Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$726

Unrealized P&L

+$119

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$118

Open exposure

$1.02K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-01 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

68% 94% +$425

Other

32% 82% +$301

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+500	$397	81¢	$406	+$9	08-01 17:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+400	$242	84¢	$336	+$95	09-25 16:42
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	+300	$243	88¢	$262	+$19	10-01 21:28
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-100	-$9	14¢	$-14	-$4	09-25 16:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$1.2K	705	705	+0	Yes	+$17	03-07 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1.0K	1,035	0	+1,035	No	+$4	04-27 18:15
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$926	875	300	+575	No	-$111	04-22 03:52
will iran strike israel on march 10	5	$791	400	400	-0	Yes	+$8	03-17 00:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$642	650	0	+650	Yes	+$8	04-07 22:55
will iran strike syria in march	13	$613	721	0	+721	No	+$108	03-12 14:29
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	2	$490	558	0	+558	Yes	+$68	02-04 15:28
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	1	$441	454	0	+454	No	+$14	03-17 00:01
trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	2	$428	446	0	+446	Yes	+$17	03-02 20:05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$397	500	0	+500	open	—	08-01 17:13
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	1	$348	400	0	+400	No	+$52	07-03 20:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	400	0	+400	Yes	+$100	05-29 15:02
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	1	$285	300	0	+300	No	+$15	03-05 18:24
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$266	300	0	+300	No	+$34	05-12 15:30
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	1	$243	300	0	+300	open	—	10-01 21:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$242	400	0	+400	open	—	09-25 16:42
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	1	$228	248	0	+248	Yes	+$20	04-02 09:02
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$221	240	0	+240	No	+$19	03-04 02:35
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	1	$181	200	0	+200	Yes	+$19	03-02 17:28
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$172	200	0	+200	No	+$28	03-21 06:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$157	282	0	+282	Yes	+$126	03-07 23:37
will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	1	$136	200	0	+200	No	+$64	02-04 15:29
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	3	$112	201	0	+201	Yes	+$88	05-22 01:14
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	1	$102	116	0	+116	Yes	+$14	03-07 23:46
will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	03-21 18:44
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	1	$81	100	0	+100	Yes	+$19	03-07 23:45
will epstein data set 13 be released by	1	$74	79	0	+79	No	+$5	02-04 15:30
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	9	$32	50	0	+50	Yes	+$17	03-21 05:24
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	3	$27	100	100	+0	Yes	-$23	02-25 03:16
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$9	0	100	-100	open	—	09-25 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 21:28:14	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x3ed2e1…
09-25 16:42:48	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	60¢	$242	0x6f417e…
09-25 16:34:09	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x53c676…
08-01 17:13:17	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x4c3180…
08-01 17:13:11	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$159	0x5af210…
08-01 17:13:11	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$159	0x23bab1…
07-03 20:36:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xbd0500…
05-29 15:02:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x7e891f…
05-22 01:14:18	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	56¢	$62	0x287099…
05-22 01:13:02	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0x8687b3…
05-22 01:05:17	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x98cd02…
05-12 15:30:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$266	0x3fb9a3…
04-27 18:15:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,035	100¢	$1,031	0x09cb4f…
04-24 16:12:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x41c5fc…
04-22 03:52:28	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	575	98¢	$563	0x509f9c…
04-21 21:46:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0xf6909c…
04-21 20:24:38	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0xb1ef7a…
04-21 20:24:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x6baec1…
04-21 20:24:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0xdb8ad9…
04-21 20:24:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0xd85f0c…
04-21 20:24:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2a20d7…
04-21 20:24:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcb9872…
04-21 20:24:32	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x06f51a…
04-07 22:55:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	650	99¢	$642	0x8d95ac…
04-02 09:02:09	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	248	92¢	$228	0x6dadd0…
03-21 18:44:47	will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd99a5a…
03-21 06:09:25	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xedcc8d…
03-21 05:24:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x5ae821…
03-21 05:20:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4fd032…
03-21 05:14:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xa1b889…
03-21 05:13:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x188d1d…
03-21 05:12:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x499042…
03-21 05:04:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xbaab2d…
03-21 04:58:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x53533d…
03-21 03:37:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xa19a8d…
03-21 03:06:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfa78b7…
03-17 00:01:33	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	454	97¢	$441	0xf15d30…
03-17 00:01:11	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x199b3f…
03-13 16:46:01	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x468471…
03-13 16:45:19	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc7085f…
03-13 16:44:39	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x635255…
03-13 16:44:03	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	380	98¢	$372	0xccfdc6…
03-12 14:29:31	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	98	89¢	$87	0x9d9403…
03-12 14:22:37	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x2f2775…
03-12 13:27:47	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc29d98…
03-12 11:16:39	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x4775d0…
03-12 11:07:21	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x8cdffb…
03-12 09:58:35	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x3d179f…
03-12 09:53:57	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0x4818f2…
03-12 09:23:27	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe24111…
03-11 21:42:51	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xa8906b…
03-11 18:01:13	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0x166f1c…
03-11 17:51:35	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x127739…
03-09 17:25:59	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	121	76¢	$92	0x8a4626…
03-09 17:25:59	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x1378f7…
03-07 23:46:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	116	88¢	$102	0xc65dea…
03-07 23:45:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x8203a4…
03-07 23:40:29	will iran announce a new supreme leader by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5dd356…
03-07 23:37:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	282	55¢	$157	0xfecf79…
03-07 11:28:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x695495…
03-07 11:28:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	340	96¢	$328	0xa43988…
03-07 11:28:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb476ec…
03-07 11:28:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x75f5c7…
03-07 11:28:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x409448…
03-07 11:28:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x148a6b…
03-07 11:28:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7414a7…
03-07 11:28:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x684354…
03-07 11:28:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x64cf47…
03-07 11:28:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x27165f…
03-07 03:32:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	355	96¢	$342	0x900df0…
03-06 05:53:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	206	78¢	$161	0x6e5316…
03-06 05:52:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	144	78¢	$112	0x6ff479…
03-05 18:24:09	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x8a4d7c…
03-04 03:13:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	350	73¢	$257	0x667fc4…
03-04 02:35:29	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xf20b00…
03-04 02:34:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	160	92¢	$147	0x35d7b5…
03-02 20:05:23	trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	235	96¢	$226	0xd951b0…
03-02 20:04:57	trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	211	96¢	$202	0x1706bb…
03-02 17:28:57	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$181	0x936bbf…
02-25 03:16:24	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5b5474…
02-25 03:14:34	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x181d4a…
02-05 04:27:33	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc2510c…
02-04 15:30:37	will epstein data set 13 be released by	No	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0x3f4d8a…
02-04 15:29:56	will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xed6bfe…
02-04 15:28:46	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x18c08c…
02-04 15:28:04	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	BUY	307	88¢	$270	0x910037…
01-13 03:42:27	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x8d7855…