Grave-Fraction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

291

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$6

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 13:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 11:44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 08:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-08 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 15:55
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-03 02:37
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:43
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	03-31 08:22
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf75c3e…
10-30 14:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd12a8d…
10-29 17:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x10635a…
10-29 09:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x05d662…
10-28 07:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x013712…
10-27 08:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaad97a…
10-26 09:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ba8df…
10-24 11:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa827ca…
10-22 10:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a1b96…
10-20 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x598266…
10-19 09:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae5788…
10-18 09:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x574375…
10-17 15:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61c7f9…
10-16 09:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e9626…
10-15 09:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd373a…
10-14 09:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x887cc3…
10-13 09:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40135e…
10-12 09:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x774f1a…
10-11 08:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa439db…
10-08 09:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebcbd0…
10-07 15:25:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x777ee9…
10-06 08:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70367e…
10-05 01:59:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0e7e0…
10-03 08:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa3b91…
10-02 11:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1e5d3…
10-01 08:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ebe99…
09-30 12:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1d77e…
09-29 15:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2c8a1…
09-28 09:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03aabf…
09-27 08:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb34388…
09-25 16:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x289d04…
09-24 08:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b3d65…
09-23 07:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79f100…
09-22 08:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a72f8…
09-21 09:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdeee70…
09-20 05:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9a7d4…
09-19 08:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x330523…
09-18 07:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf14567…
09-17 04:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b3eeb…
09-16 08:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf05592…
09-15 10:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x208f95…
09-14 09:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1f8e…
09-12 16:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x901599…
09-11 07:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3b447…
09-10 08:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf91710…
09-09 12:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe036f8…
09-08 15:45:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1ae4a…
09-08 06:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa027f6…
09-07 08:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf71c4…
09-06 17:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca5ab2…
09-06 09:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0817e1…
09-05 01:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2ef7e…
09-03 16:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1eb0b1…
09-02 07:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7334e…
08-30 09:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8861f…
08-29 09:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x832b45…
08-28 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d46bf…
08-27 08:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15182b…
08-26 08:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x813416…
08-25 09:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc227d0…
08-24 13:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa06197…
08-23 14:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd87f4c…
08-22 08:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f3587…
08-21 07:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfe085…
08-20 08:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcdb1c…
08-18 08:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x460c9d…
08-17 07:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc67ca…
08-16 11:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d291…
08-15 09:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5ebfb…
08-14 06:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e25c4…
08-13 08:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc25fbf…
08-12 07:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bcddc…
08-11 06:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe631c…
08-10 07:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x335a9a…
08-09 02:13:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc37b35…
08-08 07:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05e55c…
08-07 07:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9a491…
08-06 06:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5fe14…
08-05 07:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1551d4…
08-04 08:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2de020…
08-03 07:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15f9bd…
08-02 02:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x906aa9…
08-01 07:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aa19f…
07-31 13:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5df27…
07-30 07:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89bf04…
07-29 07:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7028ac…
07-28 06:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd5263f…
07-27 08:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaae795…
07-26 07:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x210d83…
07-25 08:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc67182…
07-24 10:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9258f2…
07-23 08:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd0670…
07-22 02:05:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb415e…
07-21 09:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3eb27…
07-21 00:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5f5f3…
07-20 08:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85994a…
07-18 23:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40e297…
07-18 00:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7a0cf…
07-17 07:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9b8a3…
07-15 22:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fab87…