Forceful-Deodorant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

6.9%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 06-17 14:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

78% 50% $-27

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+201	$2	1¢	$2	$-0	05-30 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 19 2026	20	$361	981	981	+0	open	—	03-19 16:13
spx up or down on february 19 2026	9	$347	350	350	+0	open	—	02-19 14:23
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	4	$195	220	220	+0	open	—	03-19 01:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	02-18 03:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$144	600	600	+0	open	—	02-19 00:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	24	$141	2,900	2,876	+24	open	—	04-12 20:36
msft up or down on february 20 2026	2	$133	120	120	+0	open	—	02-20 16:47
googl close above 315 on february 23 2026	2	$132	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 16:33
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	9	$122	200	200	+0	open	—	04-05 13:37
spx up or down on april 7 2026	9	$113	229	229	+0	open	—	04-07 17:54
spx opens up or down on february 19 2026	2	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 02:28
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	4	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	02-18 02:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	4	$105	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 16:46
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	8	$102	280	280	+0	open	—	03-25 02:36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	02-18 23:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	5	$86	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 17:15
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	2	$84	175	175	+0	open	—	03-31 02:07
nvda close above 190 on february 20 2026	2	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	02-20 18:33
spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	3	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 08:02
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	4	$63	300	300	+0	open	—	04-09 03:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$53	282	282	+0	open	—	04-10 13:45
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	3	$50	80	80	+0	open	—	06-14 14:11
wti closes above 88 on april 20 2026	4	$45	200	200	+0	open	—	04-20 19:56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	5	$44	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 14:52
spx up or down on june 17 2026	4	$41	47	47	+0	open	—	06-17 14:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$40	200	200	+0	open	—	05-24 17:20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	3	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 21:08
will the sp 500 spx close at 69007000 on april 8	4	$32	500	480	+20	open	—	04-08 14:32
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	2	$29	37	37	+0	open	—	04-17 01:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	1	$27	100	0	+100	Up	$-27	05-06 03:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 14:41:50	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0xf164c0…
06-17 13:17:47	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x87ae4f…
06-17 13:14:23	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xfb1b05…
06-17 13:14:23	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd357db…
06-14 14:11:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0xa9f2a0…
06-14 13:53:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x85c586…
06-14 13:53:12	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	68	33¢	$22	0x44017c…
05-30 14:16:31	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	1¢	$2	0x6d38b8…
05-30 12:53:13	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x16bc5f…
05-30 12:52:50	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0x7414d5…
05-30 12:43:39	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x58aa8f…
05-30 12:34:33	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0x655d8d…
05-30 12:29:30	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x53312a…
05-30 12:27:54	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0xccaadd…
05-30 03:21:21	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$6	0x24388d…
05-30 01:58:13	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x683012…
05-30 01:08:54	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0xb3092d…
05-30 01:07:26	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x27164a…
05-30 00:44:55	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x66e941…
05-30 00:38:50	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x4301e1…
05-29 22:19:18	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0x079cd4…
05-29 22:03:43	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0x0cb002…
05-29 21:58:00	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x33887a…
05-29 21:48:09	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x08b0ed…
05-29 21:40:14	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xb8e16c…
05-29 21:28:57	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$7	0x73b10c…
05-24 17:20:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x9829e3…
05-24 17:20:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x8401d6…
05-24 16:46:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$29	0xd992e4…
05-24 16:45:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$31	0xe2ac43…
05-24 14:52:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x83ec25…
05-24 14:52:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	153	10¢	$15	0x13d2a6…
05-24 14:52:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x942123…
05-24 14:51:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x78be96…
05-24 14:50:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x3680c2…
05-24 14:26:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x8a35ae…
05-24 14:24:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x6b4a3d…
05-15 21:08:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1fc071…
05-15 00:30:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x666def…
05-15 00:29:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x02deba…
05-06 03:35:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x66fc9f…
04-20 19:56:56	wti closes above 88 on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0x35fa7b…
04-20 19:54:00	wti closes above 88 on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xb299e0…
04-20 19:52:06	wti closes above 88 on april 20 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x2443fd…
04-20 19:33:22	wti closes above 88 on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x31abc0…
04-17 01:32:10	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Down	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0xf56939…
04-17 01:26:38	spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	Down	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xe8bbf3…
04-15 17:15:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x2644ea…
04-15 16:58:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0x741e54…
04-15 16:58:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	77	21¢	$16	0x2bbf32…
04-15 16:58:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0xdf63fa…
04-15 16:58:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xb12039…
04-12 20:36:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	104	2¢	$2	0x7a8ad1…
04-12 20:33:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xe30673…
04-12 19:48:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	286	2¢	$5	0xc19f21…
04-12 19:34:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0x8ec22a…
04-12 19:30:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xfb6462…
04-12 19:16:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	347	2¢	$6	0x0573e7…
04-12 19:08:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$1	0xae82f3…
04-12 19:08:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x1f7631…
04-12 18:55:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	455	2¢	$8	0x976115…
04-12 16:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,343	2¢	$23	0x796812…
04-12 16:07:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4f95dd…
04-12 16:02:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x13a93e…
04-12 16:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$2	0xb16353…
04-10 13:45:15	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$9	0x5be72b…
04-10 13:44:05	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x5a6e9e…
04-10 02:20:47	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	82	21¢	$17	0x474cd3…
04-10 02:17:29	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	82	21¢	$17	0x622209…
04-09 03:40:39	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	9¢	$12	0x1bec78…
04-09 03:37:01	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	8¢	$12	0x9e3dfb…
04-09 02:19:31	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x587969…
04-09 02:18:19	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$38	0x5cebf2…
04-08 15:21:59	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	No	SELL	92	18¢	$17	0x378607…
04-08 14:32:03	will the sp 500 spx close at 69007000 on april 8	Yes	SELL	441	3¢	$14	0x606348…
04-08 14:00:37	will wti crude oil settle at 100110 on april 8	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0x14b1ef…
04-08 12:38:15	will the sp 500 spx close at 69007000 on april 8	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xe8b5a0…
04-08 04:16:45	will the sp 500 spx close at 69007000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x505090…
04-08 04:12:23	will the sp 500 spx close at 69007000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x04d618…
04-08 04:01:17	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xac4a5c…
04-08 03:59:23	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x2d65f0…
04-08 03:58:45	will wti crude oil settle at 100110 on april 8	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xee3394…
04-08 03:40:25	will wti crude oil settle at 100110 on april 8	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9dabf8…
04-08 03:38:39	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x523c88…
04-08 03:35:49	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x63c15e…
04-08 03:32:55	will wti crude oil settle at 90100 on april 8 118	No	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x8ed7a0…
04-08 03:24:29	will wti crude oil settle at 100110 on april 8	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9219bf…
04-07 17:54:09	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x8271dc…
04-07 17:38:45	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	42	37¢	$16	0x565598…
04-07 17:38:23	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	48	35¢	$17	0x0faa71…
04-07 17:34:55	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	102	22¢	$22	0x456d9a…
04-07 17:21:05	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	69	22¢	$15	0x5b987f…
04-07 17:15:39	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	170	22¢	$37	0xf083b6…
04-07 14:36:01	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc8cf09…
04-07 14:29:29	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xcc2962…
04-07 14:28:35	spx up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x49d3ed…
04-07 08:02:13	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Up	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x0ef4f5…
04-07 02:21:53	spx opens up or down on april 7 2026	Up	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xe2189f…
04-07 01:45:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0xd6f872…
04-07 01:43:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0x5ce354…