Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

73 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$13

$74 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 11-06 12:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

88% 58% +$4

Politics

12% 43% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	11-05 19:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	95¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	30¢	$1	$0	11-06 12:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	+2	$1	40¢	$1	$0	11-06 03:57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	7¢	$0	-$1	11-03 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 12:47:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf2bcd8…
11-06 03:57:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2bec53…
11-05 19:17:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x66d670…
11-05 10:39:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd73dc2…
11-05 02:38:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x605af4…
11-04 12:19:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc7f875…
11-04 03:17:31	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5f1f3e…
11-03 18:28:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0edaba…
11-03 07:47:42	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x840b2f…
11-02 11:44:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd1a093…
11-02 03:44:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x165efa…
11-01 19:40:58	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x903687…
11-01 05:45:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcdba3f…
10-29 12:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa28c1a…
10-27 14:58:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfb87ca…
10-27 06:55:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4def97…
10-25 10:52:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x371802…
10-25 02:07:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc9ac5f…
10-23 17:18:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8665da…
10-23 08:52:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa0bf1f…
10-18 00:14:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbaa16b…
10-17 16:00:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa9192b…
10-17 04:23:41	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x607f4a…
10-16 14:41:06	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf9442f…
10-16 06:37:04	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd6121d…
10-15 09:58:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbd3d64…
10-14 13:18:06	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x57bbd2…
10-14 04:52:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6603e9…
10-13 20:04:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd256b7…
10-09 09:43:28	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbd1480…
10-09 00:50:48	will ewy reach 181 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3a426a…
10-08 04:16:16	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8a928b…
10-07 17:18:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf61e55…
10-07 09:12:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa00c2a…
10-06 20:46:35	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd8b516…
10-06 12:40:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe8415b…
10-06 04:37:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf1f0cc…
10-05 08:10:16	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf59077…
10-04 23:53:20	will mu dip to 1050 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8a2812…
10-02 06:12:57	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd79878…
10-01 15:58:18	will abnb dip to 156 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb0c128…
09-28 17:12:17	will xagusd reach 64 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x862b98…
09-27 21:11:14	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x82cfb2…
09-27 05:46:27	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd8d221…
09-26 10:33:26	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2f912a…
09-26 09:29:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4cfd58…
09-21 07:13:50	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x55710c…
09-20 22:47:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x92ff5e…
09-19 07:18:37	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2a2603…
09-18 11:46:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3536c8…
09-15 20:50:37	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3b8b22…
09-09 11:10:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3de5a3…
09-09 00:03:07	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x802660…
09-08 12:38:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe8a6cf…
09-08 04:01:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x948386…
09-03 23:39:48	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xca066a…
09-01 03:06:42	will tsla dip to 360 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x143397…
08-30 19:04:07	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x491794…
08-30 07:39:37	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5bba82…
08-29 22:40:52	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x50f07c…
08-29 14:23:36	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa50513…
08-29 09:17:45	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0301ee…
08-28 22:32:18	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x39eae8…
08-27 02:04:15	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb688f2…
08-26 01:51:01	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1f3ebd…
08-25 23:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf2ab38…
08-25 10:14:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3a1de5…
08-25 02:00:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8633d6…
08-24 16:30:13	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6ac5ae…
08-24 08:26:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd899fa…
08-24 00:05:04	Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9887b4…
08-22 15:39:10	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3f599c…
08-22 01:48:09	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0a0934…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$1	08-29 14:23
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 22:47
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 00:03
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-28 22:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-08 04:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-18 11:46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 11:10
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-24 16:30
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-24 08:26
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-15 20:50
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-21 07:13
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-29 22:40
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 12:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-03 23:39
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-22 15:39
will tsla dip to 360 by august 31 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-01 03:06
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-30 19:04
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-30 07:39
will wti dip to 80 in august 2026 from august 26	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-27 02:04
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-25 10:14
Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-24 00:05
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-26 01:51
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	08-25 02:00
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-22 01:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	08-25 23:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 12:40
will ewy reach 181 by october 5 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-09 00:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 16:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-23 08:52