Joyous-Savage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,718

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-20 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 96% $-16

Other

7% 100% +$0

Politics

6% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 610 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$477	590	590	+0	open	—	07-15 20:50
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	5	$420	435	435	+0	open	—	07-08 21:04
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	22	$292	384	384	+0	open	—	07-13 08:16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	5	$248	210	210	+0	open	—	07-18 10:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$239	244	244	+0	open	—	07-08 11:52
btc updown 5m 1784542500	2	$234	268	0	+268	open	—	07-20 10:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$154	207	207	+0	open	—	07-11 18:23
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$136	206	206	+0	open	—	07-13 13:23
btc updown 5m 1784543100	2	$126	130	0	+130	open	—	07-20 10:29
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$96	123	123	+0	open	—	07-09 18:30
sol updown 5m 1782779400	3	$93	54	53	+1	open	—	06-30 00:32
sol updown 5m 1782780600	5	$93	53	52	+1	open	—	06-30 00:54
sol updown 5m 1782779700	5	$91	51	50	+1	open	—	06-30 00:38
sol updown 5m 1782774600	2	$90	50	49	+1	open	—	06-29 23:14
eth updown 5m 1782779400	8	$90	50	49	+1	open	—	06-30 00:31
eth updown 5m 1782780600	7	$89	49	49	+1	open	—	06-30 00:54
sol updown 5m 1782776700	2	$88	48	48	+0	open	—	06-29 23:48
btc updown 5m 1782779400	3	$88	48	48	+0	open	—	06-30 00:32
sol updown 5m 1782777000	4	$87	47	47	+0	open	—	06-29 23:53
dogecoin up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	12	$87	47	47	+0	open	—	06-29 23:59
eth updown 5m 1782776700	2	$87	47	46	+0	open	—	06-29 23:48
xrp updown 5m 1782778200	11	$87	47	46	+0	open	—	06-30 00:14
xrp updown 5m 1782780600	7	$87	47	46	+0	open	—	06-30 00:54
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 21:51
doge updown 5m 1782778200	3	$52	30	29	+0	open	—	06-30 00:15
sol updown 15m 1782780300	2	$46	25	24	+0	open	—	06-30 00:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$45	24	23	+0	open	—	05-14 15:43
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-14 17:18
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 04:39
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 13:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 10:29:27	btc updown 5m 1784543100	Down	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc4810d…
07-20 10:28:57	btc updown 5m 1784543100	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb801f6…
07-20 10:19:24	btc updown 5m 1784542500	Down	BUY	167	95¢	$158	0x0b56e8…
07-20 10:18:19	btc updown 5m 1784542500	Down	BUY	101	75¢	$76	0x1ebd33…
07-18 10:14:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	149	59¢	$88	0x71e23f…
07-18 07:41:03	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xcee2b7…
07-18 07:36:40	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xd70e96…
07-18 07:27:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xbe96b4…
07-18 07:13:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	210	59¢	$124	0x2d874b…
07-15 20:50:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	350	32¢	$112	0xaf2686…
07-15 14:18:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	350	37¢	$130	0x2c1650…
07-13 13:23:52	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	206	33¢	$68	0xe513bd…
07-13 13:23:47	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	206	33¢	$68	0x522768…
07-13 08:16:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0xa9fdd2…
07-13 08:16:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	104	38¢	$39	0x4d812a…
07-13 08:16:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x1c59a3…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0xfd936a…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xfa45d2…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xf91e28…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0xd6b1a2…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xa6d3fb…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x9a62ca…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0x888762…
07-13 08:16:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x0d042d…
07-13 08:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x99e6a4…
07-13 08:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x967efc…
07-13 08:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x8d5365…
07-13 08:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x8a4ec4…
07-13 08:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0x5d1e5b…
07-13 08:16:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x15d6ba…
07-13 08:16:29	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xc94bc4…
07-13 08:16:29	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x678931…
07-13 08:16:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x9c9dc4…
07-13 08:16:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x4846b4…
07-13 08:16:05	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	384	38¢	$146	0x752e6e…
07-11 18:23:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xc0cbd9…
07-11 18:23:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xe1353e…
07-11 07:52:02	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	240	48¢	$115	0xf80e6d…
07-11 03:08:11	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	240	50¢	$120	0x0a373d…
07-09 18:30:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	123	39¢	$48	0xbd4663…
07-09 18:23:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	123	39¢	$48	0x864edc…
07-08 21:04:32	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	226	53¢	$120	0xa82f2a…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0xa7d663…
