Smooth-Cesspool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

282

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-23 01:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 0% $-0

Other

33% — —

Politics

10% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-5

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+21	$20	98¢	$21	+$0	06-12 02:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	07-23 01:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769583600	6	$251	152	151	+1	open	—	01-28 07:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$193	97	97	+0	open	—	04-12 04:37
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	4	$176	93	93	+0	open	—	04-17 00:46
btc updown 15m 1769585400	2	$154	251	249	+2	open	—	01-28 07:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	6	$151	76	76	+0	open	—	04-28 03:37
btc updown 15m 1769584500	4	$133	79	79	+0	open	—	01-28 07:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$131	90	84	+6	open	—	02-28 16:12
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$121	65	65	+0	No	$-0	04-14 10:24
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	04-14 10:24
btc updown 15m 1769599800	3	$118	299	94	+205	open	—	01-28 11:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$109	57	57	+0	open	—	02-22 06:00
btc updown 15m 1769582700	2	$104	56	56	+0	open	—	01-28 06:51
btc updown 5m 1776847800	3	$100	133	128	+5	open	—	04-22 08:52
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-22 08:49
btc updown 5m 1775974800	5	$74	65	61	+3	open	—	04-12 06:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-28 10:10
btc updown 5m 1774279200	4	$69	63	62	+1	open	—	03-23 15:24
btc updown 5m 1774278600	4	$67	43	43	+0	open	—	03-23 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	04-28 10:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$-0	05-14 02:04
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-30 09:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-09 15:12
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	03-08 12:13
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-12 01:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-05 12:12
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	04-18 13:47
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	05-14 02:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$59	69	0	+69	open	—	02-28 03:27
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$59	29	29	+0	open	—	03-20 12:53
btc updown 15m 1769580000	2	$59	32	31	+0	open	—	01-28 06:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 01:36:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b5628…
07-21 11:19:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x7d97b5…
07-21 11:18:57	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x827f29…
07-21 08:47:55	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x67dde9…
07-21 08:47:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6c5b1c…
07-20 09:32:07	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9c632d…
07-05 10:56:08	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6663ce…
07-05 10:55:44	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x82f2e0…
07-04 03:36:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x100cdf…
07-04 03:36:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xccdecb…
07-02 05:55:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc91dcb…
07-02 05:54:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x074dfc…
06-27 00:39:35	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbba7ff…
06-21 07:44:10	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x525a39…
06-12 02:00:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xa20f2d…
06-12 02:00:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7f6050…
06-06 15:15:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x722cf6…
06-06 15:14:58	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x679b2e…
05-27 05:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x723877…
05-24 03:55:42	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xa9bc51…
05-24 00:40:51	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x9ab3a6…
05-14 02:05:21	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xc1ae43…
05-14 02:05:09	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x99cb69…
05-14 02:04:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4e66d8…
05-14 02:04:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x7585ce…
05-14 02:04:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x176170…
05-05 05:06:22	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x94cb30…
04-28 10:11:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x4690d1…
04-28 10:11:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x195b57…
04-28 10:10:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xba8196…
04-28 10:10:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x7bc6c9…
04-28 10:10:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa16913…
04-28 03:37:16	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8c87e7…
04-28 03:37:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x495ea4…
04-25 03:54:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfd8692…
04-25 03:54:12	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x91a3f2…
04-22 08:52:16	btc updown 5m 1776847800	Down	SELL	128	31¢	$40	0xe6df57…
04-22 08:51:16	btc updown 5m 1776847800	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xac454c…
04-22 08:50:42	btc updown 5m 1776847800	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd7daf1…
04-22 08:49:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa56735…
04-22 08:49:12	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xd0b459…
