Nutty-Equinox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$167

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

2,082

Trades

5,412

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 10-29 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 46% -$179

Sports

6% 60% +$9

Other

0% 25% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	38	$339	3,385	3,185	+200	No	+$8	06-29 13:06
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	24	$305	2,135	2,135	+0	No	+$4	06-23 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	17	$140	819	0	+819	Down	-$140	05-11 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	10	$61	100	100	+0	Up	-$8	05-27 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 01:00 UTC	6	$60	47	47	+0	Down	+$24	06-26 01:13
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 11am et	6	$56	45	45	+0	Up	+$32	06-10 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 18:15 UTC	3	$45	31	21	+10	Down	-$5	06-22 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	8	$42	57	57	+0	Down	+$13	05-27 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	5	$42	30	30	+0	Down	+$17	05-27 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$40	30	30	+0	Down	+$13	05-27 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	7	$37	44	19	+25	Down	+$17	05-12 14:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	7	$36	33	33	+0	Down	+$23	06-21 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	3	$36	65	0	+65	Up	+$29	05-11 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	8	$36	25	33	-7	Down	+$19	05-25 12:00
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	5	$35	37	37	+0	Up	+$27	06-05 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$35	30	30	+0	Up	+$24	05-12 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 23:10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	2	$34	22	22	+0	Yes	+$9	06-20 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$34	27	27	+0	Down	+$21	05-08 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	5	$33	62	45	+17	Down	+$25	05-08 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$30	146	0	+146	Up	+$115	05-11 15:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 10:45 UTC	3	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$10	06-26 10:52
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 11am et	6	$30	31	31	+0	Up	+$13	06-11 15:57
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	4	$30	25	25	+0	Down	+$20	06-09 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-27 05:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 13:00 UTC	5	$29	29	29	+0	Up	-$3	07-01 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 09:00 UTC	3	$29	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	06-06 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	05-26 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	05-26 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$28	95	0	+95	Down	-$28	05-04 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xec9724…
10-29 08:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc19c94…
10-29 08:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc2be2b…
10-29 08:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x09cadc…
10-29 08:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x18d180…
10-29 08:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf915d1…
10-29 08:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x93c8e0…
10-29 08:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x346d3b…
10-29 08:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3b4fe0…
10-29 08:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xda03d2…
10-29 08:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2744e7…
10-29 08:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9d4c8a…
10-29 07:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc4d90e…
10-29 07:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc2364f…
10-29 07:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf2d5e5…
10-29 07:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc27ec9…
10-29 07:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4f0af…
10-29 06:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd1fdd9…
10-29 06:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xae9b3f…
10-29 06:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x45fee5…
10-29 06:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x9656c3…
10-29 06:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x490676…
10-29 06:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0xd49a30…
10-29 06:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x304d75…
10-29 06:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1e6131…
10-29 06:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd0456a…
10-29 06:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2e3a88…
10-29 05:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x048e2a…
10-29 05:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x04f1c0…
10-29 05:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe5818b…
10-29 05:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3bb558…
10-29 05:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc12337…
10-29 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x178410…
10-29 05:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa9c37c…
10-29 05:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf715f…
10-29 05:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb72cd2…
10-29 05:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xd90fd1…
10-29 05:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xedf1b9…
10-29 05:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf73363…
10-29 04:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x89c8e6…
10-29 04:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xe2d94f…
10-29 04:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x739177…
10-29 04:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2233af…
10-29 04:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x38f01e…
10-29 04:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x98c456…
10-29 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x26a2a9…
10-29 04:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff36e5…
10-28 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x165c6b…
10-28 13:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb977b1…
10-28 13:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xca7a56…
10-28 12:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb57ccc…
10-28 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdb9fd9…
10-28 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xbaf413…
10-28 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x15c470…
10-28 12:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x03fd2a…
10-28 12:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8c6b88…
10-28 11:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x738d40…
10-28 11:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78b284…
10-28 11:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x8d6e91…
10-28 11:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe057c…
10-28 10:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x3846ad…
10-28 10:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3fc7f0…
10-28 10:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbef50b…
10-28 08:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4942a1…
10-28 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xe76427…
10-28 08:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x744b5a…
10-28 08:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3373dc…
10-28 08:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x73e302…
10-28 08:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa667be…
10-28 08:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xed90e4…
10-28 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x91d148…
10-28 08:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x839afe…
10-28 07:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x098424…
10-28 07:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x1f6772…
10-28 07:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd5e7b1…
10-28 07:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3f9031…
10-28 06:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xa5c88c…
10-28 06:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0aaa92…
10-28 06:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd618dc…
10-28 06:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x74f34c…
10-28 06:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x365fef…
10-28 06:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8062ed…
10-28 06:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x3ff093…
10-28 06:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb01206…
10-28 06:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x356d8f…
10-28 06:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc4a9a6…
10-27 11:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7c1480…
10-27 11:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe575cb…
10-27 10:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x8f3a71…
10-27 08:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x74a8e2…
10-27 05:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x978a4b…
10-27 05:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xdc2435…
10-27 05:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe18c81…
10-27 04:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x379524…
10-27 04:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6de2fd…
10-27 04:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x44b276…
10-27 04:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x360397…
10-27 04:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd7e7e1…
10-27 03:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xab2412…
10-27 03:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x198914…