07-08 11:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	244	49¢	$120	0xfa20ba…
07-08 11:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	244	49¢	$120	0xce0943…
07-08 08:50:58	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	179	43¢	$77	0x0d9c9c…
07-08 08:50:53	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xd90cc7…
07-08 08:48:47	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	209	43¢	$90	0x96e119…
07-07 14:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x1944b9…
07-07 13:40:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xa798bc…
07-07 12:03:52	xrp updown 5m 1783425600	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc525c0…
07-07 05:54:23	btc updown 5m 1783403400	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3df6b6…
07-07 05:49:29	xrp updown 5m 1783403100	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x17a345…
07-07 05:14:05	xrp updown 5m 1783401000	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x109164…
07-07 04:44:23	xrp updown 5m 1783399200	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8357b1…
07-07 04:39:38	xrp updown 5m 1783398900	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3159af…
07-07 04:34:26	xrp updown 5m 1783398600	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8fcfb7…
07-07 04:29:08	xrp updown 5m 1783398300	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x070ad7…
07-07 03:14:38	eth updown 5m 1783393800	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x93c177…
07-07 03:14:22	xrp updown 5m 1783393800	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd691b6…
07-07 01:59:11	btc updown 5m 1783389300	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3b4096…
07-07 01:29:16	xrp updown 5m 1783387500	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd892f5…
07-06 21:54:29	eth updown 5m 1783374600	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xed6a34…
07-06 00:29:31	eth updown 5m 1783297500	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf06f73…
07-05 23:04:08	xrp updown 5m 1783292400	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x792315…
07-05 22:49:01	xrp updown 5m 1783291500	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x425b37…
07-05 18:54:26	xrp updown 5m 1783277400	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x30db7a…
07-05 16:09:29	xrp updown 5m 1783267500	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x23e8a2…
07-05 09:49:35	xrp updown 5m 1783244700	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x466388…
07-04 23:49:26	eth updown 5m 1783208700	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x56d561…
07-04 19:23:58	xrp updown 5m 1783192800	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc647aa…
07-04 16:59:25	xrp up or down july 4 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xdac101…
07-04 15:33:40	xrp updown 5m 1783179000	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xce959d…
07-04 15:23:47	eth updown 5m 1783178400	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x79563c…
07-04 15:19:28	xrp updown 5m 1783178100	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xada01f…
07-04 15:14:07	eth updown 5m 1783177800	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x97b9f8…
07-04 14:58:28	xrp updown 15m 1783176300	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5a2005…
07-04 14:38:52	xrp updown 5m 1783175700	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x42ae3f…
07-04 14:18:55	xrp updown 5m 1783174500	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2be298…
07-04 07:58:46	xrp up or down july 4 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x49f30e…
07-04 02:44:59	btc updown 5m 1783132800	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x9f232b…
07-03 23:39:25	xrp updown 5m 1783121700	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x110d90…
07-03 20:24:35	eth updown 5m 1783110000	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x641d9e…
07-03 03:08:37	eth updown 5m 1783047900	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x75d228…
07-03 02:54:26	eth updown 5m 1783047000	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa369b9…
07-03 01:13:40	xrp updown 5m 1783041000	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x34a58d…
07-03 01:13:37	eth updown 5m 1783041000	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xd5b852…
07-02 19:14:31	eth updown 5m 1783019400	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xe59b8e…
07-02 18:19:11	xrp updown 5m 1783016100	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xa4c8b1…
07-02 17:34:10	eth updown 5m 1783013400	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x7e756d…
07-02 17:23:34	eth updown 5m 1783012800	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1d3879…
07-02 16:34:02	xrp updown 5m 1783009800	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4cd645…
07-02 16:13:55	eth updown 15m 1783008000	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xe6e887…
07-02 16:08:38	xrp updown 5m 1783008300	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x1512bc…
07-02 15:52:47	eth updown 5m 1783007400	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5199b2…
07-02 15:44:23	eth updown 15m 1783006200	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf896a1…
07-02 15:44:23	eth updown 5m 1783006800	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8adda7…
07-02 15:43:31	xrp updown 5m 1783006800	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x6399a6…
07-02 15:08:29	eth updown 5m 1783004700	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf79bd8…
07-02 14:59:16	eth updown 5m 1783004100	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x9e97ce…