Apprehensive-Soulmate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-28 07:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 100% +$1

Other

11% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 7 9am et	6	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	03-07 14:59
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	28	$83	47	47	+0	open	—	03-20 15:57
bitcoin up or down march 3 8am et	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	03-03 13:51
bitcoin up or down march 6 9am et	10	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	03-06 14:51
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	15	$59	80	80	+0	open	—	03-10 15:59
will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on january 31	29	$56	336	388	-52	open	—	01-31 16:59
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	7	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	03-06 16:40
bitcoin up or down march 10 1pm et	6	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	03-10 17:58
bitcoin up or down march 8 9am et	4	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-08 13:59
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	9	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	03-20 17:00
bitcoin up or down march 8 3am et	4	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-08 07:53
bitcoin up or down march 3 1pm et	7	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	03-03 18:51
bitcoin up or down march 3 10pm et	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-04 04:14
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 4am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 08:56
bitcoin up or down march 7 10am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-07 15:57
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 13:56
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3am et	15	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	03-15 08:00
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 5am et	14	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	03-20 09:49
bitcoin up or down march 6 8am et	8	$32	22	17	+5	open	—	03-06 14:00
bitcoin up or down march 4 9am et	3	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	03-04 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	9	$29	35	35	+0	open	—	03-10 13:14
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	6	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	02-05 12:42
bitcoin up or down march 6 10am et	4	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-06 15:58
bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	11	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-15 00:52
bitcoin up or down march 7 6am et	13	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	03-07 11:50
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 10am et	12	$25	19	18	+0	open	—	03-20 14:59
bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	3	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-06 07:52
bitcoin up or down march 10 12pm et	12	$21	28	16	+12	open	—	03-10 17:44
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 07:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x951c2c…
05-17 14:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x031865…
05-17 03:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x44a578…
05-15 17:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa7ee5c…
05-15 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x580a51…
05-15 14:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa09ee7…
05-15 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfb82d0…
05-15 13:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f8fed…
05-11 16:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xed5a2b…
05-11 16:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0b278b…
05-05 05:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4c7a9d…
05-05 05:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfcb65f…
05-04 11:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x21f9d8…
05-04 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x35ec97…
05-04 10:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5050cc…
05-04 09:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x04c14b…
05-01 12:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe43967…
05-01 03:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4056d…
05-01 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb7d1db…
04-27 14:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7debe9…
04-24 17:31:24	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5cf055…
04-24 16:47:32	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x98b204…
04-24 15:03:24	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8f9697…
04-24 14:33:56	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xed2bdb…
04-23 15:58:48	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6b0f80…
04-23 15:52:04	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf36975…
04-23 15:39:52	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x957080…
04-22 05:09:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x171244…
04-21 09:43:02	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe57e97…
04-21 09:02:56	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdc62aa…
04-21 08:27:28	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcfdf18…
04-21 08:07:34	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9ddf14…
04-21 07:44:42	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc71670…
04-21 07:12:52	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5004fd…
04-21 06:41:12	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x324c4e…
04-20 17:53:06	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4e462…
04-20 17:45:04	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xce770e…
04-20 17:44:50	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x99f389…
04-20 17:39:22	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5d00ed…
04-20 17:32:52	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd1b25f…
04-20 17:22:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe024c…
04-01 16:35:23	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x8c511b…
04-01 16:15:53	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9a3715…
04-01 14:50:23	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc00103…
04-01 14:31:45	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x965eb4…
04-01 14:00:25	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf03003…
04-01 13:54:43	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x73e939…
04-01 13:51:51	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xac682f…
04-01 13:48:29	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4cf7f4…
04-01 13:46:59	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x53f736…
03-31 18:54:07	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7fad94…
03-31 18:45:23	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x550e5c…
03-31 18:36:25	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x877583…
03-31 17:33:53	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8c1dd9…
03-31 17:25:13	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd24aaf…
03-31 17:24:27	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9f8877…
03-31 16:59:47	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa83c8…
03-31 16:08:47	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x716297…
03-31 15:57:43	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa0c356…
03-31 15:29:23	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x391c25…
03-31 15:27:33	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc0ece9…
03-31 15:24:17	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7e2c5f…
03-31 13:56:39	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf0aebe…
03-31 13:50:19	bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ba804…
03-25 03:58:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa1e531…
03-25 03:57:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0x7318f5…
03-24 10:32:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7395d2…
03-23 11:14:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcc30aa…
03-23 10:23:23	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xab84c9…
03-23 09:26:11	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa7c2bf…
03-23 05:08:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcd6d06…
03-20 17:00:05	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xc9976a…
03-20 16:52:47	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x55a981…
03-20 16:52:23	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x555125…
03-20 16:49:47	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xaab245…
03-20 16:49:25	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x474931…
03-20 16:46:27	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x660850…
03-20 16:45:53	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0387d4…
03-20 16:21:45	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8eec6d…
03-20 16:12:31	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x29df2a…
03-20 15:57:03	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0xfa0d4a…
03-20 15:54:41	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x22475e…
03-20 15:54:03	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x6ec1f3…
03-20 15:52:49	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x97838f…
03-20 15:51:45	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x124ba8…
03-20 15:51:41	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4eefa4…
03-20 15:51:19	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb7743c…
03-20 15:50:37	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x71ba17…
03-20 15:50:33	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x29d26e…
03-20 15:50:27	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0835d0…
03-20 15:50:23	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcc2e60…
03-20 15:50:11	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x177a1e…
03-20 15:48:41	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5a655d…
03-20 15:48:23	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0cf666…
03-20 15:47:59	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55545f…
03-20 15:47:43	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xad60eb…
03-20 15:46:51	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x97082e…
03-20 15:45:53	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x677754…
03-20 15:42:39	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x88ed6e…
03-20 15:40:27	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf6c22c…