Sardonic-Bangle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

289

Trades

1,720

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-11 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 35% -$210

Other

1% 8% -$21

Politics

1% 7% -$8

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 22:00 UTC	12	$152	167	156	+11	Down	+$142	04-17 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:40 UTC	19	$86	479	478	+1	Up	+$31	02-25 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 02:30 UTC	33	$80	563	110	+452	Up	+$7	03-29 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 22:30 UTC	11	$69	131	131	+1	Down	+$15	02-24 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:40 UTC	14	$69	82	81	+1	Down	+$15	02-24 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:30 UTC	7	$66	59	58	+1	Down	+$6	02-24 21:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 03:00 UTC	27	$64	172	172	+1	Down	+$19	03-29 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:35 UTC	11	$56	99	99	+1	Up	+$7	02-24 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:00 UTC	15	$55	73	72	+1	Up	+$3	02-24 00:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:45 UTC	8	$55	82	81	+1	Up	+$9	02-23 23:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 22:45 UTC	13	$54	60	59	+1	Up	+$6	02-23 22:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 09:15 UTC	14	$53	100	59	+41	Up	+$4	04-18 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:35 UTC	10	$53	49	48	+1	Down	+$8	02-23 23:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:35 UTC	9	$53	226	30	+197	Up	-$17	02-24 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 22:55 UTC	10	$52	56	55	+1	Up	+$8	02-23 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:10 UTC	14	$51	624	20	+603	Down	-$27	02-24 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 22:50 UTC	9	$48	42	41	+1	Down	+$7	02-23 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:30 UTC	10	$48	59	59	+0	Up	+$30	02-21 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 22:15 UTC	5	$48	40	39	+1	Down	+$8	02-23 22:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:45 UTC	5	$47	40	40	+1	Up	+$7	03-10 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 00:50 UTC	8	$46	42	41	+1	Down	+$5	02-24 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:30 UTC	4	$46	40	39	+1	Down	+$7	03-10 15:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 18:00 UTC	7	$46	40	39	+1	Down	+$6	03-03 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 01:00 UTC	15	$45	457	19	+438	Down	-$20	02-24 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:05 UTC	5	$45	40	38	+1	Up	+$6	02-23 23:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:00 UTC	5	$45	42	42	+1	Up	+$4	02-23 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:25 UTC	8	$45	42	42	+1	Up	+$4	02-23 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 01:25 UTC	7	$45	40	40	+0	Down	+$33	02-25 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:30 UTC	8	$44	42	41	+1	Up	+$3	02-23 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 00:40 UTC	10	$44	57	56	+0	Up	+$18	02-25 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 19:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa3d14d…
06-11 19:57:37	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x87ced4…
05-29 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8907e9…
05-29 23:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x12153e…
05-29 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x37803f…
05-16 15:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1eb612…
05-16 15:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6b2ffe…
05-16 15:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x36a60e…
05-16 15:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbc84a7…
05-16 15:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xec17e0…
05-16 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x4a093f…
05-16 15:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xef5a17…
05-16 15:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xda0a4d…
05-16 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf6d83f…
05-16 15:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0xd9ea85…
05-16 15:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb1df5b…
05-16 15:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x74511d…
05-15 22:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xfa46c1…
05-15 22:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x8d8648…
05-15 22:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0d2d8a…
05-15 22:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x94863d…
05-15 18:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xbfe6b3…
05-15 18:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa36f6…
05-13 21:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xac4484…
05-13 21:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0x9ae1e3…
05-13 21:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfbe6c8…
05-13 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xf6bb92…
05-13 21:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5f5920…
05-13 21:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x4fdc6e…
05-13 21:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9ec532…
05-13 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0fee17…
05-10 14:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x397a01…
05-09 20:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	399	0¢	$1	0xef4002…
05-09 20:13:25	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xbb543b…
04-19 00:16:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa43428…
04-19 00:16:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6ad75f…
04-19 00:15:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb16aa5…
04-19 00:15:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x508dd1…
04-19 00:13:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	68	1¢	$0	0x2ce54d…
04-19 00:11:16	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	No	SELL	928	1¢	$5	0xc9695c…
04-18 17:12:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf0181b…
04-18 13:53:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4f73e6…
04-18 13:50:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xa4f86f…
04-18 13:50:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x442bfa…
04-18 13:50:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7932b0…
04-18 13:50:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8ae543…
04-18 13:49:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcaf906…
04-18 13:49:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf21d05…
04-18 13:49:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x86c901…
04-18 13:49:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9131fc…
04-18 13:48:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x69b045…
04-18 13:47:24	bitcoin up or down on april 18 2026	Up	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x37b080…
04-18 13:40:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xccce5e…
04-18 13:19:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9833ec…
04-18 13:19:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1611f2…
04-18 13:16:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x805d57…
04-18 13:15:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd2f637…
04-18 13:13:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcb44df…
04-18 13:13:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x90c076…
04-18 13:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdc4d1d…
04-18 13:13:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	49	17¢	$8	0x5a8500…
04-18 13:12:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8a2806…
04-18 13:11:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x553ac6…
04-18 13:11:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4abc87…
04-18 13:11:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7c508f…
04-18 13:02:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc2bb74…
04-18 13:02:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xee073c…
04-18 13:02:10	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	247	0¢	$1	0x80901f…
04-18 13:02:04	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 2pt0b and 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xa6ba7b…
04-18 13:01:58	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt9b and 2pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	289	0¢	$1	0x2391e3…
04-18 13:01:48	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt8b and 1pt9b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	662	0¢	$1	0x5fc53e…
04-18 13:01:42	will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 1pt7b and 1pt8b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x539dd7…
04-18 12:59:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1cd0a3…
04-18 12:58:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x98be30…
04-18 12:58:26	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xd73589…
04-18 12:52:16	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6158b2…
04-18 12:51:56	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x080b3a…
04-18 11:57:38	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xffb4df…
04-18 11:56:10	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	295	0¢	$1	0xb4795d…
04-18 11:55:26	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcf8eba…
04-18 11:54:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x18312b…
04-18 11:52:18	bitcoin up or down on april 18 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xadd001…
04-18 11:51:30	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x89b07f…
04-18 11:50:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb0ea8c…
04-18 11:50:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0xe988c6…
04-18 11:50:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1d5c25…
04-18 11:49:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9eb33f…
04-18 11:49:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x61dd4d…
04-18 11:49:08	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf167f3…
04-18 11:48:56	bitcoin above 70k on april 20	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb60455…
04-18 11:48:50	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x404f94…
04-18 11:39:54	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x0d74e6…
04-18 11:39:42	bitcoin above 68k on april 19	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf15a26…
04-18 11:39:34	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6d98e6…
04-18 11:38:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x6e3cc9…
04-18 11:37:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x681ddc…
04-18 11:35:52	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x25cec0…
04-18 11:33:42	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xcb6dfd…
04-18 11:33:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x9883a0…
04-18 11:31:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd4f200…