Scientific-Category — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$757

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$172.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$884

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-16

last 07-14 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Sports

50% 21% +$329

Politics

36% 25% -$1

Other

13% 41% +$426

Crypto

1% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		-0	$2	98¢	$-0	-$2	06-06 10:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$7.5K	3,748	3,748	-0	No	-$4	06-15 10:46
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$6.3K	3,161	3,161	+0	No	-$3	02-25 08:22
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$5.9K	2,948	2,948	+0	open	—	06-08 09:27
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$3.8K	1,910	1,910	+0	No	-$2	06-30 11:32
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$3.8K	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	06-24 08:27
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.7K	1,845	1,845	+0	No	-$2	02-16 10:12
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3.5K	1,771	1,771	+0	No	+$0	02-27 08:25
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$3.5K	1,761	1,761	+0	No	-$2	06-30 08:15
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$3.5K	1,743	1,743	+0	No	-$2	02-22 08:37
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.4K	1,694	1,694	+0	No	-$2	06-06 04:38
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.4K	1,691	1,691	+0	No	-$2	05-10 09:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.4K	1,696	1,696	-0	open	—	06-06 10:57
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$3.4K	1,694	1,694	+0	open	—	06-05 09:41
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$3.3K	1,681	1,681	+0	No	-$2	06-06 08:03
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,656	1,656	+0	No	-$2	03-02 09:13
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,611	1,611	+0	No	-$2	04-23 05:18
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$3.2K	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	06-07 09:34
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$3.2K	1,589	1,589	+0	No	-$2	05-10 03:45
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.2K	1,585	1,585	+0	No	-$2	04-07 07:27
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.1K	1,571	1,571	+0	No	-$2	06-03 07:09
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.1K	1,550	1,550	+0	No	-$2	04-23 09:26
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$3.1K	1,545	1,545	+0	No	-$2	06-02 09:13
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	No	-$1	05-22 08:03
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$2.9K	1,477	1,477	+0	open	—	06-29 06:13
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.9K	1,450	1,450	+0	No	-$1	03-10 19:57
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$2.9K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	06-09 10:55
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.7K	1,370	1,370	+0	No	-$1	05-23 04:19
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2.7K	1,369	1,369	+0	No	-$1	05-27 03:52
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.7K	1,369	1,369	+0	open	—	05-23 07:52
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.7K	1,350	1,350	+0	No	-$1	05-21 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:57:46	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0xe6a24c…
07-14 17:30:07	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0x8e99b9…
07-10 07:56:28	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	221	99¢	$220	0x15de55…
07-10 05:01:55	Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$220	0xafcc6c…
07-09 10:46:38	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	193	99¢	$192	0x9f9e2c…
07-09 05:45:56	Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	193	99¢	$192	0xa98890…
07-08 08:31:32	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x231722…
07-08 07:34:50	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0xdd8916…
07-07 04:15:32	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	285	99¢	$282	0x554988…
07-07 02:56:01	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	285	99¢	$283	0xc48791…
07-03 08:22:05	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	380	99¢	$377	0x7dc1e9…
07-03 04:27:10	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$378	0x7fba94…
07-02 09:34:35	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	260	99¢	$258	0x33e9ad…
07-02 07:24:32	Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$259	0x282c5b…
06-30 11:32:56	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$497	0x8d2ead…
06-30 09:06:47	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xf9cbc9…
06-30 08:15:43	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	336	100¢	$334	0xc4ebcc…
06-30 05:36:05	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x1278b0…
06-30 03:09:44	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	432	99¢	$428	0x229e3d…
06-30 01:39:11	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	432	99¢	$428	0x6f671c…
06-29 06:13:49	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	536	99¢	$532	0xd85822…
06-29 03:31:37	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	536	99¢	$532	0x1189a6…
06-28 09:18:19	Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$362	0x224aa1…
06-24 10:26:40	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	736	100¢	$734	0x0105e5…
06-24 08:32:16	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	736	100¢	$735	0x9d28c1…
06-24 08:27:55	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	723	100¢	$720	0xf750a2…
06-24 05:53:16	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	723	100¢	$721	0x18dda8…
06-24 02:39:55	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	651	99¢	$645	0x2bcd21…
06-24 01:40:05	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	651	99¢	$646	0xd9097b…
06-23 08:12:14	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	817	99¢	$811	0xf48491…
06-23 06:49:01	Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	817	99¢	$812	0x7a1cc7…
06-23 04:47:11	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	552	99¢	$548	0x625ce8…
06-23 03:40:56	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	552	99¢	$549	0x509e3e…
