Bulky-Stepsister — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved (7d)

505

Trades (7d)

1,070

80,659 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$29.0K

$1.37M lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-21

last 11-07 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 211 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$31,163

Other

0% 63% -$332

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 2070 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	—	+97	$40	1¢	$1	-$39	11-07 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	42	$3.5K	2,722	2,722	+0	Down	+$1,877	09-11 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	42	$3.4K	2,607	2,607	+0	Down	+$1,764	09-09 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:10 UTC	31	$3.1K	3,704	0	+3,704	Up	+$608	09-16 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 04:50 UTC	31	$3.1K	3,777	0	+3,777	Down	-$3,093	09-17 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	29	$2.9K	3,711	0	+3,711	Up	+$822	09-16 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:00 UTC	28	$2.8K	3,229	0	+3,229	Up	+$475	09-16 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:30 UTC	11	$2.6K	1,917	1,696	+221	Down	+$801	08-26 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	28	$2.6K	2,050	2,050	+0	Down	+$1,494	09-09 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	36	$2.5K	1,819	1,819	+0	Down	+$1,125	09-06 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 04:10 UTC	19	$2.3K	1,407	1,407	+0	Up	+$402	08-27 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 03:55 UTC	5	$2.2K	1,362	1,362	+0	Up	+$449	08-27 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:30 UTC	5	$2.2K	1,474	1,474	+0	Down	+$509	08-27 01:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 02:20 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,598	1,598	+0	Down	+$1,024	08-30 02:25
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	13	$2.1K	1,662	1,662	+0	Up	+$1,167	11-05 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:40 UTC	6	$2.0K	1,694	1,694	+0	Down	+$1,100	09-30 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:35 UTC	6	$2.0K	1,466	1,233	+233	Up	+$428	08-27 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC	7	$2.0K	1,501	1,501	+0	Up	+$992	08-27 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	24	$1.8K	1,398	1,398	+0	Down	+$961	09-09 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	10	$1.6K	1,105	1,105	+0	Down	+$566	09-04 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	4	$1.6K	4,229	1,217	+3,011	Up	+$550	09-30 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:25 UTC	16	$1.6K	2,090	0	+2,090	Up	+$498	09-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:35 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,296	1,296	+0	Down	+$931	09-30 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,195	1,195	+0	Up	+$804	08-26 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	15	$1.5K	2,061	0	+2,061	Up	+$565	09-16 02:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:10 UTC	6	$1.5K	1,158	1,066	+92	Down	+$295	08-27 01:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 03:15 UTC	14	$1.4K	1,875	0	+1,875	Up	+$481	09-17 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:15 UTC	3	$1.3K	885	885	+0	Up	+$427	08-27 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 01:40 UTC	9	$1.3K	1,046	1,046	+0	Down	+$757	08-25 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 01:05 UTC	3	$1.3K	943	943	+0	Down	+$509	08-27 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 01:55 UTC	4	$1.3K	997	927	+69	Up	+$579	08-26 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0x6d1766…
11-07 10:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0x0765bc…
11-07 10:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$40	0xfa1af7…
11-07 10:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0xfa0a90…
11-07 09:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x59dbd5…
11-07 09:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	144	28¢	$40	0x6e6c9f…
11-07 09:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x318ee5…
11-07 09:01:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xa84281…
11-07 09:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	132	30¢	$40	0x445109…
11-07 09:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	132	30¢	$40	0x4d38b8…
11-07 09:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0x579f6d…
11-07 09:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x0e3ffc…
11-07 09:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	132	30¢	$40	0xe5b1e2…
11-07 09:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	141	28¢	$40	0xfc4a98…
11-07 09:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x25e9ff…
11-07 09:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xf2d167…
11-07 09:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-07 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x52a6ae…
11-07 08:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	101	39¢	$40	0xf2644c…
11-07 08:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x07ecd3…
11-07 08:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	84	47¢	$40	0xb9d483…
11-07 08:53:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xa35f47…
11-07 08:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x8cb60d…
11-07 08:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	73	54¢	$40	0xbb7304…
11-07 08:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0xd87f45…
11-07 08:52:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0xd49dd4…
11-07 08:52:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x0fce3d…
11-07 08:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xdd684c…
11-07 07:57:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x20d29e…
11-07 07:57:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x38e13d…
11-07 07:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xdf66ac…
11-07 07:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x01877f…
11-07 07:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xa07fb4…
11-07 07:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x250ebd…
11-07 07:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x2a86f2…
11-07 07:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xf29e9a…
11-07 04:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x143efa…
11-07 04:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x781d95…
11-07 04:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x710082…
11-07 04:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	58¢	$40	0x97f251…
11-07 04:48:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	58¢	$40	0xbec191…
11-07 03:12:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x115754…
11-07 03:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0xc37677…
11-07 00:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0xefd20f…
11-07 00:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	126	31¢	$40	0x3716f2…
11-07 00:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x5faa6c…
11-07 00:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x310096…
11-06 23:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xef50d8…
11-06 23:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	44¢	$40	0x046f66…
11-06 23:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xbcd2ac…
11-06 23:38:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	88	45¢	$40	0xa1700b…
11-06 23:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x959d2c…
11-06 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xaaa124…
11-06 23:23:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	57¢	$40	0xa4d3f1…
11-06 22:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	99	41¢	$40	0xc1d062…
11-06 22:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x9e2cac…
11-06 22:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x491730…
11-06 20:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x086b59…
11-06 19:23:36	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xec4a04…
11-06 18:58:31	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x962b96…
11-06 18:57:45	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xdeb8cd…
11-06 18:56:52	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x5ad53b…
11-06 18:17:19	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x0f9ccd…
11-06 17:41:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0xb16dff…
11-06 16:47:07	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x60e86e…
11-06 16:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0xb88f1e…
11-06 16:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0x9dbc28…
11-06 16:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	165	24¢	$40	0xa87eea…
11-06 16:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	155	26¢	$40	0x60b257…
11-06 16:18:15	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	38¢	$15	0xf33977…
11-06 16:02:43	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xa11def…
11-06 15:51:18	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	59¢	$15	0x15484e…
11-06 15:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x09364d…
11-06 15:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0x5dc3ee…
11-06 15:28:34	Solana Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x503a0f…
11-06 15:27:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0xbb1709…
11-06 15:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0x72eb97…
11-06 15:16:57	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x68a6ce…
11-06 15:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	84	47¢	$40	0x4e9583…
11-06 15:07:55	XRP Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0xb542f0…
11-06 15:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	137	29¢	$40	0xaa9640…
11-06 15:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x6bca26…
11-06 15:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x3fe31d…
11-06 15:07:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xa25757…
11-06 15:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x74ef45…
11-06 15:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x3f9d12…
11-06 15:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x84d6ef…
11-06 15:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	72	55¢	$40	0x782f7c…
11-06 15:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x17c511…
11-06 15:07:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x62b166…
11-06 15:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x15b236…
11-06 15:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x62dd96…
11-06 15:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	107	37¢	$40	0x396d39…
11-06 14:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x0787b2…
11-06 14:43:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	56¢	$40	0x2832f7…
11-06 14:42:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0x3e302f…
11-06 14:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x4a4216…
11-06 14:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	84	47¢	$40	0x8c2b5a…
11-06 14:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0x3658d6…
11-06 14:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	59¢	$40	0x4dcf8f…
11-06 14:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x727715…