Tight-Instance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$113

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 04-01 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% $-2

Politics

21% 0% $-2

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

10% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	03-16 23:09
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	3	$5	44	34	+9	open	—	03-16 22:23
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$5	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	03-22 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773607200	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	03-15 20:40
btc updown 5m 1773604800	3	$4	212	0	+212	open	—	03-15 20:05
btc updown 5m 1773605700	3	$3	108	0	+108	open	—	03-15 20:20
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-16 23:24
white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 40 59	2	$2	40	40	+0	open	—	03-17 05:49
white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 160 179	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 05:42
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$2	53	0	+53	No	$-2	03-20 22:30
btc updown 5m 1773606300	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	03-15 20:25
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-16 23:06
cs2 fal2 nrg 2026 03 18	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-18 09:21
nba det was 2026 03 17 assists bilal coulibaly 2pt5	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 22:27
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	03-16 11:11
will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-15 14:35
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	59	0	+59	No	$-1	03-16 11:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 09:30
white house of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 140 159	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-24 07:58
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	03-17 06:55
will stephen miran dissent the next fed decision	1	$1	54	0	+54	open	—	03-16 11:33
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	03-18 09:27
will steve botsford jr be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-16 14:10
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	03-15 11:11
Will Brighton finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	03-16 23:31
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-01 06:54
Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	03-15 16:49
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	03-16 23:45
will rachida dati advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	03-15 14:58
will frankenstein win no awards at the oscars	1	$1	51	0	+51	open	—	03-15 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-01 06:54:59	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0f9799…
04-01 06:53:29	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x986585…
03-31 14:02:55	white house of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7b6cea…
03-31 14:01:53	white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 180 199	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb18b06…
03-24 07:58:41	white house of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 140 159	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x81c2a5…
03-24 07:55:31	white house of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9478e0…
03-23 13:12:13	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x38e489…
03-22 23:39:19	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa7c754…
03-22 23:35:11	nba was nyk 2026 03 22	Wizards	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa00e27…
03-22 21:23:25	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x08c106…
03-22 20:50:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x03f7c5…
03-22 20:44:37	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$5	0x95a349…
03-20 22:44:09	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc98931…
03-20 22:30:37	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xfdba64…
03-19 17:41:37	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xad6cad…
03-19 16:10:19	btc updown 5m 1773936600	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x424de7…
03-19 16:05:45	btc updown 5m 1773936300	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb605ab…
03-19 16:04:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x24e301…
03-19 16:01:13	lol jdg lll 2026 03 19	LOUD	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x25ed33…
03-19 13:20:09	will the boston celtics finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba eastern conference	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2788bb…
03-19 11:07:45	Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x67dca3…
03-18 09:31:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x551d6f…
03-18 09:27:31	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x07a7e4…
03-18 09:27:21	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2282fa…
03-18 09:22:51	nba den mem 2026 01 25	Grizzlies	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfb38fb…
03-18 09:21:27	cs2 fal2 nrg 2026 03 18	NRG	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x88c7e0…
03-17 22:50:27	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdec027…
03-17 22:43:27	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6b7c51…
03-17 22:35:37	will jeff bezos be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x14fbf8…
03-17 22:27:55	nba det was 2026 03 17 assists bilal coulibaly 2pt5	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x841610…
03-17 06:55:29	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x8a0178…
03-17 05:49:37	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 40 59	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x6fafa9…
03-17 05:42:21	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x62c62b…
03-16 23:45:59	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x035140…
03-16 23:45:01	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x317897…
03-16 23:31:49	Will Brighton finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x174ec3…
03-16 23:24:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x969ec2…
03-16 23:10:51	Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdf9f15…
03-16 23:09:21	Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbadf94…
03-16 23:06:41	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb0ef36…
03-16 22:23:05	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe7a5a8…
03-16 22:22:47	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	Yes	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x56835a…
03-16 14:37:21	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x98fea6…
03-16 14:28:07	will gas hit low 3pt15 by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf5d24…
03-16 14:23:45	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcf35ff…
03-16 14:11:23	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6dd647…
03-16 14:10:01	will steve botsford jr be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x332bc4…
03-16 11:33:35	will stephen miran dissent the next fed decision	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xf1074b…
03-16 11:32:23	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbf5873…
03-16 11:11:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xda29cb…
03-16 11:07:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x9d164a…
03-16 11:06:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa2d328…
03-16 11:03:55	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf379d9…
03-16 10:55:21	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xbfe5b1…
03-16 09:30:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb37a0b…
03-15 20:40:13	btc updown 5m 1773607200	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x11485e…
03-15 20:35:15	btc updown 5m 1773606900	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2eb764…
03-15 20:30:29	btc updown 5m 1773606600	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb4d23c…
03-15 20:25:43	btc updown 5m 1773606300	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc131bf…
03-15 20:25:23	btc updown 5m 1773606300	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x06d221…
03-15 20:24:23	btc updown 5m 1773606000	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfc9759…
03-15 20:20:29	btc updown 5m 1773605700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x22d5ca…
03-15 20:19:39	btc updown 5m 1773605700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x82e28f…
03-15 20:16:19	btc updown 5m 1773605700	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbcb62e…
03-15 20:05:41	btc updown 5m 1773604800	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x195105…
03-15 20:02:59	btc updown 5m 1773604800	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe48934…
03-15 20:00:31	btc updown 5m 1773604800	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x086e70…
03-15 19:57:49	btc updown 5m 1773604500	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x744278…
03-15 18:27:41	btc updown 5m 1773599100	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3eae08…
03-15 18:27:17	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7ee1d2…
03-15 16:49:33	Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc76a91…
03-15 16:49:23	Will Mireille Damiano win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xbaa3aa…
03-15 16:49:13	will jean marc governatori win the 2026 nice mayoral election	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7012a7…
03-15 16:48:55	Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb09402…
03-15 16:46:25	will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x6d9054…
03-15 14:58:45	will rachida dati advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6b5877…
03-15 14:39:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x816369…
03-15 14:37:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfc4eb3…
03-15 14:35:37	will david belliard advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x234ef2…
03-15 14:35:19	will thierry mariani advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9e3362…
03-15 14:30:49	ncaa tournament no 15 seed to win a game	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5f7f7a…
03-15 14:29:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x92fafc…
03-15 14:27:53	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 0 19	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x41ee34…
03-15 14:25:49	white house of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 40 59	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x27218d…
03-15 14:23:51	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 0 39	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x32ec9f…
03-15 13:30:49	will kanye tweet again by march 31	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x68ebb6…
03-15 11:12:57	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa35d49…
03-15 11:11:51	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x347994…
03-15 11:11:03	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdec2ad…
03-15 10:55:19	will frankenstein win no awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x8c85b1…