Realized P&L
+$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.26K
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
63
Trades
1,295
lifetime
Volume
$897.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$693
Open exposure
$150.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 10-28 22:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
70% 44% -$11,191
Other
25% 69% +$12,317
Tech
4% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$624
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +32,092 $28,118 99¢ $31.8K +$3,701 10-27 23:10
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +41,263 $26,791 68¢ $28.3K +$1,474 10-28 16:19
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +24,908 $17,504 98¢ $24.5K +$7,030 10-28 13:06
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +19,000 $11,409 66¢ $12.6K +$1,178 10-20 05:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +21,364 $5,865 56¢ $11.9K +$5,992 10-27 23:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +8,000 $4,660 66¢ $5.3K +$660 10-20 07:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,469 $4,637 68¢ $5.1K +$479 10-08 18:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $3,150 82¢ $4.1K +$925 10-22 11:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,000 $3,350 68¢ $3.4K +$25 10-23 09:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,767 $3,282 43¢ $3.4K +$93 10-09 10:59
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,000 $3,150 66¢ $3.3K +$175 10-21 09:58
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +3,000 $2,340 99¢ $3.0K +$632 10-19 15:41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,134 $3,539 70¢ $2.9K -$645 10-21 13:09
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,280 78¢ $2.3K +$60 10-07 14:28
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,000 $2,200 44¢ $2.2K +$25 10-09 10:46
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +2,183 $1,659 79¢ $1.7K +$65 10-28 22:10
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +3,000 $990 52¢ $1.6K +$570 10-27 10:19
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,476 $1,333 29¢ $1.3K -$35 10-08 09:47
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +952 $862 85¢ $809 -$53 10-25 09:04
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +28,000 $22,233 2¢ $420 -$21,813 10-27 14:15
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +331 $61 94¢ $311 +$250 07-31 17:52
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,893 $172 11¢ $208 +$36 10-28 18:32
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +200 $150 92¢ $185 +$35 10-20 01:30
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +13,376 $1,371 1¢ $147 -$1,224 10-22 13:01
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes — +675 $88 10¢ $64 -$24 10-20 23:49
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +1,899 $1,057 1¢ $19 -$1,038 10-26 23:00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +842 $9 2¢ $14 +$5 10-10 12:22
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +11,142 $3,037 0¢ $11 -$3,025 10-27 15:17
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $50 71¢ $0 -$50 10-28 20:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 -$240 86¢ $0 +$240 08-14 17:16