Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$191

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-24 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Sports

45% 18% -$741

Other

27% 79% +$63

Politics

21% 71% +$489

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No		+11	$11	100¢	$11	+$0	10-24 23:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba bkn det 2026 02 01	1	$340	400	+400	Pistons	+$60	02-01 21:08
nba sac was 2026 02 01	1	$275	500	+500	Wizards	-$275	02-01 21:11
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$201	300	+300	Yes	-$201	02-13 02:04
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$186	200	+200	No	+$14	01-28 23:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$176	200	+200	No	+$24	01-28 23:44
nba chi mia 2026 02 01	1	$165	500	+500	Heat	-$165	02-01 21:10
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$137	200	+200	Yes	+$63	01-28 23:45
mwoh fin swe 2026 02 13	1	$124	200	+200	Finland	-$124	02-13 02:06
nba uta tor 2026 02 01	1	$115	500	+500	Raptors	-$115	02-01 21:07
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:32
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:27
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:29
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:26
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:29
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-27 01:30
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$99	100	+100	No	+$1	03-27 01:27
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	1	$96	300	+300	Lakers	-$96	02-13 02:01
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	1	$88	100	+100	Canada	+$12	02-13 02:08
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$76	200	+200	Yes	-$76	03-27 01:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$72	600	+600	Yes	+$528	02-13 02:15
mwoh ita slo 2026 02 13	1	$18	200	+200	Slovakia	-$18	02-13 02:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	10-24 23:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	09-19 05:38
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	08-14 05:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$11	11	+11	No	+$0	07-12 01:11
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	05-03 03:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	04-07 05:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	06-08 04:10
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$8	200	+200	No	-$8	03-27 01:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 23:13:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x00dd7f…
09-19 05:38:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8ce597…
08-14 05:15:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x89d1e7…
07-12 01:11:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xff6726…
06-08 04:10:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x064760…
05-03 03:51:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd7ef4…
04-07 05:08:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeff77a…
03-27 01:38:43	will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9891b8…
03-27 01:38:33	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x68b4f9…
03-27 01:38:07	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x56d7ce…
03-27 01:34:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x90db58…
03-27 01:33:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x8cdf70…
03-27 01:33:25	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0x8b263d…
03-27 01:32:11	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf2ddb0…
03-27 01:30:43	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa1a712…
03-27 01:30:19	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x11177b…
03-27 01:29:45	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1b7201…
03-27 01:29:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x686a23…
03-27 01:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf74ef9…
03-27 01:28:35	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xf3494c…
03-27 01:27:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x351831…
03-27 01:27:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x805191…
03-27 01:26:41	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xad71fc…
02-13 02:15:15	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x81ad9e…
02-13 02:13:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	155	12¢	$19	0x2b3ce7…
02-13 02:11:51	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0x103863…
02-13 02:09:53	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xf48634…
02-13 02:08:51	mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	Canada	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xef2270…
02-13 02:07:25	mwoh ita slo 2026 02 13	Italy	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xc8c513…
02-13 02:06:49	mwoh fin swe 2026 02 13	Sweden	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x0eeaa4…
02-13 02:04:09	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0x884eb8…
02-13 02:01:57	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Mavericks	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0x9e57fe…
02-01 21:11:26	nba sac was 2026 02 01	Kings	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x7c9494…
02-01 21:10:24	nba chi mia 2026 02 01	Bulls	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0xe8e177…
02-01 21:08:40	nba bkn det 2026 02 01	Pistons	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x3739fb…
02-01 21:07:56	nba uta tor 2026 02 01	Jazz	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xe52cf3…
01-28 23:45:24	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$137	0xc322a4…
01-28 23:44:42	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x0ff6a8…
01-28 23:44:00	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xd8ccce…