Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 08-01 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

67% 50% +$16

Crypto

24% 42% $-50

Other

9% 14% $-109

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$849	679	679	+0	Yes	+$7	03-31 11:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$430	1,421	1,421	+0	No	$-114	03-30 09:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$200	134	134	+0	open	—	08-01 16:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$186	192	192	+0	Yes	+$9	02-28 12:33
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$182	455	455	+0	Yes	+$82	02-27 10:56
btc updown 5m 1772727300	4	$165	94	93	+0	Down	+$3	03-05 16:19
btc updown 5m 1772739300	3	$118	109	75	+34	Down	+$13	03-05 19:39
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	2	$101	91	90	+0	No	+$3	03-05 13:50
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$86	714	714	+0	No	$-14	03-04 17:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$81	136	136	+0	No	$-7	03-31 11:23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$71	61	61	+0	Yes	+$10	03-05 12:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$70	500	500	+0	No	$-10	03-26 21:15
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$67	3,838	0	+3,838	No	$-67	03-11 16:30
btc updown 5m 1772740200	1	$58	99	0	+99	Down	$-58	03-05 19:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	91	0	+91	Yes	+$41	02-27 09:11
btc updown 5m 1772719500	3	$47	262	261	+0	Down	+$12	03-05 14:09
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$46	400	400	+0	No	+$6	03-05 19:55
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$41	488	488	+0	No	+$0	03-24 09:53
btc updown 5m 1772720400	2	$31	22	21	+0	Up	+$12	03-05 14:25
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$28	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$8	03-05 19:56
btc updown 5m 1772719800	2	$26	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	03-05 14:17
btc updown 5m 1772274000	2	$25	16	16	+0	Up	+$5	02-28 10:22
btc updown 5m 1772644800	2	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	03-04 17:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$18	53	53	+0	No	$-1	03-05 12:09
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$15	5,000	0	+5,000	No	$-15	03-11 16:29
btc updown 5m 1772537700	1	$10	100	0	+100	Up	$-10	03-03 11:37
btc updown 5m 1772738400	1	$10	30	0	+30	Down	$-10	03-05 19:23
btc updown 5m 1772727000	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	$-10	03-05 16:12
btc updown 5m 1772644200	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$4	03-04 17:12
btc updown 5m 1772738700	1	$10	62	0	+62	Down	$-10	03-05 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 16:04:12	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	73¢	$97	0x0f109f…
07-27 10:47:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x30846d…
07-25 16:41:40	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	134	76¢	$102	0xd2f7a3…
07-24 14:51:46	btc updown 5m 1784904600	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x749673…
06-17 18:07:56	btc updown 5m 1781719500	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa79676…
04-08 18:46:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4b34f6…
04-08 18:45:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xc75dbd…
04-03 07:33:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	364	1¢	$3	0x52eb8a…
04-01 18:52:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2d49b3…
04-01 18:51:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x180a32…
03-31 11:23:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	136	27¢	$37	0xb877ac…
03-31 11:23:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	679	63¢	$428	0x6115b0…
03-30 09:56:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	73	32¢	$23	0xa15f3a…
03-30 09:56:18	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	377	6¢	$23	0xf85009…
03-28 16:56:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	377	9¢	$34	0x05e4fc…
03-28 10:26:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	485	7¢	$34	0xa2b402…
03-26 21:16:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xb7f673…
03-26 21:15:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x29caf2…
03-26 11:47:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	63	33¢	$21	0x8af0a0…
03-26 11:47:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	460	63¢	$290	0xb9c815…
03-24 09:54:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	98	21¢	$20	0x8d5a70…
03-24 09:53:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	488	4¢	$21	0xab48e5…
03-23 21:24:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	488	4¢	$20	0x6a8648…
03-23 21:20:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x783e56…
03-22 16:16:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	168	60¢	$101	0x2ba4e8…
03-22 16:15:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	560	18¢	$101	0x2c5258…
03-20 21:05:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	947	23¢	$218	0xef2200…
03-11 16:30:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	998	0¢	$5	0x1e0325…
03-11 16:29:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xe35456…
03-05 19:56:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$18	0x88cebd…
