Familiar-Capability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-05 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Crypto

42% 100% +$0

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	02-15 08:13
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	02-12 02:40
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	02-03 11:26
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 100 119	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-31 10:33
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	01-27 08:02
bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	06-05 08:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-05 09:53
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-08 02:16
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-12 08:18
bitcoin above 88k on january 22	1	$99	105	+105	open	—	01-22 07:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	05-15 09:31
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	03-13 10:51
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$98	98	+98	open	—	04-01 06:25
bitcoin above 82k on march 25	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-23 08:45
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 165 189	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	03-27 08:39
donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 160 179	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	04-06 10:43
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$96	99	+99	open	—	01-18 09:15
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	04-17 09:23
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 280 299	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	01-09 07:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-24 01:58
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	03-17 09:39
bitcoin above 60k on march 8	1	$5	2,300	+2,300	open	—	03-08 02:16
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	1	$2	755	+755	open	—	03-17 09:47
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 09:22
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-13 10:51
will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-17 09:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-24 01:57
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 09:22
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-13 10:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 11?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	05-10 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 08:48:30	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd54bca…
05-15 09:31:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x015262…
05-10 06:23:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeed7e4…
05-10 06:23:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x55527b…
05-05 09:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c72c5…
04-24 01:58:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on april 24	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x9cafbb…
04-24 01:58:06	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a6813…
04-24 01:57:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1248ec…
04-17 09:23:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x7c0a8d…
04-17 09:22:30	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc7dad…
04-17 09:22:14	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d7466…
04-17 09:22:04	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e072a…
04-12 08:18:53	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95d33e…
04-06 10:43:43	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 160 179	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x5d3ccf…
04-01 06:25:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb9d537…
03-27 08:39:55	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 165 189	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xa641c0…
03-23 08:45:19	bitcoin above 82k on march 25	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x53550d…
03-17 09:47:59	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x429719…
03-17 09:39:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x9d3739…
03-17 09:39:29	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f627a…
03-17 09:39:19	will zai have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x297cc8…
03-13 10:51:39	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x988891…
03-13 10:51:21	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x900ad1…
03-13 10:51:13	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x533f72…
03-08 02:16:43	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c67fb…
03-08 02:16:35	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	No	BUY	2,300	0¢	$5	0x7de658…
02-15 08:13:55	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb673ee…
02-12 02:40:01	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6637f0…
02-03 11:26:24	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xed4c74…
01-31 10:33:06	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 100 119	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x907480…
01-27 08:02:29	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7dceb6…
01-22 07:08:56	bitcoin above 88k on january 22	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$99	0xee6e2d…
01-18 09:15:16	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xd329c8…
01-09 07:39:44	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 280 299	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xfac843…