Failing-Legacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

579

Trades

6,872

lifetime

Volume

$2.82M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$411

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

47% 63% +$109,439

Sports

41% 51% +$2,810

Politics

11% 90% +$3,292

Crypto

0% 64% +$118

Tech

0% 100% +$94

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		-210	-$29	2¢	$-4	+$25	06-27 00:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	510	$204.4K	243,100	243,100	+0	Yes	+$231	07-15 21:09
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	162	$183.9K	157,869	157,869	+0	No	+$481	07-16 22:16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	386	$139.6K	274,948	274,030	+918	No	-$3,365	07-19 19:16
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	226	$131.6K	122,551	119,586	+2,966	Yes	+$48,826	08-12 21:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	46	$129.6K	64,943	64,943	+0	Yes	+$64	02-28 07:45
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	73	$110.8K	99,790	58,997	+40,793	No	-$580	03-31 18:28
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 53.5	99	$99.7K	203,489	0	+203,489	Under	+$103,773	10-19 01:06
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	18	$82.9K	64,230	19,517	+44,713	Seahawks	+$748	01-18 03:48
Cardinals vs. 49ers	26	$75.9K	60,854	15,814	+45,041	49ers	+$651	09-27 23:17
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	24	$67.0K	68,661	1,357	+67,304	Morocco	+$674	07-04 18:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	320	$64.8K	319,730	292,355	+27,375	Yes	-$2,057	03-01 01:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	43	$54.4K	292,816	88,058	+204,758	No	-$17,361	07-15 20:58
Spread: Bills (-5.5)	1	$52.2K	108,679	0	+108,679	Raiders	-$52,166	10-18 20:17
Cowboys vs. Eagles	10	$48.9K	91,068	0	+91,068	Cowboys	+$42,181	10-27 02:14
Houston vs. Texas Tech	35	$41.2K	34,577	24,918	+9,659	Texas Tech	+$11,104	09-19 02:58
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	43	$38.4K	24,317	24,317	+0	open	—	10-29 17:44
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	22	$32.6K	29,029	5,063	+23,966	No	+$293	03-30 08:01
Clemson vs. California	7	$29.2K	50,347	0	+50,347	Clemson	+$21,128	09-26 05:48
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	45	$29.0K	39,660	39,660	+0	No	+$3,111	01-15 00:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	6	$28.9K	15,555	15,555	+0	open	—	10-29 17:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	425	$27.7K	67,764	0	+67,764	Spain	-$27,725	07-18 21:34
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	185	$24.2K	20,332	20,307	+25	Yes	+$242	01-26 00:18
Patriots vs. Bills	7	$23.3K	22,388	20,173	+2,215	Patriots	-$2,519	10-04 20:10
Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	12	$21.2K	39,714	0	+39,714	Over	-$21,166	10-27 00:06
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)	3	$21.2K	11,963	11,963	+0	Karmine Corp	+$2,739	10-18 20:15
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	320	$21.1K	37,270	60,811	-23,540	Yes	+$8,872	03-30 16:50
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	43	$20.9K	26,414	6,790	+19,625	Yes	+$5,364	08-12 21:59
cfb mia ind 2026 01 19 spread home 7pt5	157	$20.6K	36,005	35,255	+750	Miami	+$1,561	01-20 02:48
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	18	$18.3K	18,696	0	+18,696	No	+$404	03-16 19:16
North Texas vs. Tulsa	9	$18.0K	19,507	5,902	+13,605	North Texas	+$4,259	10-02 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:47:55	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xd1d6f2…
10-29 17:45:01	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x36bc4e…
10-29 17:44:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x053dcb…
10-29 17:44:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	170	70¢	$120	0x5dc0d1…
10-29 17:44:55	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9,691	64¢	$6,203	0x599e47…
10-29 17:44:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x0e1974…
10-29 17:44:50	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	15,555	93¢	$14,466	0xbc79f8…
10-29 16:41:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x201235…
10-29 14:25:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xe99fb9…
10-29 14:25:26	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x6168f6…
10-29 14:16:49	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x863d52…
10-29 14:16:17	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xd4cade…
10-29 14:14:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	15,444	93¢	$14,363	0xd1df0c…
10-28 21:34:22	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x241e65…
10-28 21:34:22	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	60	100¢	$59	0x1fb6fb…
10-28 21:34:16	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x765f18…
10-28 21:34:14	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1a7ce2…
10-28 21:19:25	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	107	76¢	$81	0x9bb77c…
10-28 21:12:38	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0xa9ee21…
10-28 21:12:38	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	78	92¢	$71	0x5b1a5e…
10-28 20:07:22	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	BUY	490	59¢	$289	0xccf83b…
10-28 20:07:22	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa4b985…
10-28 20:07:22	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x1c2a70…
10-28 20:06:50	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	583	85¢	$495	0x9c4cee…
10-28 20:06:49	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x66d0f1…
10-28 20:06:44	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	1,174	85¢	$998	0x05dc1a…
10-28 20:06:43	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	444	85¢	$377	0x45f69c…
10-28 19:22:37	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	570	66¢	$376	0x566ab2…
10-28 19:21:44	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x525b73…
10-28 19:21:28	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8d682c…