06-22 08:41:28	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	648	99¢	$643	0xfef0c9…
06-22 06:57:40	Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	648	99¢	$644	0x78402d…
06-19 10:00:52	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0x0c0673…
06-19 07:38:55	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x764fba…
06-17 10:36:59	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,193	0x85fb08…
06-17 09:24:11	Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,194	0x8405f3…
06-17 09:10:11	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,213	99¢	$1,205	0x16e1db…
06-17 07:46:37	Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,213	99¢	$1,206	0xe25c54…
06-17 05:29:40	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,257	99¢	$1,248	0xb7bb29…
06-17 03:33:12	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,257	99¢	$1,249	0x0380e3…
06-16 06:37:55	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	939	99¢	$931	0x0e477a…
06-16 02:48:03	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	939	99¢	$932	0x373781…
06-15 10:46:46	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,325	100¢	$1,321	0x3ac0b9…
06-15 08:53:36	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,325	100¢	$1,322	0x7a4313…
06-15 05:18:16	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,136	99¢	$1,128	0x9e28f7…
06-15 02:28:30	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,136	99¢	$1,129	0xf2077e…
06-14 11:27:06	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	997	99¢	$989	0x14b2aa…
06-14 07:34:34	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	997	99¢	$989	0x220eef…
06-11 07:12:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	428	98¢	$420	0x7f4247…
06-11 05:23:48	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,218	99¢	$1,211	0x5dd2eb…
06-11 02:55:00	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,218	100¢	$1,212	0x677fa5…
06-09 10:55:03	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,438	99¢	$1,428	0xb157b5…
06-09 09:27:19	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,438	99¢	$1,430	0x352f5f…
06-09 08:34:21	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,250	99¢	$1,240	0x526281…
06-09 06:36:13	Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,250	99¢	$1,242	0xab7e1f…
06-09 04:30:13	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,410	100¢	$1,403	0xd7187c…
06-09 02:03:22	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,410	100¢	$1,405	0x814bc6…
06-08 09:27:36	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,433	99¢	$1,423	0x9056c0…
06-08 08:07:00	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,433	99¢	$1,424	0x95e2f7…
06-08 04:54:42	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1,157	100¢	$1,154	0xe32a8b…
06-08 02:19:28	Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,157	100¢	$1,155	0x3a13e3…
06-07 09:34:52	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,611	99¢	$1,596	0xdea523…
06-07 07:31:51	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,611	99¢	$1,598	0x40239d…
06-06 10:57:15	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,696	99¢	$1,682	0xd420ac…
06-06 08:41:40	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,696	99¢	$1,684	0x568873…
06-06 08:03:43	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,681	100¢	$1,673	0xb43826…
06-06 06:09:15	Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,681	100¢	$1,675	0x1d511f…
06-06 04:38:33	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	1,694	100¢	$1,687	0x236bd0…
06-06 01:59:51	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	1,694	100¢	$1,689	0x6ab83d…
06-05 09:41:07	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,694	99¢	$1,682	0xe85228…
06-05 08:29:15	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 05	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0x8a6890…
06-05 08:23:46	Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,694	99¢	$1,684	0x22f0b9…
06-03 10:42:32	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,699	100¢	$1,694	0x858aae…
06-03 07:54:02	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,699	100¢	$1,696	0x4826be…
06-03 07:09:58	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,571	100¢	$1,567	0x8d06fa…
06-03 05:31:09	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,571	100¢	$1,568	0xf2a9a4…
06-02 09:13:26	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,545	99¢	$1,535	0x4c3ef1…
06-02 08:50:41	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	114	59¢	$67	0x0f0cf5…
06-02 06:27:30	Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,545	100¢	$1,537	0x95edfa…
05-31 10:07:15	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	941	99¢	$934	0xe9848d…
05-31 08:08:11	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	941	99¢	$935	0xd4f377…
05-31 05:36:19	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	941	99¢	$934	0x4c34ff…
05-31 03:54:31	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	941	99¢	$935	0x3d37b4…
05-29 07:58:30	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	724	100¢	$721	0x589ec6…
05-29 05:55:48	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	724	100¢	$722	0x1d53f2…
05-29 04:09:55	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	711	100¢	$709	0xdbacf7…
05-29 01:51:00	Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0xf3ba8e…
05-27 07:37:23	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,425	99¢	$1,415	0x4459ec…
05-27 05:47:36	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,425	99¢	$1,417	0x437aa3…
05-27 03:52:23	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,369	99¢	$1,361	0xb9b100…
05-27 01:59:29	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,369	100¢	$1,363	0x198a9f…
05-26 09:35:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	850	100¢	$849	0x8cb8e4…
05-25 10:46:37	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,020	99¢	$1,012	0x76168c…
05-25 09:12:02	Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,020	99¢	$1,013	0x5735b0…
05-25 07:22:19	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,322	99¢	$1,313	0x5de30e…
05-25 05:37:17	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,322	99¢	$1,314	0xba578b…
05-24 05:39:01	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Colorado Rockies	BUY	112	37¢	$41	0xd2f563…