04-18 13:47:58	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xde1f69…
04-18 13:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe87d48…
04-18 13:47:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0c702d…
04-18 13:47:06	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x70c2af…
04-17 00:48:38	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7d514c…
04-17 00:48:24	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x50c717…
04-17 00:46:18	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xa363f5…
04-14 10:25:09	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x2ab087…
04-14 10:24:51	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xf50679…
04-14 10:24:47	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$60	0xd0adf9…
04-14 10:24:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	65	93¢	$60	0x6ea981…
04-14 10:24:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0xa31181…
04-14 10:23:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x35775a…
04-12 06:25:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1c07c2…
04-12 06:24:43	btc updown 5m 1775974800	Up	SELL	61	91¢	$56	0x0d8d4d…
04-12 06:22:57	btc updown 5m 1775974800	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3575ea…
04-12 06:21:43	btc updown 5m 1775974800	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd1fe7d…
04-12 06:21:17	btc updown 5m 1775974800	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xde2baa…
04-12 06:21:07	btc updown 5m 1775974800	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdad238…
04-12 06:17:07	btc updown 5m 1775974500	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x28fff9…
04-12 06:16:31	btc updown 5m 1775974500	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5e679d…
04-12 06:16:09	btc updown 5m 1775974500	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x6a5fa0…
04-12 06:11:51	btc updown 5m 1775974200	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x7c9f9b…
04-12 06:10:45	btc updown 5m 1775974200	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x988687…
04-12 06:08:03	btc updown 5m 1775973900	Down	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x8eec5b…
04-12 06:06:51	btc updown 5m 1775973900	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x33a9bf…
04-12 06:02:25	btc updown 5m 1775973600	Down	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0xd6e8b7…
04-12 06:01:39	btc updown 5m 1775973600	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x37649a…
04-12 06:00:47	btc updown 5m 1775973600	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0eeba4…
04-12 05:58:33	btc updown 5m 1775973300	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x3854e5…
04-12 05:58:15	btc updown 5m 1775973300	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xace0e8…
04-12 05:42:23	btc updown 5m 1775972400	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc860e7…
04-12 05:41:51	btc updown 5m 1775972400	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd0e71a…
04-12 05:34:57	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Down	SELL	18	65¢	$11	0x0dd7bb…
04-12 05:32:41	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x46b732…
04-12 05:31:19	btc updown 5m 1775971800	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa10f8d…
04-12 05:28:39	btc updown 5m 1775971500	Up	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xcadebb…
04-12 05:27:17	btc updown 5m 1775971500	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0xa5bc1a…
04-12 05:25:37	btc updown 5m 1775971500	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2baedd…
04-12 05:24:19	btc updown 5m 1775971200	Down	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x21f78b…
04-12 05:23:13	btc updown 5m 1775971200	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xcca36c…
04-12 05:21:51	btc updown 5m 1775971200	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8b89a7…
04-12 05:21:33	btc updown 5m 1775971200	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xecbfaf…
04-12 05:19:15	btc updown 5m 1775970900	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x319b17…
04-12 05:18:21	btc updown 5m 1775970900	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xc65ccb…
04-12 05:18:07	btc updown 5m 1775970900	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfebde9…
04-12 05:17:29	btc updown 5m 1775970900	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x166e3e…
04-12 05:15:31	btc updown 5m 1775970900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdf2f5b…
04-12 05:14:31	btc updown 5m 1775970600	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xcb10d1…
04-12 05:12:21	btc updown 5m 1775970600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x592101…
04-12 05:06:07	btc updown 5m 1775970300	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x9bf6dc…
04-12 05:05:33	btc updown 5m 1775970300	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5e50dd…
04-12 05:02:31	btc updown 5m 1775970000	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x9f5e29…
04-12 05:00:31	btc updown 5m 1775970000	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x21a24c…
04-12 04:57:53	btc updown 5m 1775969700	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf009a7…
04-12 04:51:07	btc updown 5m 1775969400	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x38f032…
04-12 04:50:49	btc updown 5m 1775969400	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x39a138…
04-12 04:49:47	btc updown 5m 1775969100	Up	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x82b741…
04-12 04:49:15	btc updown 5m 1775969100	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x75496e…