03-05 19:55:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	400	7¢	$26	0x506970…
03-05 19:50:29	btc updown 5m 1772740200	Up	BUY	99	58¢	$58	0x48eb9f…
03-05 19:48:43	btc updown 5m 1772739900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2887d9…
03-05 19:40:43	btc updown 5m 1772739600	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfb8646…
03-05 19:39:49	btc updown 5m 1772739300	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x13420a…
03-05 19:39:07	btc updown 5m 1772739300	Down	SELL	75	86¢	$65	0xbfa523…
03-05 19:38:39	btc updown 5m 1772739300	Down	BUY	76	68¢	$52	0xe222cb…
03-05 19:33:25	btc updown 5m 1772739000	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0005ab…
03-05 19:25:59	btc updown 5m 1772738700	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x13a4de…
03-05 19:23:23	btc updown 5m 1772738400	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4da3d6…
03-05 16:19:15	btc updown 5m 1772727300	Down	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xd94391…
03-05 16:18:39	btc updown 5m 1772727300	Down	BUY	76	94¢	$71	0x0c707b…
03-05 16:16:41	btc updown 5m 1772727300	Down	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xb5af60…
03-05 16:15:53	btc updown 5m 1772727300	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x55c732…
03-05 16:12:45	btc updown 5m 1772727000	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x429491…
03-05 14:25:13	btc updown 5m 1772720400	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x649366…
03-05 14:20:17	btc updown 5m 1772720400	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x250d75…
03-05 14:18:01	btc updown 5m 1772720100	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x455088…
03-05 14:17:05	btc updown 5m 1772719800	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x469ebe…
03-05 14:11:13	btc updown 5m 1772719800	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8097b9…
03-05 14:09:37	btc updown 5m 1772719500	Up	SELL	261	11¢	$30	0x6f9d2a…
03-05 14:08:39	btc updown 5m 1772719500	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x27328e…
03-05 14:05:25	btc updown 5m 1772719500	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$7	0x32666e…
03-05 13:50:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	Yes	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0x79094b…
03-05 12:17:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	Yes	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0x5d867b…
03-05 12:09:11	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	SELL	53	16¢	$8	0xe2020e…
03-05 12:08:25	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	61	67¢	$41	0xe45b62…
03-05 09:11:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	325	1¢	$2	0xce5436…
03-04 23:37:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0xd63bc2…
03-04 17:28:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	Yes	BUY	53	18¢	$9	0xaeff7e…
03-04 17:28:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	Yes	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0xc32afd…
03-04 17:24:43	btc updown 5m 1772644800	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x9461bd…
03-04 17:22:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x14eeee…
03-04 17:21:03	btc updown 5m 1772644800	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4bc136…
03-04 17:12:41	btc updown 5m 1772644200	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5e5b4b…
03-04 17:11:49	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	714	5¢	$36	0x44052a…
03-03 12:14:55	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x0fa8e2…
03-03 12:13:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x4bd4a2…
03-03 12:12:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfefc13…
03-03 12:11:51	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x9fb8df…
03-03 11:51:21	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x433a34…
03-03 11:37:13	btc updown 5m 1772537700	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfa26d5…
03-02 11:05:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x2bd5a6…
03-02 11:04:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,848	3¢	$50	0x4fddae…
02-28 12:34:37	btc updown 5m 1772281800	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9bbc7b…
02-28 12:33:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	192	51¢	$98	0xb1c7e2…
02-28 11:14:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	192	46¢	$88	0xc1a505…
02-28 10:22:41	btc updown 5m 1772274000	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xfe6422…
02-28 10:21:07	btc updown 5m 1772274000	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x3e989c…
02-28 10:11:43	btc updown 5m 1772273400	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc78432…
02-28 10:08:25	btc updown 5m 1772273100	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x210008…
02-28 10:05:31	btc updown 5m 1772272800	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x4138eb…
02-27 10:56:37	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	455	29¢	$132	0x612078…
02-27 09:11:15	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xa65869…
02-27 09:01:01	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xb80d3f…