Fantastic-Chess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

102

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$2.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

49% 100% +$5

Other

36% 100% +$9

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$170	92	92	+0	open	—	10-28 03:01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	3	$149	82	82	+0	No	+$3	10-23 06:42
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	2	$143	72	72	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 00:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$138	82	82	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 13:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$132	67	67	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:19
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$132	67	67	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 18:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$127	81	81	+0	No	+$0	10-17 23:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	10-06 05:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$74	74	0	+74	No	+$0	09-16 02:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$72	72	0	+72	No	+$0	08-31 22:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$61	68	0	+68	No	+$7	09-25 10:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	09-22 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-31 21:00
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	05-30 15:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-30 19:21
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	06-29 14:41
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-27 21:32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-29 10:36
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-14 01:24
will googl reach 390 in june 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-28 13:30
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	3	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	10-14 14:18
tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	02-24 20:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	2	$15	7	7	+0	open	—	10-20 14:30
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	10-01 02:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	09-18 19:24
nvda above 140 on january 30 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	01-06 11:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-23 16:57
aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	01-08 00:12
will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-11 22:40
amzn above 290 on january 30 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-13 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:01:41	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	92	95¢	$87	0x7d2924…
10-27 21:55:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	92	90¢	$83	0xcffda4…
10-23 06:42:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xa780c9…
10-23 06:42:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	27	93¢	$26	0x2711b1…
10-20 14:30:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x565744…
10-19 17:05:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0x72a3f8…
10-17 23:57:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	81	78¢	$64	0x06df9a…
10-15 15:34:19	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x6f8dda…
10-14 14:18:20	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x2d2d69…
10-08 16:24:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x648f61…
10-06 05:00:22	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb6855a…
10-05 13:28:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	82	85¢	$69	0x67986c…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	82	84¢	$68	0xfb8994…
10-01 02:20:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xda5f7d…
09-25 10:31:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	68	90¢	$61	0x4d342e…
09-22 00:59:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x490360…
09-18 19:24:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x704a82…
09-18 18:54:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xec5e5b…
09-16 02:57:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xf26df1…
09-11 05:10:34	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x01a79f…
09-09 18:59:55	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x8a4847…
09-09 18:30:51	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$46	0xb8a450…
09-09 17:17:58	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xe07853…
09-07 12:19:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$66	0xa08cbf…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3c2a9c…
09-03 11:04:18	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xaad830…
08-31 22:43:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0x431ca5…
08-31 21:00:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xa3d0a0…
08-27 21:32:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x0c737d…
08-27 15:00:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3475d8…
08-25 00:30:03	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x97a2e8…
08-05 14:01:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xc822a0…
08-05 04:40:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4bcd6e…
08-04 14:32:42	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x145229…
08-03 21:08:53	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd0d0bd…
07-26 22:46:18	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x559376…
07-26 19:11:46	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8d586…
07-25 06:47:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3463f…
07-25 06:33:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e7f68…
07-23 13:47:45	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd18392…
07-22 20:59:01	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe4d340…
07-22 08:19:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc2b72f…
07-21 09:12:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2abaf7…
07-20 22:38:57	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xad1b4a…
07-20 17:58:10	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c345a…
06-29 14:41:04	Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb846ab…
06-28 13:30:38	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x380988…
05-30 15:48:50	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x7641a2…
05-29 10:36:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x5316fb…
05-14 01:24:12	Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xa548b3…
05-13 03:31:57	Will Solana dip to $40 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8e7e9f…
05-10 23:35:09	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd32f34…
05-10 05:05:49	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae579b…
05-09 05:00:19	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0618bd…
05-08 21:26:29	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2a10d…
05-08 06:44:58	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x90a83a…
05-08 00:21:20	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3833d2…
05-07 07:21:05	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdbf6a0…
05-06 09:51:58	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7b2147…
05-05 15:04:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0ce686…
05-05 11:38:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1288c2…
05-05 10:29:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd132f6…
05-05 01:33:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc3e09c…
04-30 19:21:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaa8387…
04-27 13:15:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2d284…
04-25 20:22:28	Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e5f8a…
04-25 16:10:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd89082…
04-21 16:39:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x84508b…
04-20 16:35:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5e8b77…
04-19 22:20:32	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x441f24…
04-19 13:26:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xef1937…
04-18 13:17:48	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd4d803…
04-17 17:42:16	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe69649…
04-17 03:37:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa7ffc4…
04-14 05:56:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0c9754…
04-06 11:17:33	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xebc6f7…
03-29 23:26:50	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33a971…
03-29 02:52:54	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x16d9c4…
03-27 20:12:49	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x330eaf…
03-25 19:25:03	will ethena reach 0pt2 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x205924…
03-24 10:31:55	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x878e3c…
03-23 03:00:27	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71987e…
03-17 01:07:25	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa0e57b…
03-16 18:59:59	amzn above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x340cc3…
03-12 14:11:21	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x326e86…
03-12 00:05:01	will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58f019…
03-11 02:31:39	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa8eedd…
03-09 04:15:49	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ce2c9…
03-08 14:31:41	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ed2a7…
03-06 06:38:13	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x46c1f8…
02-27 16:10:53	aapl above 300 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x992107…
02-26 17:25:42	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x367b70…
02-24 20:28:54	tsla above 360 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdee87f…
02-24 09:28:24	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5dc4de…
02-23 11:27:02	nflx above 60 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x453efb…
02-22 04:28:16	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b9b36…
02-21 02:27:52	aapl above 220 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2684d5…
02-14 10:05:03	will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x657e9b…
02-14 01:20:15	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x0fbca3…
02-12 13:34:25	will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4dd82b…