Squeaky-Bicycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$217

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 09-13 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

51% 88% +$51

Crypto

19% 67% +$64

Politics

18% 75% +$18

Tech

6% 100% +$3

Sports

5% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$3.1K	2,095	1,048	+1,047	No	+$8	03-06 21:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$2.3K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$4	07-24 01:51
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	41	$2.3K	1,163	1,163	+0	No	+$5	06-27 02:38
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$2.3K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	+$3	03-25 10:37
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	2	$2.0K	999	999	+0	No	+$1	05-22 18:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$7	06-11 15:04
Trump out as President by May 31?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$17	05-19 07:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$2.0K	987	987	+0	No	+$4	04-26 07:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	39	$1.8K	902	902	+0	No	+$3	05-29 22:41
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels	2	$1.6K	792	791	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$6	04-18 04:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$1.6K	789	788	+1	No	+$10	04-17 13:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.2K	656	656	+0	open	—	09-13 14:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	+$3	07-29 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.1K	552	552	+0	No	+$3	04-04 07:10
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	4	$1.0K	0	1,053	-1,053	No	-$9	02-28 01:06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$453	229	229	+0	No	+$2	05-30 14:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$317	160	160	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 05:06
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$263	132	132	+0	No	+$0	03-06 15:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$262	141	141	+0	Yes	+$0	02-14 09:48
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$254	230	230	+0	No	+$5	06-05 11:35
Will Solana reach $120 in May?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-26 10:44
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$197	0	200	-200	No	-$3	05-08 04:25
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$138	0	144	-144	No	-$6	02-06 12:06
crude oil all time high by march 31	1	$115	117	0	+117	No	+$2	03-25 12:28
trump out as president by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-25 12:27
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	1	$81	82	0	+82	No	+$1	06-03 11:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$75	0	85	-85	Yes	+$75	02-06 12:06
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$48	55	55	+0	open	—	06-04 13:39
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	24	-24	No	-$1	05-08 04:24
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-07 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 14:56:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	656	95¢	$623	0x5c5a25…
07-30 03:35:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	656	92¢	$604	0x8695a1…
07-29 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	604	100¢	$603	0x04b8c6…
07-24 01:53:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x350ca7…
07-24 01:51:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,170	100¢	$1,165	0x5cd468…
07-06 12:04:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,170	99¢	$1,162	0x6e553f…
06-27 02:38:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf775b7…
06-27 01:31:47	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xef6d56…
06-27 01:31:46	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d3d69…
06-27 01:31:44	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd5ff1…
06-27 01:31:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3199ee…
06-27 01:31:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce01b9…
06-26 20:25:59	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x008d75…
06-26 20:08:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xa42bc8…
06-26 20:08:40	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4db6af…
06-26 20:08:38	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x79e387…
06-26 20:02:59	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xce19db…
06-26 20:02:59	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x3b615f…
06-26 20:02:59	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2b3386…
06-26 20:02:56	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3bc3a4…
06-26 20:02:56	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x08e553…
06-26 20:02:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x09ba8a…
06-26 20:02:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfffd82…
06-26 20:02:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xecc9d5…
06-26 20:02:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x3409af…
06-26 19:51:20	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd92b66…
06-26 19:51:20	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x21a0f0…
06-26 19:51:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x59337a…
06-26 19:51:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1ddec0…
06-26 19:51:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x13025d…
06-26 19:47:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb5b2c6…
06-26 19:47:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x772032…
06-26 18:26:19	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5d150c…
06-26 18:25:05	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x912a8f…
06-26 18:25:04	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x561d6f…
06-26 18:15:19	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x786c19…
06-26 18:15:19	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x23d96c…
06-26 18:13:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xcbc64d…
06-26 18:13:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x5b964b…
06-26 18:13:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x677a05…
06-26 18:13:41	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x122953…
06-26 17:33:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf94375…
06-26 17:33:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x50ac00…
06-26 17:33:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xeb8270…
06-26 17:21:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe3985d…
06-26 17:21:29	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x56ba89…
06-20 02:53:05	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	1,163	100¢	$1,157	0x15186c…
06-17 05:06:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xf3f4d9…
06-11 15:04:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0xea13a9…
06-05 11:37:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xeede53…
06-05 11:35:00	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	168	55¢	$92	0xf593da…
06-04 13:39:48	Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x5a3959…
06-04 03:06:51	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0x9f596f…
06-03 16:41:18	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x69f6f9…
06-03 13:42:22	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2622c8…
06-03 11:39:10	Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x348570…
06-03 11:38:37	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x750a6d…
06-03 11:38:23	Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	181	53¢	$96	0xc5ee82…
06-03 11:35:52	Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x34706c…
05-31 08:25:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0x4e96d6…
05-30 14:25:02	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	229	99¢	$227	0xeeb9d6…
05-29 22:41:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x49d727…
05-29 22:39:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc2fb0d…
05-29 22:39:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2e6608…
05-29 22:39:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2f29ef…
05-29 22:36:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5d6971…
05-29 22:34:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x82f80e…
05-29 22:30:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9d042c…
05-29 22:28:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa6675e…
05-29 22:26:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc0610d…
05-29 22:21:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x790b86…
05-29 22:19:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3e466c…
05-29 22:16:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf4728b…
05-29 22:11:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe69061…
05-29 22:06:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8843d0…
05-29 22:04:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x19de68…
05-29 21:57:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0xfc65ae…
05-29 21:53:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0xae0a8a…
05-29 21:51:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6c5a81…
05-29 21:50:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4770dc…
05-29 21:49:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2edc0a…
05-29 21:45:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x12ca8e…
05-29 21:38:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x482f34…
05-29 21:36:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbc88dd…
05-29 21:35:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc495aa…
05-29 21:32:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x78fa3d…
05-29 21:29:57	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb8297c…
05-29 21:27:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x713f16…
05-29 21:23:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc37ce…
05-29 21:21:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x9969c2…
05-29 21:18:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x251a4e…
05-29 21:16:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd800c1…
05-29 21:14:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3f53fc…
05-29 21:07:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x626bb2…
05-29 21:03:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa5fcfa…
05-29 21:00:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2d446d…
05-29 20:53:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa5a662…
05-29 20:50:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1d3f0b…
05-29 20:49:05	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	418	100¢	$417	0x07e116…
05-26 10:44:22	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd2ff8b…