Composed-Yang — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

1,119 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.25K

$302.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$270

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-25 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Politics

89% 74% +$400

Crypto

6% 95% +$177

Other

5% 28% -$449

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$24.0K	12,430	12,430	+0	Yes	-$264	04-07 19:50
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$15.6K	8,077	8,077	+0	No	+$124	02-28 05:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$15.6K	8,504	8,504	+0	Yes	-$133	02-28 08:07
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$15.5K	7,843	7,843	+0	No	+$80	02-23 04:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$14.7K	7,541	7,541	+0	No	+$168	03-30 07:19
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$11.8K	8,114	4,069	+4,045	No	+$122	02-24 22:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$10.6K	7,085	3,539	+3,546	No	+$46	03-15 08:58
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	2	$8.3K	4,179	4,179	+0	No	+$25	03-04 05:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$8.3K	4,154	4,154	+0	No	+$0	03-03 04:43
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$8.1K	4,098	4,098	+0	No	+$16	02-25 16:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	4	$7.6K	3,936	3,936	+0	No	+$14	04-26 10:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	9	$7.4K	9,575	9,575	+0	No	-$135	04-16 15:52
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$7.3K	3,745	3,745	+0	No	+$87	02-20 08:56
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$6.2K	3,178	3,178	+0	Yes	+$140	04-05 08:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$5.9K	3,003	3,003	+0	No	+$137	03-07 04:58
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	4	$5.5K	3,551	2,034	+1,517	No	+$20	02-14 16:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$5.1K	2,591	2,591	+0	No	+$13	04-23 15:55
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$5.1K	2,607	2,607	+0	No	+$69	04-11 05:03
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$5.0K	2,520	2,520	+0	No	+$12	03-13 12:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$5.0K	2,609	2,609	+0	No	+$204	04-21 15:44
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	4	$4.8K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$6	01-19 00:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$4.5K	2,933	2,933	+0	No	-$670	04-24 15:47
iran strike on israel by february 28	1	$4.1K	4,150	0	+4,150	Yes	+$98	02-28 08:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$4.0K	2,049	2,049	+0	No	+$45	03-06 01:06
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$3.8K	2,408	2,408	+0	No	-$38	01-14 12:19
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	3	$3.7K	2,475	1,237	+1,238	No	+$0	02-05 03:11
bitcoin above 80k on february 4	4	$3.7K	2,476	1,239	+1,237	No	+$6	02-04 14:31
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$3.7K	3,847	0	+3,847	No	+$154	02-20 12:36
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$3.6K	1,795	1,795	+0	No	+$13	02-11 03:59
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	2	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	+$11	02-11 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 15:12:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xf5b996…
10-20 03:10:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0x82b28b…
10-20 03:09:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	121	9¢	$11	0xe32dfc…
10-19 16:38:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x4741d7…
10-19 16:38:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0x131f73…
10-19 16:35:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	121	77¢	$93	0xb10c6c…
10-18 12:27:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0xe5045c…
10-18 12:26:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xe11235…
10-17 05:44:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0xaa4159…
10-17 05:30:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	SELL	113	97¢	$110	0x42f5c7…
10-16 01:59:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	113	95¢	$108	0x015e14…
10-13 07:16:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x2f5968…
10-13 07:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xac700a…
10-13 06:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0x374ca7…
10-13 06:18:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xee9889…
10-13 05:05:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xadb0f4…
10-12 20:24:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x009188…
10-10 09:16:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0x3ce083…
10-06 05:28:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x561988…
09-02 00:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x88d052…
09-02 00:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0xad77e2…
09-02 00:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x8b6778…
09-02 00:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcae618…
09-02 00:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xfd7482…
09-02 00:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc89d7a…
09-01 10:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0x3bb8c9…
09-01 05:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	140	6¢	$9	0xdbf5de…
09-01 04:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x69df79…
09-01 04:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xb633c3…
09-01 03:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5ea3c8…
09-01 03:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x49fc63…
09-01 02:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x36a54d…
09-01 02:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x06d307…
09-01 02:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$13	0xb7b6d9…
09-01 02:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb40058…
09-01 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x59f119…
09-01 02:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc78dd5…
09-01 02:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x7d9fc9…
09-01 02:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd4fd54…
09-01 02:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x21be8a…
09-01 02:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x141942…
09-01 02:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x431c78…
08-31 04:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 31?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xd03904…
08-30 06:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	132	3¢	$4	0x84ecfe…
08-30 03:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x4ee052…
08-30 03:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x73e678…
08-30 03:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x751d76…
08-30 03:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xd9a14f…
08-30 00:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0x0ed0b2…
08-30 00:23:03	lol c9 ly 2026 08 29 game2	Cloud9	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe5d964…
08-29 06:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xbf30ec…
08-29 02:18:43	cs2 chama bsta 2026 08 28	BORRACHEIROS	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x7d86db…
08-29 02:14:42	lol nrg wu 2026 08 28	NRG Esports	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfee4c4…
08-29 02:13:15	lol nrg wu 2026 08 28	NRG Esports	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x125646…
08-29 02:10:42	lol nrg wu 2026 08 28	NRG Esports	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc960e9…
08-29 01:14:12	lol nrg wu 2026 08 28	NRG Esports	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xd826ca…
08-29 01:08:39	cs2 chama bsta 2026 08 28	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfa050e…
08-28 23:56:52	cs2 chama bsta 2026 08 28	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x899859…
08-28 06:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xd3408a…
08-28 05:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x00fb1f…
08-28 04:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9c77e6…
08-27 01:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x2b4f3d…
08-25 06:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x8f1afd…
08-25 03:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x470304…
08-25 03:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0x3ab2e4…
08-25 03:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2b0974…
08-25 02:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	99	11¢	$11	0x2d7b85…
08-25 02:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x8a03c3…
08-24 05:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x91e897…
08-24 04:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x7612aa…
08-22 06:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xa11ab9…
08-22 06:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	114	0¢	$0	0x383909…
08-22 05:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd34acf…
08-22 03:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbfd979…
08-22 01:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x59deb3…
08-17 03:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0xd94030…
08-14 03:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	146	3¢	$4	0x2e2a37…
08-14 02:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe55404…
08-14 01:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x879eae…
08-14 01:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	76	27¢	$21	0xe2061c…
08-14 00:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	106	17¢	$18	0x29c11b…
08-14 00:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x06065b…
08-14 00:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xaf8ad3…
08-14 00:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd42cb0…
08-14 00:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x32fcf3…
08-13 04:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	260	2¢	$5	0x1362c8…
08-11 07:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$1	0x3ffc5d…
08-11 06:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xa5486e…
08-10 04:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x45f274…
08-10 04:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x40acd9…
08-10 04:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x717217…
08-10 04:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0xc184c8…
08-10 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xf38863…
08-10 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xbac440…
08-10 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1f587c…
08-10 04:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x309974…
08-10 04:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x097576…
08-10 04:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x836b94…
08-09 10:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x2d3862…
08-09 06:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xda7fe6…