-23 10:41
will trump say friend of mine during events with japanese pm	2	$683	346	340	+6	No	+$2	03-20 05:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	4	$635	320	320	+0	No	+$1	04-19 12:07
trump out as president by march 31	6	$580	299	299	+0	No	+$3	03-14 03:36
will trump post democrat shutdown on truth social this week	3	$428	214	214	+0	No	+$1	03-23 09:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$349	176	176	+0	No	+$1	05-22 08:19
highest temperature in tokyo on march 21 2026 16c	1	$336	337	0	+337	No	+$1	03-21 14:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$336	171	171	+0	No	+$1	05-30 06:56
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	2	$334	170	170	+0	No	+$4	07-26 13:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	3	$330	167	167	+0	No	+$2	06-21 14:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$324	163	163	+0	No	+$1	06-29 13:38
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$319	161	161	+0	No	+$1	04-21 05:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$318	160	160	+0	No	+$1	04-25 17:39
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	3	$287	197	91	+106	No	+$0	01-21 00:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$278	142	142	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 03:24
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	4	$268	438	0	+438	No	+$1	07-27 06:13
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$213	107	107	+0	No	+$0	01-20 13:51
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	3	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$1	02-24 07:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$195	101	100	+1	No	+$0	04-07 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 06:13:25	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdc98c8…
07-26 13:06:13	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0x9649f7…
07-19 04:49:46	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0x4ae23c…
07-18 05:11:40	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$2	0x7e2fcd…
07-14 04:14:22	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	156	98¢	$153	0x466982…
07-08 13:23:35	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5bc881…
07-02 13:18:53	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x77d582…
06-29 13:38:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x1dd4b3…
06-25 15:52:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	163	99¢	$162	0x4e0168…
06-25 05:22:35	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xd7102a…
06-21 14:10:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0xd11b78…
06-10 12:42:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x6cec03…
06-10 11:40:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x872a4b…
06-04 12:50:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	188	7¢	$13	0x42523f…
06-03 04:22:20	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	SELL	80	90¢	$72	0xd2012f…
05-30 06:56:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	171	98¢	$168	0xf177bd…
05-29 23:52:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1bbe1b…
05-29 07:08:30	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa24ba7…
05-28 21:04:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	171	98¢	$168	0x2844dc…
05-28 11:35:11	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0xaaf664…
05-28 08:55:09	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x86624c…
05-28 01:53:19	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0x578af1…
05-28 01:40:24	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x844d25…
05-28 01:39:49	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x12a93d…
05-28 01:39:24	Will Todd Lombardo advance from the CA-37 primary election?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x3a55d4…
05-27 21:11:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xeaf959…
05-27 21:11:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe92493…
05-27 21:11:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2c31f8…
05-27 20:45:47	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x62d278…
05-27 20:39:01	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0f957e…
05-27 17:51:45	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x1a8a21…
05-27 17:51:36	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xea3c82…
05-27 17:51:36	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x92a1db…
05-27 16:19:24	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x666a64…
05-27 16:19:24	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x3a16d6…
05-27 14:57:41	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x71fe2d…
05-27 14:57:41	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x42e147…
05-27 14:11:57	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x04be24…
05-27 08:37:03	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x62a0f9…
05-27 08:20:10	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	No	SELL	363	100¢	$363	0xdaf34e…
05-27 04:47:08	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x749cd7…
05-27 04:43:38	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x26fd77…
05-27 04:43:26	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	No	BUY	362	100¢	$361	0xae35ea…
05-27 04:39:22	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf0fab9…
05-27 04:27:34	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6b6c9d…
05-27 03:41:44	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf01229…
05-27 03:40:03	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	251	0¢	$0	0x14f2f5…
05-27 03:36:01	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	337	100¢	$336	0x6735b3…
05-27 03:06:08	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	BUY	71	0¢	$0	0x85cf7e…
05-27 03:06:08	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x660f9c…
05-27 03:06:02	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x58d462…
05-27 03:06:01	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xfb3b30…
05-27 03:06:01	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc1bd42…
05-27 03:06:01	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x744316…
05-27 03:05:59	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x49d91a…
05-27 03:05:57	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xc7f806…
05-27 03:05:33	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xfd02d1…
05-27 03:05:33	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7108eb…
05-27 03:02:13	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x8dc28e…
05-27 03:01:38	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0xb9bb60…
05-27 03:01:14	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x7b3316…
05-27 03:01:14	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x4cacc7…
05-27 02:59:30	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x632ea5…
05-27 02:55:43	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x3a5bf4…
05-27 02:54:05	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x1222a0…
05-27 02:46:18	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x5f11c8…
05-27 02:45:29	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x6be34e…
05-27 02:44:20	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xc5cf60…
05-27 02:33:52	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4a64f0…
05-27 02:33:05	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x84455a…
05-27 02:29:02	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xf58350…
05-27 02:28:16	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc4f0d3…
05-27 02:28:14	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x52898c…
05-27 02:28:09	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x89e636…
05-27 02:27:31	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 15% and 20%?	Yes	SELL	178	0¢	$0	0xff6f8c…
05-27 02:26:08	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xe62b0f…
05-27 02:25:21	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	SELL	372	0¢	$0	0x44ec1b…
05-27 02:23:54	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	251	0¢	$0	0x9e2e83…
05-27 02:23:15	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xdc14c5…
05-27 02:21:53	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa6e00d…
05-27 02:21:44	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xec41a3…
05-27 02:21:18	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xbfe079…
05-27 02:21:00	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5ef46c…
05-27 02:20:46	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaac0f6…
05-27 02:20:41	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0xbfc918…
05-27 02:20:41	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xb7bbc2…
05-27 02:20:10	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x35dea5…
05-27 02:17:44	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x834e4f…
05-27 02:17:37	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9dc362…
05-27 02:14:49	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 20% and 25%?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0x852145…
05-27 02:12:08	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x630b30…
05-27 02:11:54	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	171	0¢	$0	0xe796e5…
05-27 02:11:02	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xab69a6…
05-27 02:10:46	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x9bd505…
05-27 02:09:31	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 5%?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x7545c7…
05-27 02:07:28	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x6dece5…
05-27 02:07:16	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	SELL	171	0¢	$0	0xe18cec…
05-27 01:59:55	Will Chip Roy win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xd42f6e…
05-27 01:59:55	Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x447414…
05-27 01:59:41	Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 5% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa07f6a…