10-28 19:18:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x462fcd…
10-28 19:16:46	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x26ef30…
10-28 19:16:41	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x5ad70c…
10-28 19:16:29	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x452979…
10-28 19:16:08	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x76d8ec…
10-28 19:14:53	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9,691	85¢	$8,218	0x952448…
10-28 19:14:44	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x3cbaad…
10-28 19:10:46	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	1,851	66¢	$1,222	0xa6986b…
10-28 18:54:53	Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x89dcf6…
10-28 04:30:32	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,068	64¢	$683	0xeb8e38…
10-28 04:30:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x9788b3…
10-28 04:27:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	961	9¢	$86	0x31a896…
10-28 04:27:47	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0x14803a…
10-28 04:27:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	492	9¢	$44	0x6e268b…
10-28 04:27:13	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x120104…
10-28 04:26:58	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x82854a…
10-28 04:25:34	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x53943d…
10-28 04:25:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	70	63¢	$44	0x1e7d88…
10-27 23:56:44	Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 243.5	Under	BUY	4,243	72¢	$3,055	0x28e907…
10-27 23:56:24	Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Kings	BUY	3,113	56¢	$1,744	0x746d2f…
10-27 02:14:54	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	17,018	61¢	$10,381	0x784eaa…
10-27 01:01:21	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	1,012	52¢	$526	0xcc0b03…
10-27 01:00:59	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb069ed…
10-27 01:00:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xade30b…
10-27 01:00:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6fce21…
10-27 01:00:17	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xc0a690…
10-27 01:00:15	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	384	52¢	$200	0xdaf951…
10-27 00:59:41	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	573	52¢	$298	0x05a118…
10-27 00:59:33	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x09c10b…
10-27 00:59:17	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	72,030	52¢	$37,456	0x8f34d7…
10-27 00:06:47	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	664	53¢	$353	0xc25a9b…
10-26 23:51:57	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	34,834	53¢	$18,566	0x8e8a62…
10-26 23:46:09	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbef0cd…
10-26 23:45:03	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	964	53¢	$514	0x45a024…
10-26 23:43:48	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7a1dfc…
10-26 23:30:48	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd72e8a…
10-26 23:28:12	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	3,200	53¢	$1,706	0x7ff88b…
10-26 23:23:17	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe1daef…
10-26 23:23:17	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4176f3…
10-26 23:23:03	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc0f274…
10-26 23:19:05	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x8fc760…
10-26 23:18:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Under	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x95cae7…
10-26 20:58:42	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	878	47¢	$413	0x895e2b…
10-26 20:58:12	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xeaf87f…
10-26 20:58:05	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x92504d…
10-26 20:57:53	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	177	47¢	$83	0x284b8d…
10-26 20:57:26	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x3c781f…
10-26 20:56:56	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	537	46¢	$247	0xcfd3f1…
10-26 20:56:23	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8e59d7…
10-26 20:56:15	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x837cef…
10-26 20:55:57	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	395	46¢	$182	0x9dd659…
10-26 20:55:06	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xb37551…
10-26 20:55:02	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0xb88efc…
10-26 20:53:56	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x3605f7…
10-26 20:53:33	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	724	46¢	$333	0xbc8c4c…
10-26 20:25:23	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	12,345	74¢	$9,135	0x42cf13…
10-26 19:44:17	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	600	36¢	$216	0x144820…
10-26 18:58:02	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	9,999	68¢	$6,799	0x9c3d3d…
10-26 18:00:20	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	6,380	72¢	$4,594	0x36de4c…
10-26 17:03:50	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	391	88¢	$344	0x939ab1…
10-26 17:03:45	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xa122d5…
10-26 17:03:38	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	44	88¢	$38	0x2fe5ce…
10-26 17:03:21	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xa74db8…
10-26 17:03:20	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x379231…
10-26 17:03:05	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x1b870e…
10-26 17:02:54	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x33751f…
10-26 17:02:51	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf6aa18…
10-26 17:02:44	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	79	88¢	$70	0xfc9a61…
10-26 17:02:30	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	1,817	88¢	$1,599	0x36681c…
10-25 23:48:18	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	2,245	40¢	$898	0xdcefe1…