Entire-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-14 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 100% +$1

Other

24% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	14	$635	479	422	+57	open	—	04-22 05:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$587	300	300	+0	open	—	04-14 04:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$581	330	330	+0	open	—	04-14 08:50
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$576	290	290	+0	open	—	04-22 06:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$544	300	300	+0	open	—	04-07 05:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$393	200	200	+0	open	—	04-03 06:33
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	5	$363	218	218	+0	open	—	04-26 16:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$346	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 04:23
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	4	$305	400	400	+0	open	—	04-26 15:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$238	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 04:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$208	333	333	+0	open	—	05-15 13:18
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$206	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 15:17
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$206	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	04-26 15:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 07:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 04:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	4	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-05 08:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 04:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 06:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	24	$169	526	400	+126	open	—	03-18 16:43
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	5	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 17:45
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	2	$111	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 12:51
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	05-18 12:52
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	4	$98	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 09:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 03:15
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	5	$90	132	132	+0	open	—	05-09 05:13
will powell say recession during march press conference	9	$89	119	119	+0	open	—	03-18 19:17
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	4	$88	54	54	+0	open	—	05-24 05:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$85	152	152	+0	open	—	06-17 10:11
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	4	$85	135	135	+0	open	—	03-27 11:41
will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 03:37:08	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x39b2e5…
07-14 03:36:58	will trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by july 17 20260714024406497	No	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0x838387…
07-14 03:35:52	will trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by july 17 20260714024406497	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x421a23…
07-14 03:34:58	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xa2041b…
07-14 03:30:38	will bobby witt jrpt hit a home run at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714021820631	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xc9aa53…
07-14 03:29:37	will bobby witt jrpt hit a home run at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714021820631	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0b5ea8…
07-14 03:18:26	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xe5d49d…
07-14 03:17:49	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x0195f3…
07-14 03:15:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x5d6134…
07-14 03:15:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x017e17…
07-14 03:13:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xe6cf7c…
07-13 13:45:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x31e3f5…
07-13 13:44:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb2929f…
07-07 04:17:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	75	8¢	$6	0x2646fd…
07-07 02:42:02	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x568524…
07-07 02:38:32	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa9689f…
07-07 02:35:26	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x0c00c6…
07-07 02:35:02	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xba9cd3…
07-07 02:34:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xe1d301…
07-07 02:33:59	will graham platner drop out by july 7	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x73de38…
07-07 02:25:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc6bf90…
07-07 02:24:53	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe5ed13…
07-07 02:24:29	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x31efb6…
07-07 02:23:55	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xbe247b…
07-07 02:20:56	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2a90fb…
07-07 02:17:31	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x2462c8…
07-07 02:17:14	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8e28bd…
07-07 02:15:11	will graham platner drop out by july 6	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb52015…
07-07 02:11:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x03d09b…
07-01 06:28:43	will gleans valuation hit high 8b by july 31 20260630205002623	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xdfd645…
07-01 06:27:28	will gleans valuation hit high 8b by july 31 20260630205002623	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x36740e…
06-23 05:38:07	will the announcers say champion during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729511	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x6a19e2…
06-23 05:37:23	will the announcers say champion during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729511	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xdb3e45…
06-23 05:36:46	will the announcers say comeback come back during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729508	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x17de49…
06-23 05:33:16	will the announcers say comeback come back during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729508	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x41ff19…
06-23 05:27:47	will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900215	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x645ace…
06-23 05:27:02	will the announcers say hattrick hat trick during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900215	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xbf7dac…
06-23 05:24:52	will the announcers say record during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729505	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x8d68c5…
06-23 05:24:25	will the announcers say record during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729505	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xee2620…
06-23 05:19:13	will the announcers say handball during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900201	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb29045…
06-23 05:18:40	will the announcers say handball during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900201	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe45478…
06-17 10:11:29	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	152	27¢	$41	0xbb62d2…
06-11 11:02:25	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x3ee7e1…
06-09 05:43:15	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xa71e07…
06-09 00:18:51	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x4dd240…
06-07 13:48:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	152	29¢	$44	0x360cce…
06-07 12:25:49	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x51bcd3…
06-07 10:38:57	will msft dip to 390 in june 2026	No	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x089fb6…
06-07 10:25:21	will msft dip to 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x7c18a9…
06-07 10:07:27	dbi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt03	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7b7b8f…
06-07 10:05:40	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x81a5e2…
06-07 10:02:04	kmx quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 17 2026 0pt94	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xa446ca…
06-07 08:35:28	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x9e54f3…
06-07 08:35:12	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x962992…
06-07 08:35:04	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xd4264d…
06-07 07:58:06	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xdca44a…
06-07 07:52:01	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x03aa8d…
06-07 07:43:30	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x8df7b7…
06-06 20:02:27	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	437	0¢	$2	0x64b5ad…
06-06 20:01:57	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x565dd6…
06-03 16:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	2¢	$9	0x67db47…
06-03 16:17:10	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x002ecd…
06-03 16:09:09	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$2	0x5c76bc…
06-02 07:05:01	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x860bc2…
06-02 07:04:14	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xc68807…
06-02 07:01:13	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xf06a2d…
06-02 06:56:54	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xd695f6…
06-02 06:56:02	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xefc843…
06-02 06:42:49	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xacc942…
06-02 06:41:43	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xbdee38…
06-02 06:41:20	Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x0cc17b…
06-02 05:49:11	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xeac266…
06-02 05:43:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x4bbcd4…
06-02 05:43:51	Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x83861e…
06-02 05:43:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd8c702…
06-02 05:38:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$19	0x767cec…
06-02 05:37:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x5c5c5b…
06-01 03:52:32	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xa76546…
05-30 08:49:39	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x314333…
05-30 08:48:15	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x8f4fcb…
05-30 08:44:41	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xb69271…
05-30 08:44:06	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x734146…
05-29 19:21:21	Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0xc2589d…
05-29 09:06:57	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xc1891a…
05-29 09:05:07	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xbe605b…
05-29 08:53:22	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0868f3…
05-29 08:51:31	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x465907…
05-29 08:37:49	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x478d44…
05-29 08:36:27	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xab872f…
05-29 08:33:07	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x157c54…
05-25 03:24:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xd442fb…
05-24 05:52:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x870e98…
05-24 05:29:23	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x4c7e6b…
05-24 04:57:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x8f151e…
05-24 04:53:48	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in May?	No	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x97a246…
05-24 04:47:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x122855…
05-24 04:47:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8d46df…
05-19 17:00:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x73c21a…
05-19 16:42:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x62571e…
05-19 01:28:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xb53cad…